SMU vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: SMU vs Miami (OH)

The SMU Mustangs battle the Miami-Ohio RedHawks in this NCAA Tournament First Four matchup at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio, with tip-off scheduled for 21:15 on Wednesday, March 18.

There’s some excellent value on the spread and we like Miami-Ohio at +6.5. We’re happy to take them with this advantage against SMU at -105.

The Miami-Ohio RedHawks (31-1, 1st in MAC) were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to the UMass Minutemen by a 87-83 scoreline.

The SMU Mustangs (20-13, 11th in ACC) were beaten last game and this was on the road. The Louisville Cardinals claimed a 62-58 win.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami (OH)	31-1	2901	2409	492	17-1	14-0	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L

View Full Standings

SMU vs Miami (OH) Prediction & Picks

Dive into our SMU vs Miami (OH) betting tips, featuring an expert match prediction, our best correct score pick and a ready-made bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that the underdogs can push for a victory in this college showdown and the +6.5 about them on the spread makes lots of appeal. Take -105 that Miami-Ohio cover the line.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college hoops expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our basketball picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key SMU vs Miami-Ohio stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Miami (OH) in 20 consecutive games at home.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by SMU in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by SMU in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by SMU in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.

Miami-Ohio +6.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the option to move the line. Consider the betting odds and whether each line can be covered.

Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.

Our Game Prediction

Miami-Ohio +6.5 @ -105 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 18, 02:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

SMU 80 - 77 Miami-Ohio

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Mustangs to register a 80-77 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

SMU vs Miami (OH) Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have SMU at -294 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 75% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Miami-Ohio are trading at +235.

The spread is calculated to be 6.5, while total points comes in at 163.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 163.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

SMU

-294

Miami (OH)

+235

Point Spread

SMU -6.5

-115

Miami (OH) +6.5

-105

Total Points

Under 163.5

-110

Over 163.5

-110

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

SMU Stats

Miami-Ohio Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 163.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.10 pts and allowed 78.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 164.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 163.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.00 pts and allowed 77.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.70 pts and allowed 76.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami (OH)	31-1	2901	2409	492	17-1	14-0	1L
Akron	29-5	3004	2499	505	19-2	10-3	10W
Kent State	23-9	2697	2560	137	16-3	7-6	1L
Bowling Green	18-14	2602	2290	312	12-7	6-7	1L
Toledo	19-15	2754	2603	151	13-4	6-11	1L
Buffalo	17-15	2497	2437	60	8-8	9-7	2L
UMass	17-16	2648	2562	86	11-6	6-10	1L
Ohio	15-17	2492	2515	-23	11-8	4-9	4L
Ball State	12-19	2093	2154	-61	8-7	4-12	4W
Central Michigan	10-21	2275	2384	-109	8-5	2-16	2L
Western Michigan	10-21	2318	2464	-146	7-8	3-13	3L
Eastern Michigan	9-21	2105	2231	-126	6-7	3-14	4L
Northern Illinois	9-21	2086	2334	-248	6-7	3-14	5L

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages