Texas State vs Southern Miss Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Texas State vs Southern Miss

The Texas State Bobcats face the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, January 8.

There’s a generous line of -4.5 when it comes to Southern Miss in their meeting with Texas State. The -112 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

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Texas State Bobcats triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks were beaten 84-79.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns were beaten 74-67.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Texas State beat Southern Miss in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 85-82 (OT) scoreline. In the past 7 games between the teams, Southern Miss have won four.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Southern Miss	9-7	1217	1173	44	6-1	3-6	2W
Texas State	9-7	1196	1136	60	8-2	1-5	1W

View Full Standings

Texas State vs Southern Miss Prediction & Picks

The Texas State vs Southern Miss betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is that Southern Miss will gain the upper hand in this college game. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -112, with the -4.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball picks. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our predictions.

Key Texas State vs Southern Miss stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 2 consecutive games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Texas State in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Texas State in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Southern Miss -4.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. This allows you to shoot for a team to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

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Our Game Prediction

Southern Miss -4.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Texas State 71 - 80 Southern Miss

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on Southern Miss. Backing them to win 80-71 means you can land a potential monster return.

Texas State vs Southern Miss Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Southern Miss are -167 favorites and that means a 63% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +138 about Texas State.

There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 144.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 144.5, the odds are -115.

College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Texas State

+138

Southern Miss

-167

Point Spread

Texas State +2.5

-102

Southern Miss -2.5

-120

Total Points

Under 144.5

-105

Over 144.5

-115

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas State Stats

Southern Miss Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 145.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 146.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.30 pts and allowed 73.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 67.80 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 146.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 146.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.20 pts and allowed 73.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.90 pts and allowed 68.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia Southern	12-5	1435	1349	86	7-1	5-4	9W
Arkansas State	11-5	1333	1244	89	6-1	5-4	1W
Marshall	11-5	1277	1198	79	8-1	3-4	4W
South Alabama	11-5	1171	1075	96	5-1	6-4	1L
Troy	10-6	1371	1238	133	5-2	5-4	1L
Southern Miss	9-7	1217	1173	44	6-1	3-6	2W
Appalachian State	9-7	1190	1084	106	6-2	3-5	1L
Texas State	9-7	1196	1136	60	8-2	1-5	1W
Coastal Carolina	8-8	1171	1161	10	3-2	5-6	2L
James Madison	8-8	1202	1232	-30	6-1	2-7	1L
Georgia State	5-11	1134	1222	-88	3-2	2-9	1W
Old Dominion	4-12	1182	1250	-68	4-3	0-9	4L
Louisiana	3-13	936	1097	-161	2-5	1-8	2L
UL Monroe	3-13	1188	1332	-144	3-6	0-7	6L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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