Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Feb 2025
It’s time to go for North Carolina against the spread, especially with an attractive -9.5 line at -110. Our prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved in their meeting with Virginia.
Virginia Cavaliers were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Duke Blue Devils by a 80-62 scoreline.
North Carolina Tar Heels were winners last time out. It was a 97-73 home victory against NC State Wolfpack.
Head-to-Head Statistics
North Carolina had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 54-44 win over Virginia. We’ve seen six Virginia wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Carolina
|
9-1 | 811 | 647 | 164 | 8-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
Virginia
|
9-1 | 871 | 675 | 196 | 7-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks
We expect North Carolina to cover the -9.5 line on the spread. This is a really good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -110 for this college showdown.
The college basketball picks are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.
Key Virginia vs North Carolina stats:
UNC -9.5 Probability
The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.
Selling points can be a great option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.
Player Prop Picks
Seth Trimble (North Carolina) can be backed to score Over 10.5 points at -100. There’s a fairly strong case that he will be able to cover the line and we’ll wager on his Player Points.
Latest Seth Trimble Player Prop Odds
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Ian Jackson (North Carolina) is available at -111 to total Over 10.5 points. We’ve found an opportunity to bet on Player Points where we’re able to back him to cover the line.
Latest Ian Jackson Player Prop Odds
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Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with North Carolina -9.5. We’ve also gone for Over 141.5 and Seth Trimble (North Carolina) to score Over 10.5 points.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for basketball bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
Virginia vs North Carolina Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
North Carolina are strong -476 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 83% chance of claiming victory. Virginia are the underdogs at +360 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The current spread is 9.5 and total points is 140.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. The Over 140.5 selection is available to back at -105.
You can back UNC to make a fast start and hit the 20-point mark first. The favorites are -280 to achieve this, with Virginia +200 to win the race to this total.
Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.
RJ Davis is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -109 to score Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -119.
An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.
- NCAAB: 24/02 2024 North Carolina 54 Virginia 44
- NCAAB: 10/03 2023 North Carolina 59 Virginia 68
- NCAAB: 26/02 2023 Virginia 63 North Carolina 71
- NCAAB: 11/01 2023 North Carolina 58 Virginia 65
- NCAAB: 11/03 2022 Virginia 43 North Carolina 63
- NCAAB: 08/01 2022 Virginia 58 North Carolina 74
- NCAAB: 14/02 2021 North Carolina 48 Virginia 60
- NCAAB: 16/02 2020 Virginia 64 North Carolina 62
- NCAAB: 08/12 2019 North Carolina 47 Virginia 56
- NCAAB: 12/02 2019 Virginia 69 North Carolina 61
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Virginia Stats
North Carolina Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 137.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 136.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 143: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 143 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 69.10 pts and allowed 67.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 65.30 pts and allowed 71.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 152.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 143: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 143 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.00 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 73.40 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
10-0 | 868 | 596 | 272 | 7-0 | 3-0 | 10W |
California
|
10-1 | 909 | 761 | 148 | 10-0 | 0-1 | 7W |
Louisville
|
9-1 | 943 | 681 | 262 | 7-0 | 2-1 | 2W |
Virginia
|
9-1 | 871 | 675 | 196 | 7-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
North Carolina
|
9-1 | 811 | 647 | 164 | 8-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
Virginia Tech
|
10-2 | 998 | 863 | 135 | 8-0 | 2-2 | 4W |
Miami
|
9-2 | 960 | 732 | 228 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 4W |
SMU
|
9-2 | 975 | 849 | 126 | 8-0 | 1-2 | 1L |
Stanford
|
8-2 | 823 | 732 | 91 | 5-2 | 3-0 | 1W |
Notre Dame
|
9-3 | 928 | 817 | 111 | 8-0 | 1-3 | 4W |
Clemson
|
8-3 | 900 | 730 | 170 | 7-0 | 1-3 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8-3 | 953 | 800 | 153 | 6-1 | 2-2 | 2W |
NC State
|
7-4 | 964 | 804 | 160 | 6-2 | 1-2 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
6-4 | 726 | 650 | 76 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
6-4 | 724 | 692 | 32 | 6-2 | 0-2 | 1W |
Florida State
|
5-5 | 853 | 809 | 44 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 4L |
Boston College
|
5-6 | 774 | 742 | 32 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1L |
Pittsburgh
|
5-6 | 779 | 772 | 7 | 5-3 | 0-3 | 3L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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