Valparaiso vs Illinois State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Valparaiso vs Illinois State

The Valparaiso Beacons go up against the Illinois State Redbirds, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, February 12.

Over 137.5 points seems very realistic when Valparaiso go up against Illinois State. We’re taking odds of -115 on the basis that the total line is too low.

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Valparaiso Beacons got the win in their previous game. A 81-76 triumph occurred on the road when playing Drake Bulldogs.

Illinois State Redbirds were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 88-80 reverse against Evansville Purple Aces.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 77-71 win for Valparaiso when they last played Illinois State. Valparaiso have won eight of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois State	16-9	1920	1691	229	12-3	4-6	1L
Valparaiso	12-12	1688	1697	-9	9-4	3-8	2W

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Valparaiso vs Illinois State Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Valparaiso vs Illinois State with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals for this college matchup. Our pick is for Over 137.5 points to be scored at odds of -115 which makes plenty of appeal.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Valparaiso vs Illinois State stats:

• The 137.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Valpo games on the road.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Valpo games on the road.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Illinois State games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Illinois State games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Illinois State games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Over 137.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% chance of this pick winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Secure more desirable odds by moving the line when you place an Over wager. You can choose from a range of options on the Totals until you’re happy with your bet.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 137.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Valparaiso 70 - 75 Illinois State

There’s the chance to land huge betting odds when it comes to Illinois State winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 75-70 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

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Valparaiso vs Illinois State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Illinois State at -500. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 83% chance of winning this college game. Valparaiso are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +375.

The spread is currently 8.5, with the total points line at 137.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Over 137.5, then the odds are -115.

You’ll find a broad selection of team props and game lines for most college contests, with the best basketball betting sites offering plenty of options. Be sure to review both the pre-game and in-game markets before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Valpo

+375

Illinois State

-500

Point Spread

Valpo +8.5

-102

Illinois State -8.5

-120

Total Points

Under 137.5

-105

Over 137.5

-115

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Valparaiso Stats

Illinois State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 137.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.20 pts and allowed 70.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 72.50 pts and allowed 75.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 139.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 137.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.10 pts and allowed 71.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 76.20 pts and allowed 63.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	22-4	2168	1876	292	12-2	10-2	1L
Murray State	18-8	2217	2067	150	13-2	5-6	1L
Bradley	17-9	2012	1895	117	14-3	3-6	1W
Illinois State	16-9	1920	1691	229	12-3	4-6	1L
Northern Iowa	16-9	1694	1499	195	11-3	5-6	3W
UIC	13-12	1864	1757	107	8-5	5-7	2L
Valparaiso	12-12	1688	1697	-9	9-4	3-8	2W
Drake	12-14	2017	1949	68	7-9	5-5	4L
Southern Illinois	11-14	1855	1789	66	6-6	5-8	1W
Indiana State	10-15	1881	1873	8	7-5	3-10	1L
Evansville	6-19	1692	1863	-171	4-10	2-9	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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