Tarleton State vs UT Arlington Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Tarleton State vs UT Arlington

The Tarleton State Texans face the UT Arlington Mavericks, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, January 21.

There’s some great value on the spread and we like Tarleton State at +3.5. We’re happy to take the underdogs with this advantage against UT Arlington at -118.

Feeling our spread angle? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site to get the best value.

Tarleton State Texans lost on the road in their previous game. Utah Tech Trailblazers won 75-71.

UT Arlington Mavericks lost on the road in their last game. Utah Valley Wolverines won 86-74.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Tarleton State had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 69-63 win over UT Arlington. The past 8 H2H games have seen Tarleton State land six wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UT Arlington	12-6	1296	1178	118	6-2	6-4	1L
Tarleton State	11-8	1539	1416	123	8-2	3-6	3L

View Full Standings

Tarleton State vs UT Arlington Prediction & Picks

Take on Tarleton State vs UT Arlington with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to back Tarleton State against the spread considering they should perform well in this college contest. Snap up the -118 when it comes to the underdogs covering the +3.5.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making basketball predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our college hoops picks.

Key Tarleton State vs UT Arlington stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Tarleton State in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Tarleton State in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by UT Arlington in 7 of their last 8 games against Tarleton State.

Tarleton State +3.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 54.1% chance that our pick will deliver a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

Want bigger odds when it comes to your bet? Never fear, you are able to head to the sportsbooks and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.

Our Game Prediction

Tarleton State +3.5 @ -118 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:57, 21 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tarleton State 71 - 70 UT Arlington

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score pick being a 71-70 win for the Texans. There are huge odds available when it comes to this selection.

Tarleton State vs UT Arlington Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

UT Arlington are regarded as having a 63% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -167. At +140, Tarleton State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There is a spread of 3.5 and total points has a line of 146.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 146.5 at -105.

You’ll find a broad selection of team props and game lines for most college contests, with the best basketball betting sites offering plenty of options. Be sure to review both the pre-game and in-game markets before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Tarleton State

+140

UT Arlington

-167

Point Spread

Tarleton State +3.5

-118

UT Arlington -3.5

-102

Total Points

Under 146.5

-105

Over 146.5

-115

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tarleton State Stats

UT Arlington Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.90 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.90 pts and allowed 79.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 134.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 134.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 67.40 pts and allowed 67.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.20 pts and allowed 60.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Western Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah Valley	15-4	1588	1290	298	12-0	3-4	3W
Cal Baptist	13-6	1389	1320	69	9-0	4-6	3W
UT Arlington	12-6	1296	1178	118	6-2	6-4	1L
Tarleton State	11-8	1539	1416	123	8-2	3-6	3L
Abilene Christian	10-9	1357	1363	-6	7-3	3-6	3L
Utah Tech	10-10	1532	1468	64	6-3	4-7	1W
Southern Utah	6-13	1460	1523	-63	6-2	0-11	2W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages