Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Troy vs Southern Miss

The Troy Trojans go up against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Saturday, February 14.

We’re very excited to see Troy at -3.5 on the spread and think it’s a really good number for them to cover against Southern Miss at odds of -114.

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Troy Trojans were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Texas State Bobcats claimed a 74-62 win.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles lost their last game, being beaten at home to South Alabama Jaguars 84-78.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Troy and Southern Miss saw the former win. It was a 91-65 scoreline. Troy have enjoyed three consecutive wins against Southern Miss. They’ve landed 4 victories from the past 8 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	17-9	2140	1947	193	8-4	9-5	1L
Southern Miss	13-14	1985	1987	-2	10-3	3-11	1L

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Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction & Picks

Step into Troy vs Southern Miss with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

The best betting angle could be Troy on the spread. You can land odds of -114 that the favorites are able to cover the -3.5 line and they're more than capable in this college showdown.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Troy vs Southern Miss stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Troy in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Troy in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southern Miss in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southern Miss in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southern Miss in 3 consecutive games against Troy.

Troy -3.5 Probability

The top betting apps imply that our pick has a 53.2% prospect of delivering a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.

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Our Game Prediction

Troy -3.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Troy 78 - 71 Southern Miss

We’re going for the Trojans to claim a 78-71 victory and the good news is that there are massive betting odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

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Troy vs Southern Miss Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Troy are -189 favorites and that means a 65% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Southern Miss are trading at +152.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 144.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 144.5, there are odds of -108.

There are plenty of team props and game lines available for college basketball wagering, and we recommend checking out the top sportsbooks to find the bet that aligns with your prediction for the game.

Moneyline

Troy

-189

Southern Miss

+152

Point Spread

Troy -4.5

-105

Southern Miss +4.5

-115

Total Points

Under 144.5

-112

Over 144.5

-108

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Troy Stats

Southern Miss Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 144.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.90 pts and allowed 70.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 84.00 pts and allowed 81.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 139.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 144.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 144.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 68.80 pts and allowed 74.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 71.60 pts and allowed 68.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	19-7	1931	1790	141	10-2	9-5	3W
Troy	17-9	2140	1947	193	8-4	9-5	1L
Appalachian State	18-10	1993	1800	193	11-3	7-7	1L
Marshall	16-9	1999	1875	124	11-3	5-6	1W
Texas State	17-11	2084	1984	100	15-2	2-9	6W
Coastal Carolina	16-11	1985	1946	39	7-4	9-7	2W
Arkansas State	16-11	2227	2093	134	9-4	7-7	1L
Georgia Southern	14-12	2089	2070	19	8-6	6-6	3L
James Madison	14-13	1996	2014	-18	11-3	3-10	3W
Southern Miss	13-14	1985	1987	-2	10-3	3-11	1L
Louisiana	9-17	1627	1795	-168	6-7	3-10	1L
Georgia State	9-18	1903	2006	-103	6-5	3-13	6L
Old Dominion	9-18	2010	2074	-64	6-6	3-12	1W
UL Monroe	4-23	1949	2250	-301	3-10	1-13	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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