UMBC vs Morgan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: UMBC vs Morgan State

The UMBC Retrievers face the Morgan State Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Tuesday, November 11. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

UMBC and Morgan State to Cancel Each Other Out

There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 167.5, so we’re prepared to take the -116 that UMBC and Morgan State go under the line.

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UMBC Beat Morgan State When Teams Last Met

UMBC Retrievers lost on the road in their previous game. Dayton Flyers won 77-71.

Morgan State Bears were winners last time out. It was a 101-77 home victory against Central Pennsylvania College Knights.

Head-to-Head Statistics

UMBC triumphed 92-69 when they last played Morgan State. The previous 3 H2H meetings have involved UMBC winning two times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Morgan State	1-1	171	164	7	1-0	0-1	1W
UMBC	1-1	145	130	15	1-0	0-1	1L

View Full Standings

UMBC vs Morgan State Prediction & Picks

Our UMBC vs Morgan State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

The Unders looks the way to go for this college matchup. The line looks too high at 167.5 and odds of -116 could favor bettors who go below that total.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our college hoops handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each basketball pick.

Key UMBC vs Morgan State stats:

• The 167.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 UMBC games.
• The 167.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 UMBC games.
• The 167.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 UMBC games.
• The 167.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Morgan State games at home.
• The 167.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Morgan State games.

Under 167.5 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting apps suggest our pick carries a 53.8% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under bet on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is great way of wagering on multiple outcomes in a single game.

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Best Bet

Under 167.5 Points @ -116 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

UMBC 80 - 81 Morgan State

We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for Morgan State to win by a 81-80 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

UMBC vs Morgan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Think UMBC Likeliest to Win

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have UMBC as -185 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 65% likely to win. The market suggests that Morgan State are least likely to win at +148.

There is a spread of 3.5 and total points has a line of 167.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 167.5 can find odds of -116 available.

If you’re betting on college basketball, it’s a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the wide range of game lines and team props available. You’ll have the option to place wagers both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

UMBC

-185

Morgan State

+148

Point Spread

UMBC -3.5

-115

Morgan State +3.5

-105

Total Points

Under 167.5

-116

Over 167.5

-108

Player Props & Micro Betting

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UMBC Stats

Morgan State Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 167.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 167.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 79.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.20 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 167.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 167.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.70 pts and allowed 78.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.70 pts and allowed 76.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-Eastern Athletic	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Norfolk State	2-1	295	212	83	2-1	0-0	1L
Morgan State	1-1	171	164	7	1-0	0-1	1W
Howard	1-2	240	232	8	1-2	0-0	1L
UMES	1-2	185	209	-24	1-0	0-2	1W
Coppin State	0-3	190	254	-64	0-0	0-3	3L
Delaware State	0-3	165	234	-69	0-0	0-3	3L
NC Central	0-3	182	271	-89	0-0	0-3	3L
South Carolina St.	0-3	179	271	-92	0-0	0-3	3L

America East	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vermont	3-0	277	214	63	2-0	1-0	3W
UMBC	1-1	145	130	15	1-0	0-1	1L
NJIT	1-1	125	135	-10	0-1	1-0	1L
New Hampshire	1-2	226	205	21	1-0	0-2	1L
UMass Lowell	1-2	221	238	-17	1-1	0-1	2L
Binghamton	1-2	172	208	-36	1-1	0-1	1L
Maine	0-3	167	210	-43	0-0	0-3	3L
Bryant	0-2	111	156	-45	0-0	0-2	2L
Albany	0-2	115	163	-48	0-0	0-2	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak