USC vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Jan 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: USC vs Michigan State
The USC Trojans face the Michigan State Spartans, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Monday, January 5.
We’re predicting that Michigan State will be superior to USC and that’s why we’re backing them on the spread at -10.5. Take the -120 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.
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USC Trojans were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 96-66 reverse against Michigan Wolverines.
Michigan State Spartans were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 58-56 reverse against Nebraska Cornhuskers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
USC won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 70-64 triumph when facing Michigan State.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan State
|
12-2 | 1106 | 915 | 191 | 9-1 | 3-1 | 1L |
USC
|
12-2 | 1228 | 1075 | 153 | 8-1 | 4-1 | 1L |
USC vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks
Tackle USC vs Michigan State with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
There are odds of -120 that Michigan State will cover the -10.5 line. We think this is a great spread for this college pick where there is lots of of value available.
Our team of college basketball handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.
Key USC vs Michigan State stats:
Michigan State -10.5 Probability
If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your spread pick exceeds expectations.
Get extra value on your next wager with our list of betting offers—featuring welcome bonuses, free bets, and promotions.
Player Prop Picks
Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State) can be backed to record Over 13.5 points at -118. He looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and we’re confident with this wager.
Latest Jaxon Kohler Player Prop Odds
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Coen Carr (Michigan State) can be backed to have Under 5.5 rebounds at -118. We think that he will fail to cover this total and this Player Rebounds bet can be taken with confidence.
Latest Coen Carr Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Michigan State -10.5. We’ve also gone for Over 151.5 and Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State) to score Over 13.5 points.
The same game parlay option is awesome for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same basketball game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
71
-
85
Michigan State
There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Spartans to achieve a 85-71 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.
USC vs Michigan State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
You might not get rich backing Michigan State at -909. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 90% chance of winning this college game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +580 about USC.
The spread currently stands at 11.5 and the total points line is 151.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 151.5 at -105.
The best betting apps provide a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball matchups. Be sure to explore all the available options before placing your bet.
The favorite to land the most baskets is Chad Baker-Mazara. Odds of -135 can be found for him scoring Over 17.5 points and there is +104 for him to go Under.
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
USC Stats
Michigan State Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 158.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 151.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.60 pts and allowed 75.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 82.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 146.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 151.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 65.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 66.30 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Big Ten | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan
|
13-0 | 1257 | 864 | 393 | 10-0 | 3-0 | 13W |
Nebraska
|
14-0 | 1144 | 917 | 227 | 13-0 | 1-0 | 14W |
Purdue
|
13-1 | 1209 | 931 | 278 | 10-1 | 3-0 | 5W |
Iowa
|
12-2 | 1130 | 842 | 288 | 11-0 | 1-2 | 4W |
|
Michigan State
|
12-2 | 1106 | 915 | 191 | 9-1 | 3-1 | 1L |
|
USC
|
12-2 | 1228 | 1075 | 153 | 8-1 | 4-1 | 1L |
Illinois
|
11-3 | 1220 | 955 | 265 | 8-3 | 3-0 | 3W |
Indiana
|
11-3 | 1191 | 939 | 252 | 11-1 | 0-2 | 3W |
Ohio State
|
10-3 | 1115 | 936 | 179 | 7-2 | 3-1 | 2W |
UCLA
|
10-4 | 1123 | 970 | 153 | 9-1 | 1-3 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
9-5 | 1029 | 920 | 109 | 8-3 | 1-2 | 4W |
Washington
|
9-5 | 1153 | 1015 | 138 | 6-1 | 3-4 | 1L |
Wisconsin
|
9-5 | 1158 | 1040 | 118 | 8-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Penn State
|
9-5 | 1093 | 1039 | 54 | 8-4 | 1-1 | 1L |
Oregon
|
8-6 | 1080 | 1012 | 68 | 7-3 | 1-3 | 2W |
Northwestern
|
8-6 | 1125 | 986 | 139 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 1L |
Maryland
|
7-7 | 1053 | 1088 | -35 | 6-3 | 1-4 | 1L |
Rutgers
|
7-7 | 966 | 1003 | -37 | 7-3 | 0-4 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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