Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | NCAAB, 22 Feb 2025
We’re Predicting North Carolina to Cover the Line
It’s time to go for North Carolina against the spread, especially with an attractive -9.5 line at -110. Our prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved in their meeting with Virginia.
North Carolina Claimed 54-44 Victory in Last H2H
Virginia Cavaliers were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Duke Blue Devils by a 80-62 scoreline.
North Carolina Tar Heels were winners last time out. It was a 97-73 home victory against NC State Wolfpack.
North Carolina had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 54-44 win over Virginia. We’ve seen six Virginia wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.
NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
22-13 | 2828 | 2624 | 204 | 14-5 | 8-8 | 1L |
![]() |
15-17 | 2073 | 2137 | -64 | 10-8 | 5-9 | 2L |
Expert College Basketball Analysis
The college basketball picks are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.
Key Virginia vs North Carolina stats:
Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction
We expect North Carolina to cover the -9.5 line on the spread. This is a really good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 for this college showdown.
Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.
North Carolina -9.5 Probability
The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.
Our Pick
North Carolina -9.5 @ -110
Player Props
Seth Trimble (North Carolina) can be backed to score Over 10.5 points at -100. There’s a fairly strong case that he will be able to cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points.
Latest Seth Trimble Player Prop Odds

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Ian Jackson (North Carolina) is available at -111 to total Over 10.5 points. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back him to cover the line.
Latest Ian Jackson Player Prop Odds

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Virginia vs North Carolina Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with North Carolina -9.5. We’ve also gone for Over 141.5 and Seth Trimble (North Carolina) to score Over 10.5 points.
A bet builder is a fantastic option for basketball bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
Virginia vs North Carolina Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Books Make North Carolina Moneyline Favorites
North Carolina are strong -476 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 83% chance of claiming victory. Virginia are the underdogs at +360 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The current spread is 9.5 and total points is 140.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. The Over 140.5 selection is available to back at -105.
You can back North Carolina to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -280 to achieve this, with Virginia +200 to win the race to this total.
Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.
Betting Lines & Odds




RJ Davis Favorite to Score the Most Points
RJ Davis is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -109 to score Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -119.
Player Points




Player Assists




Player Rebounds




Micro Betting
An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.
Last 5 & H2H
Virginia
Head to Head
Virginia vs North Carolina
- NCAAB: 24/02 2024 North Carolina 54 Virginia 44
- NCAAB: 10/03 2023 North Carolina 59 Virginia 68
- NCAAB: 26/02 2023 Virginia 63 North Carolina 71
- NCAAB: 11/01 2023 North Carolina 58 Virginia 65
- NCAAB: 11/03 2022 Virginia 43 North Carolina 63
- NCAAB: 08/01 2022 Virginia 58 North Carolina 74
- NCAAB: 14/02 2021 North Carolina 48 Virginia 60
- NCAAB: 16/02 2020 Virginia 64 North Carolina 62
- NCAAB: 08/12 2019 North Carolina 47 Virginia 56
- NCAAB: 12/02 2019 Virginia 69 North Carolina 61
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Virginia Stats
North Carolina Stats
Moneyline
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Point Spread
- +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
Point Spread
- -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
Total Points
- Game Totals: An average of 137.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 136.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 143: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 143 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.10 pts and allowed 67.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 65.30 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Total Points
- Game Totals: An average of 152.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 143: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 143 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 73.40 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
31-3 | 2812 | 2105 | 707 | 20-2 | 11-1 | 11W |
![]() |
27-6 | 2519 | 2167 | 352 | 17-2 | 10-4 | 1L |
![]() |
27-7 | 2672 | 2343 | 329 | 16-4 | 11-3 | 1L |
![]() |
23-10 | 2641 | 2347 | 294 | 14-5 | 9-5 | 1L |
![]() |
21-11 | 2246 | 2177 | 69 | 15-4 | 6-7 | 1L |
![]() |
22-13 | 2828 | 2624 | 204 | 14-5 | 8-8 | 1L |
![]() |
20-13 | 2409 | 2329 | 80 | 17-4 | 3-9 | 1L |
![]() |
17-15 | 2383 | 2319 | 64 | 12-6 | 5-9 | 1L |
![]() |
17-15 | 2428 | 2267 | 161 | 13-4 | 4-11 | 1L |
![]() |
17-16 | 2421 | 2390 | 31 | 15-5 | 2-11 | 1L |
![]() |
15-17 | 2073 | 2137 | -64 | 10-8 | 5-9 | 2L |
![]() |
15-18 | 2397 | 2392 | 5 | 12-7 | 3-11 | 1L |
![]() |
14-19 | 2464 | 2566 | -102 | 11-6 | 3-13 | 1L |
![]() |
14-19 | 2494 | 2534 | -40 | 11-6 | 3-13 | 1L |
![]() |
13-19 | 2213 | 2341 | -128 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 3L |
![]() |
12-19 | 2155 | 2180 | -25 | 12-7 | 0-12 | 1L |
![]() |
12-19 | 2182 | 2349 | -167 | 12-8 | 0-11 | 4L |
![]() |
7-24 | 2294 | 2500 | -206 | 7-10 | 0-14 | 1W |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
Next Predictions















