UMass vs Toledo Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: UMass vs Toledo

The UMass Minutemen square off against the Toledo Rockets, with tip-off scheduled for 17:00 on Friday, March 13.

There’s a generous line of -3.5 when it comes to Toledo in their meeting with UMass. The -110 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

UMass Minutemen got the win in their previous game. A 87-83 triumph occurred on the road when playing Miami-Ohio RedHawks.

Toledo Rockets won their last game, beating Bowling Green Falcons at home. It was a 77-76 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

UMass won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 84-82 victory was registered against Toledo.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Toledo	18-14	2601	2457	144	12-4	6-10	2W
UMass	17-15	2581	2485	96	11-6	6-9	2W

View Full Standings

UMass vs Toledo Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert UMass vs Toledo betting tips, from our main match prediction and correct score call to bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to cover the spread by backing Toledo at -3.5 in this college showdown. We can get odds of -110 and this is our best pick.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key UMass vs Toledo stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 3 of their last 5 games.

Toledo -3.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

Why bet empty-handed? Check our up-to-date guide for the latest sign-up promos, welcome bonuses and betting offers.

Our Game Prediction

Toledo -3.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 13, 06:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

UMass 79 - 86 Toledo

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a massive potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Rockets to achieve a 86-79 win at huge odds.

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UMass vs Toledo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Toledo have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability due to their -164 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, UMass Minutemen are trading at +136.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 158.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re wanting to back Over 158.5, the odds are -110.

The best betting sites offer stacks of team props and game lines when it comes to most college basketball contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

UMass

+136

Toledo

-164

Point Spread

UMass +3.5

-110

Toledo -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 158.5

-110

Over 158.5

-110

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Points, Assists, Three-Pointers, Rebounds and Steals among the choices and you can take a particular view.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UMass Stats

Toledo Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 158.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.30 pts and allowed 84.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 158.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 74.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 75.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami (OH)	31-1	2901	2409	492	17-1	14-0	1L
Akron	27-5	2850	2355	495	17-2	10-3	8W
Kent State	23-8	2629	2485	144	16-3	7-5	3W
Toledo	18-14	2601	2457	144	12-4	6-10	2W
Bowling Green	18-14	2602	2290	312	12-7	6-7	1L
UMass	17-15	2581	2485	96	11-6	6-9	2W
Buffalo	17-15	2497	2437	60	8-8	9-7	2L
Ohio	15-17	2492	2515	-23	11-8	4-9	4L
Ball State	12-19	2093	2154	-61	8-7	4-12	4W
Central Michigan	10-21	2275	2384	-109	8-5	2-16	2L
Western Michigan	10-21	2318	2464	-146	7-8	3-13	3L
Eastern Michigan	9-21	2105	2231	-126	6-7	3-14	4L
Northern Illinois	9-21	2086	2334	-248	6-7	3-14	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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