Toledo vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Toledo vs Michigan State

The Toledo Rockets battle the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 18:30 on Tuesday, December 16.

It’s hard to resist betting Toledo considering they’ve been given +22.5 on the spread. The underdogs are a good shout at -102 to stay close to Michigan State.

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Toledo Rockets lost on the road in their previous game. Robert Morris Colonials won 75-70.

Michigan State Spartans triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Penn State Nittany Lions were beaten 76-72.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Michigan State who came out on top when they last played Toledo. A 81-68 win was recorded.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan State	9-1	765	621	144	6-1	3-0	1W
Toledo	5-5	826	776	50	3-2	2-3	2L

View Full Standings

Toledo vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Toledo vs Michigan State betting tips: our expert match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Toledo can avoid a big loss in this college contest, with bettors able to back them against the spread. The underdogs should be able to cover +22.5 which have been made available at -102.

Our basketball predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our college hoops picks.

Key Toledo vs Michigan State stats:

• The +22.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 15 consecutive games.
• The +22.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -22.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 4 consecutive games.
• The -22.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -22.5 line hasn’t been covered by MSU in 8 of their last 10 games.

Toledo +22.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 50.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Toledo +22.5 @ -102 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toledo 64 - 84 Michigan State

There’s the chance to back the Spartans in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 84-64 victory in their favor.

Toledo vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Michigan State have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -10000 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 99% chance of winning. Toledo are the underdogs at +2200 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

22.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 150.5 right now. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 150.5 at -110.

Whether you’re betting pre-game or in-game, the top basketball sportsbooks serve up a wide range of team props and game lines to choose from. The options are nearly endless, and it’s great to have so much variety.

Moneyline

Toledo

+2200

MSU

-10000

Point Spread

Toledo +22.5

-102

MSU -22.5

-120

Total Points

Under 150.5

-110

Over 150.5

-110

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toledo Stats

Michigan State Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +22.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +22.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -22.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -22.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 151.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.60 pts and allowed 77.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 86.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 138.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 137.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 151.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 at Home: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.50 pts and allowed 62.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.80 pts and allowed 62.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Michigan	10-0	947	677	270	7-0	3-0	10W
Nebraska	11-0	922	751	171	10-0	1-0	11W
Purdue	10-1	931	738	193	8-1	2-0	2W
USC	10-1	963	846	117	6-1	4-0	2W
Michigan State	9-1	765	621	144	6-1	3-0	1W
Iowa	9-2	872	680	192	8-0	1-2	1W
Ohio State	8-2	876	729	147	6-1	2-1	1W
Indiana	8-3	942	741	201	8-1	0-2	1L
Illinois	8-3	966	787	179	6-3	2-0	1L
Penn State	8-3	892	819	73	7-2	1-1	2L
UCLA	7-3	767	667	100	6-1	1-2	1L
Washington	7-3	847	734	113	4-1	3-2	2W
Wisconsin	7-3	851	754	97	6-0	1-3	1L
Northwestern	6-4	823	711	112	5-3	1-1	1W
Minnesota	6-5	807	749	58	6-3	0-2	1W
Maryland	6-5	854	886	-32	5-2	1-3	2L
Oregon	5-5	760	741	19	5-3	0-2	1W
Rutgers	5-6	758	804	-46	5-2	0-4	3L

Mid-American	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami (OH)	10-0	931	690	241	7-0	3-0	10W
Buffalo	9-2	852	785	67	5-1	4-1	1L
Kent State	8-2	952	829	123	7-1	1-1	1L
Akron	8-3	1054	863	191	6-2	2-1	1L
UMass	8-3	883	810	73	5-2	3-1	5W
Bowling Green	7-3	883	658	225	6-2	1-1	1W
Toledo	5-5	826	776	50	3-2	2-3	2L
Eastern Michigan	5-5	705	732	-27	3-1	2-4	2L
Western Michigan	5-6	818	874	-56	4-1	1-5	1L
Ohio	4-6	753	812	-59	4-4	0-2	3W
Central Michigan	3-7	723	786	-63	3-1	0-6	3L
Northern Illinois	3-7	740	803	-63	2-1	1-6	4L
Ball State	3-8	714	763	-49	3-2	0-6	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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