Vermont vs UMBC Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Vermont vs UMBC
The Vermont Catamounts go up against the UMBC Retrievers, with tip-off scheduled for 11:00 on Saturday, March 14.
The -132 about UMBC look more than generous when it comes to the Moneyline. We think Vermont can be beaten, so this is our betting prediction.
Vermont Catamounts claimed a victory in their previous game. A 63-54 home win occurred against NJIT Highlanders.
UMBC Retrievers won their last game which was at home. It was a 91-69 triumph against UMass Lowell River Hawks.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was UMBC who came out on top when they last played Vermont. A 75-62 win was recorded. It’s been eight Vermont wins in the past 10 games between these teams.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMBC
|
23-8 | 2365 | 2085 | 280 | 14-2 | 9-6 | 11W |
Vermont
|
22-11 | 2437 | 2256 | 181 | 13-5 | 9-6 | 5W |
Vermont vs UMBC Prediction & Picks
Our Vermont vs UMBC betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.
Game Prediction
The pick is that UMBC will outscore their opponents, with -132 currently on offer that the home team win this college matchup. That looks a price worth taking for this value bet.
The college basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.
Key Vermont vs UMBC stats:
UMBC Moneyline Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 56.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college basketball bet.
Fancy UMBC to win but want more juice in the odds? Why not take a look at the spread and consider them to cover one of the available lines.
Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is UMBC on the moneyline, Under 138.5 and at least one team not to score 80 points and UMBC to win on the Result & BTTS lines.
A basketball same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big payout from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
65
-
70
UMBC
You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a huge payout by getting this correct score right. We’re going for UMBC to achieve a 70-65 victory and hopefully this goes close.
Vermont vs UMBC Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
UMBC have been given Moneyline odds of -137 against Vermont who are +114. The probability of the home team winning this college game is 58% according to the sportsbooks.
The spread is currently 2.5, with the total points line at 138.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you fancy Under 138.5, then the odds are -110.
There are plenty of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on college matchups and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.
There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.
- NCAAB: 20/02 2026 Vermont 62 UMBC 75
- NCAAB: 30/01 2026 UMBC 55 Vermont 64
- NCAAB: 01/03 2025 Vermont 79 UMBC 69
- NCAAB: 25/01 2025 UMBC 80 Vermont 63
- NCAAB: 10/02 2024 Vermont 72 UMBC 70
- NCAAB: 12/01 2024 UMBC 72 Vermont 77
- NCAAB: 28/01 2023 UMBC 68 Vermont 74
- NCAAB: 01/01 2023 Vermont 74 UMBC 61
- NCAAB: 12/03 2022 UMBC 43 Vermont 82
- NCAAB: 19/02 2022 UMBC 59 Vermont 86
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Vermont Stats
UMBC Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
- 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 135.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 136.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 138.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 138.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.00 pts and allowed 63.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.60 pts and allowed 66.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 142.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 142.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 138.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 138.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.30 pts and allowed 61.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.50 pts and allowed 64.80 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| America East | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
UMBC
|
23-8 | 2365 | 2085 | 280 | 14-2 | 9-6 | 11W |
|
Vermont
|
22-11 | 2437 | 2256 | 181 | 13-5 | 9-6 | 5W |
NJIT
|
16-17 | 2212 | 2417 | -205 | 8-6 | 8-11 | 1L |
UMass Lowell
|
15-18 | 2471 | 2518 | -47 | 10-4 | 5-14 | 1L |
Albany
|
11-21 | 2303 | 2332 | -29 | 7-7 | 4-14 | 2L |
New Hampshire
|
9-21 | 2076 | 2238 | -162 | 8-5 | 1-16 | 1L |
Bryant
|
9-22 | 2010 | 2246 | -236 | 8-5 | 1-17 | 2L |
Binghamton
|
8-23 | 2105 | 2321 | -216 | 7-9 | 1-14 | 2W |
Maine
|
8-24 | 2001 | 2190 | -189 | 4-9 | 4-15 | 3L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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