Tennessee vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Virginia

No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers go up against No. 3 Virginia Cavaliers in this NCAA Tournament Second Round matchup at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, with tip-off scheduled for 18:10 on Sunday, March 22.

Over 137.5 points are expected to be scored when Tennessee and Virginia meet, with this prediction available at odds of -110 and this looks like a value bet.

The Tennessee Volunteers (23-11, 4th in SEC) advanced to the Second Round after a 78-56 win over the Miami-Ohio RedHawks.

The Virginia Cavaliers (30-5, 2nd in ACC) secured an 82-73 win in the First Round over the Wright State Raiders.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Tennessee claim a 64-42 win over Virginia.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L

View Full Standings

Tennessee vs Virginia Prediction & Picks

Our Tennessee vs Virginia betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

The Overs is sticking out like a sore thumb considering the line for this college contest is set at 137.5. We’re expecting a bigger total and -110 is available.

We track all injuries that could impact each team before making our basketball picks. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the college hoops action.

Key Tennessee vs Virginia stats:

• The 137.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Tennessee games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Virginia games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Virginia games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Virginia games.

Over 137.5 Probability

The best betting sites suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick delivering a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college basketball bet.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs selection by combining this pick on the Match Result & Total lines. Predict a team to win as part of the deal.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Game Prediction

Over 137.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 21, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sam Lewis Under 3.5 Rebounds +110

Sam Lewis (Virginia) is available at +110 to register Under 3.5 rebounds. We think there’s a generous line on offer that he fails to cover the Player Rebounds total.

Latest Sam Lewis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-123

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

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Thijs De Ridder Over 13.5 Points -105

Thijs De Ridder (Virginia) is available at -105 to score Over 13.5 points. It makes sense to bet on him to cover the line when it comes to this Player Points wager.

Latest Thijs De Ridder Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-105

Under 13.5

-123

Rebounds

Over 6.5

+115

Under 6.5

-149

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tennessee 70 - 73 Virginia

We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take the Cavs to win 73-70. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tennessee vs Virginia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

We’re seeing Virginia priced up at -108 for a victory, with Tennessee trading at -111. The hosts have a 52% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular sportsbooks.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 137.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re wanting to back Over 137.5, the odds are -110.

There are stacks of game lines and team props s when it comes to wagering on college basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Tennessee

-111

Virginia

-108

Point Spread

Tennessee -1.5

-102

Virginia +1.5

-120

Total Points

Under 137.5

-110

Over 137.5

-110

Ja'Kobi Gillespie is favorite when it comes to landing the most baskets. You can get -105 that he goes Over 18.5 points and -123 when it comes to Under.

Ja'Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee)

Over 18.5

-105

Under 18.5

-123

Nate Ament (Tennessee)

Over 15.5

-116

Under 15.5

-111

Thijs De Ridder (Virginia)

Over 13.5

-105

Under 13.5

-123

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 12.5

-119

Under 12.5

-109

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 12.5

-105

Under 12.5

-123

J.P. Estrella (Tennessee)

Over 11.5

-120

Under 11.5

-108

Jacari White (Virginia)

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-102

Ja'Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee)

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-143

Nate Ament (Tennessee)

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-132

Thijs De Ridder (Virginia)

Over 6.5

+115

Under 6.5

-149

J.P. Estrella (Tennessee)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-145

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tennessee Stats

Virginia Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.70 pts and allowed 67.60 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 71.40 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Vanderbilt	26-8	2936	2557	379	15-3	11-5	1L
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-20	2656	2664	-8	9-9	6-11	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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