UCSB vs Sacramento State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: UCSB vs Sacramento State

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos square off against the Sacramento State Hornets, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Tuesday, November 11. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Will Points Be at a Premium?

The -110 about Under 161.5 points makes lots of appeal and represents value in our eyes. We’re not sure if UC Santa Barbara and Sacramento State can combine to reach that total.

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Teams’ Last Matchup Saw 75-58 UCSB Win

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos claimed a victory in their previous game. A 85-74 home win occurred against San Jose State Spartans.

Sacramento State Hornets won their last game, beating William Jessup Warriors at home. It was a 86-76 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw UCSB claim a 75-58 win over Sacramento State.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Sacramento State	2-0	189	155	34	2-0	0-0	2W
UCSB	2-0	183	141	42	2-0	0-0	2W

View Full Standings

UCSB vs Sacramento State Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for UCSB vs Sacramento State with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Let’s go Under the 161.5 points total as we think this number is unlikely to be reached in this college showdown. The two teams could well end up falling short and -110 can be backed.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our college hoops handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each basketball pick.

Key UCSB vs Sacramento State stats:

• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 UCSB games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 UCSB games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 UCSB games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Sac State games.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Sac State games.

Under 161.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re wanting to wager Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

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Best Bet

Under 161.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

UC Santa Barbara 82 - 75 Sacramento State

A 82-75 win for UC Santa Barbara is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

UCSB vs Sacramento State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

UCSB Win on the Cards According to the Books

According to the Moneyline betting odds, UC Santa Barbara are red-hot -588 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 85% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that Sacramento State are least likely to win at +410.

There is a spread of 9.5 and total points has a line of 161.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. Those who wager Under 161.5 can get -110.

There are stacks of game lines and team props s when it comes to wagering on college basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

UC Santa Barbara

-588

Sac State

+410

Point Spread

UC Santa Barbara -9.5

-110

Sac State +9.5

-110

Total Points

Under 161.5

-110

Over 161.5

-114

Player Props & Micro Betting

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UCSB Stats

Sacramento State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 143.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.80 pts and allowed 73.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.50 pts and allowed 74.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.70 pts and allowed 74.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 70.20 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Sky	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Northern Colorado	2-0	192	122	70	2-0	0-0	2W
Idaho	2-0	177	130	47	1-0	1-0	2W
Sacramento State	2-0	189	155	34	2-0	0-0	2W
Montana	2-1	247	171	76	2-0	0-1	1L
Idaho State	2-1	209	212	-3	1-0	1-1	1L
Weber State	1-1	219	130	89	1-0	0-1	1L
Portland State	1-1	201	163	38	1-0	0-1	1W
Northern Arizona	1-1	158	132	26	1-0	0-1	1W
Montana State	1-2	265	203	62	1-1	0-1	1L
Eastern Washington	0-3	233	252	-19	0-0	0-3	3L

Big West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UC San Diego	2-0	183	133	50	2-0	0-0	2W
UC Riverside	2-0	162	119	43	1-0	1-0	2W
UCSB	2-0	183	141	42	2-0	0-0	2W
UC Irvine	2-1	316	181	135	2-1	0-0	1W
UC Davis	2-1	239	204	35	2-0	0-1	1L
Cal State Northridge	2-1	249	229	20	1-0	1-1	1W
Cal Poly	2-1	238	244	-6	1-0	1-1	2W
Hawaii	1-1	159	134	25	1-0	0-1	1W
CSU Bakersfield	1-1	143	148	-5	1-0	0-1	1W
Cal State Fullerton	1-2	283	267	16	1-0	0-2	2L
Long Beach State	0-2	107	159	-52	0-0	0-2	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak