UCSB vs Cal Poly Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: UCSB vs Cal Poly

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos battle the Cal Poly Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, February 14.

Don’t miss out on the opportunity to side with UC Santa Barbara at -4.5 on the spread. On the face of it, this seems a more than generous line and -104 can be backed against Cal Poly.

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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos got the win in their previous game. A 76-68 triumph occurred on the road when playing UC Riverside Highlanders.

Cal Poly Mustangs won their last game which was at home. It was a 79-73 triumph against UC Irvine Anteaters.

Head-to-Head Statistics

UCSB had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 107-67 win over Cal Poly. In the past 10 meetings between these teams, UCSB have won all of them.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UCSB	17-8	1980	1810	170	11-2	6-6	2W
Cal Poly	10-16	2107	2224	-117	5-7	5-9	1W

View Full Standings

UCSB vs Cal Poly Prediction & Picks

Step into UCSB vs Cal Poly with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline and a custom-built bet builder. Dive into each section below for the latest insights.

Game Prediction

Our pick is for UC Santa Barbara to cover the generous -4.5 line in this college contest. They should be able to win by a more comfortable margin and odds of -104 are available for the favorites.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert basketball predictions. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate college hoops picks possible.

Key UCSB vs Cal Poly stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by UCSB in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by UCSB in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by UCSB in 2 consecutive games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Cal Poly in 2 consecutive games against UCSB.

UCSB -4.5 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting apps suggest our pick carries a 51% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There are lots of alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

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Our Game Prediction

UCSB -4.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

UC Santa Barbara 82 - 75 Cal Poly

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on UC Santa Barbara. Backing them to win 82-75 means you can land a potential monster return.

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UCSB vs Cal Poly Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean UC Santa Barbara are -196 favorites to win and that means a 66% chance of landing a victory. Cal Poly are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +158.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 160.5 right now. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 160.5 can find odds of -110 available.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The best sportsbooks have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

UC Santa Barbara

-196

Cal Poly

+158

Point Spread

UC Santa Barbara -4.5

-104

Cal Poly +4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 160.5

-110

Over 160.5

-110

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UCSB Stats

Cal Poly Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 141.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 160.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 71.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 70.20 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 167.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 162.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 160.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 160.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.60 pts and allowed 86.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.10 pts and allowed 82.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Hawaii	18-5	1854	1543	311	14-1	4-4	3W
UCSB	17-8	1980	1810	170	11-2	6-6	2W
UC San Diego	17-9	1989	1832	157	10-5	7-4	1W
UC Irvine	16-9	1931	1703	228	9-4	7-5	2L
Cal State Northridge	15-10	2048	1994	54	11-1	4-9	4W
UC Davis	15-10	1954	1877	77	11-3	4-7	1L
Cal State Fullerton	13-13	2181	2137	44	9-4	4-9	3W
Cal Poly	10-16	2107	2224	-117	5-7	5-9	1W
Long Beach State	8-17	1874	1931	-57	7-6	1-11	6L
UC Riverside	8-18	1872	2030	-158	5-6	3-12	4L
CSU Bakersfield	8-18	1875	2080	-205	6-8	2-10	9L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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