Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Texas State vs Arkansas State

The Texas State Bobcats go up against the Arkansas State Red Wolves, with tip-off scheduled for 15:00 on Saturday, January 10.

Our prediction is that Arkansas State will beat Texas State by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for them on the spread at -11.5 which is currently available at odds of -115.

Rolling with our spread angle? Use our exclusive BetMGM promo code and read the in-depth review of the betting platform before you commit to your play.

Texas State Bobcats lost on the road in their previous game. Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 80-70.

Arkansas State Red Wolves were winners last time out. It was a 86-74 home victory against Troy Trojans.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Arkansas State and Texas State saw the former win. It was a 89-70 scoreline. Arkansas State have five straight victories against Texas State. They have won 6 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas State	11-5	1333	1244	89	6-1	5-4	1W
Texas State	9-8	1266	1216	50	8-2	1-6	1L

View Full Standings

Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Texas State vs Arkansas State picks: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation and a ready-made bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

Our wager is the big favorites against the spread. Back Arkansas State off -11.5 at odds of -115 and be confident that the market leaders can cover the line in this college contest.

To deliver the best possible basketball picks, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date college hoops stats available.

Key Texas State vs Arkansas State stats:

• The -11.5 line has been covered by AR State in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -11.5 line has been covered by AR State in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arkansas State -11.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Game Prediction

Arkansas State -11.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Texas State 69 - 83 Arkansas State

There’s the chance to land huge betting odds when it comes to Arkansas State winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 83-69 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

Texas State vs Arkansas State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Arkansas State are red-hot -1000 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 91% chance of winning this college game. Texas State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +610.

The spread is 11.5 and the total points line is currently 156.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to bet Under 156.5, there are odds of -112.

College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Texas State

+610

AR State

-1000

Point Spread

Texas State +11.5

-106

AR State -11.5

-114

Total Points

Under 156.5

-112

Over 156.5

-108

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas State Stats

Arkansas State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 146.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 156.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.80 pts and allowed 75.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 68.40 pts and allowed 77.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.70 pts and allowed 73.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.90 pts and allowed 71.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia Southern	12-5	1435	1349	86	7-1	5-4	9W
Arkansas State	11-5	1333	1244	89	6-1	5-4	1W
Marshall	11-5	1277	1198	79	8-1	3-4	4W
South Alabama	11-5	1171	1075	96	5-1	6-4	1L
Troy	10-6	1371	1238	133	5-2	5-4	1L
Southern Miss	10-7	1297	1243	54	7-1	3-6	3W
Appalachian State	10-7	1242	1134	108	6-2	4-5	1W
Texas State	9-8	1266	1216	50	8-2	1-6	1L
James Madison	8-8	1202	1232	-30	6-1	2-7	1L
Coastal Carolina	8-9	1237	1231	6	3-3	5-6	3L
Old Dominion	5-12	1252	1316	-64	4-3	1-9	1W
Georgia State	5-12	1184	1274	-90	3-3	2-9	1L
Louisiana	4-13	1021	1176	-155	3-5	1-8	1W
UL Monroe	3-14	1267	1417	-150	3-6	0-8	7L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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