UC Davis vs Cal Poly Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: UC Davis vs Cal Poly

The UC Davis Aggies square off against the Cal Poly Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 17:00 on Saturday, January 10.

We’re not sure that UC Davis and Cal Poly will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the -110 that there are Under 168.5 points.

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UC Davis Aggies won their previous game 93-86. This was a road victory against UC Santa Barbara Gauchos.

Cal Poly Mustangs lost on the road in their last game. Cal State Northridge Matadors won 95-90.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 86-76 in favor of Cal Poly when they last played UC Davis. The past 10 H2H games have seen UC Davis land eight wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UC Davis	9-6	1218	1139	79	6-2	3-4	1W
Cal Poly	6-11	1381	1457	-76	3-4	3-7	2L

View Full Standings

UC Davis vs Cal Poly Prediction & Picks

We cover the key UC Davis vs Cal Poly betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, correct score selection and a bet builder tailored for the best value.

Game Prediction

The -110 about Under 168.5 points makes lots of appeal. We’re not sure that the teams can combine to reach that number for this college matchup.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball predictions. We combine this insight with up-to-date college hoops stats for sharper picks.

Key UC Davis vs Cal Poly stats:

• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 UC Davis games on the road.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 UC Davis games on the road.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Cal Poly games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Cal Poly games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Cal Poly games at home.
• The 168.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 games between these teams.

Under 168.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better return.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 168.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

UC Davis 80 - 82 Cal Poly

We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take Cal Poly to win 82-80. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

UC Davis vs Cal Poly Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find Cal Poly at -102 whereas UC Davis are -120. From a percentage point-of-view, the leading sportsbooks give the visiting team a 55% chance of success.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 168.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you fancy Under 168.5, then the odds are -110.

The best betting sites offer stacks of team props and game lines when it comes to most college basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

UC Davis

-120

Cal Poly

-102

Point Spread

UC Davis -1.5

-106

Cal Poly +1.5

-114

Total Points

Under 168.5

-110

Over 168.5

-110

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UC Davis Stats

Cal Poly Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 168.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 79.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 72.90 pts and allowed 79.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 167.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 168.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 168.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 85.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.70 pts and allowed 79.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Hawaii	11-3	1126	885	241	10-1	1-2	1L
UC San Diego	12-4	1295	1145	150	8-2	4-2	1L
UC Irvine	12-5	1337	1135	202	7-4	5-1	5W
UC Davis	9-6	1218	1139	79	6-2	3-4	1W
Cal State Northridge	10-7	1377	1341	36	8-0	2-7	2W
UCSB	9-7	1267	1192	75	7-2	2-5	3L
CSU Bakersfield	8-9	1245	1312	-67	6-3	2-6	2W
Cal State Fullerton	7-10	1475	1461	14	5-4	2-6	1W
UC Riverside	6-10	1148	1250	-102	3-2	3-8	4L
Cal Poly	6-11	1381	1457	-76	3-4	3-7	2L
Long Beach State	5-11	1187	1235	-48	5-3	0-8	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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