Virginia vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Jan 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Virginia vs SMU
The Virginia Cavaliers square off against the SMU Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, January 17.
We think a wager on the totals provides value after finding that the line is set at a generous 152.5. Expect Virginia and SMU to surpass this number at -115.
Virginia Cavaliers got the win in their previous game. A 79-70 triumph occurred on the road when playing Louisville Cardinals.
SMU Mustangs won their last game, beating Virginia Tech at home. It was a 77-76 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
SMU won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 54-52 triumph when facing Virginia.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
|
29-4 | 2672 | 2252 | 420 | 19-1 | 10-3 | 4W |
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia vs SMU Prediction & Picks
Gear up for Virginia vs SMU with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
You can get -115 that there are Over 152.5 points and there’s plenty of juice in those betting odds. The two teams should be able to keep the score ticking for our pick to win.
We put solid research behind every basketball pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key college hoops stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.
Key Virginia vs SMU stats:
Over 152.5 Probability
The best betting apps make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are ways to boost the odds on an Over pick and some bettors go down the Bet Builder route. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.
Claim exclusive offers now—our guide features top betting promo codes, the latest sign-up bonuses, and free bets.
Player Prop Picks
Malik Thomas (Virginia) can be wagered to record Under 4.5 rebounds at -161. We think there’s a generous line on offer that he fails to cover the Player Rebounds total.
Latest Malik Thomas Player Prop Odds
B.J. Edwards (SMU) is available at -105 to rack up Over 11.5 points. We’ll place a bet that he is able to cover an appealing total for this Player Points wager.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Over 153.5, SMU +1.5 on the spread and Malik Thomas (Virginia) to get Under 4.5 rebounds.
A basketball same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big payout from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
78
-
80
SMU
We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take the Mustangs to win 80-78. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.
Virginia vs SMU Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Moneyline odds are +108 that SMU win, while Virginia have been chalked up at -130. The probability of the home team winning this college game is 48% according to the sportsbooks.
There is a spread of 1.5 and total points has a line of 154.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you're keen on Over 154.5, this selection is available at -110.
If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball contest, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the wide range of team props and game lines. Find the lines which are the most attractive.
In terms of scoring most points, favorite Malik Thomas is available at -115 to rack up Over 13.5 points. If you want to go Under, then the same odds are available.
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Virginia Stats
SMU Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 149.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 152.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 152.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.70 pts and allowed 66.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.30 pts and allowed 75.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 165.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 172.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 152.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
- Over 152.5 at Home: Covered in the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.40 pts and allowed 79.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 96.00 pts and allowed 76.10 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
|
31-2 | 2724 | 2077 | 647 | 20-0 | 11-2 | 10W |
|
Virginia
|
29-4 | 2672 | 2252 | 420 | 19-1 | 10-3 | 4W |
Miami
|
25-8 | 2704 | 2349 | 355 | 16-4 | 9-4 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
24-8 | 2553 | 2282 | 271 | 19-1 | 5-7 | 2L |
Clemson
|
24-10 | 2521 | 2269 | 252 | 16-3 | 8-7 | 1L |
Louisville
|
23-10 | 2797 | 2382 | 415 | 16-2 | 7-8 | 1L |
California
|
21-11 | 2492 | 2344 | 148 | 17-4 | 4-7 | 2L |
Stanford
|
20-12 | 2431 | 2326 | 105 | 12-7 | 8-5 | 1L |
NC State
|
20-13 | 2762 | 2525 | 237 | 13-7 | 7-6 | 1L |
|
SMU
|
20-13 | 2779 | 2561 | 218 | 17-3 | 3-10 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
19-13 | 2521 | 2396 | 125 | 15-4 | 4-9 | 2L |
Florida State
|
18-15 | 2652 | 2572 | 80 | 12-8 | 6-7 | 1L |
Wake Forest
|
17-16 | 2602 | 2543 | 59 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Syracuse
|
15-17 | 2400 | 2376 | 24 | 12-6 | 3-11 | 6L |
Notre Dame
|
13-18 | 2308 | 2335 | -27 | 11-7 | 2-11 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
13-20 | 2327 | 2370 | -43 | 8-10 | 5-10 | 1L |
Boston College
|
11-20 | 2090 | 2191 | -101 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 1W |
Georgia Tech
|
11-20 | 2287 | 2400 | -113 | 10-10 | 1-10 | 12L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
Cal Baptist
Utah Valley
Chicago Blackhawks
Vegas Golden Knights
Predictions
22:00 - Sat 14 Mar
NHL
Seattle Kraken
Vancouver Canucks
Predictions
Saturday
NBA
Sacramento Kings
LA Clippers
Predictions
22:30 - Sat 14 Mar
MLS
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Predictions
23:10 - Sat 14 Mar
Liga MX
Pumas
Cruz Azul
Predictions
01:00 - Sun 15 Mar
K League 1
Jeju SK
FC Seoul
Predictions
Top Basketball Pages
- Basketball Predictions
- Basketball Betting Explained
- Basketball Betting Sites
- Basketball Live Streaming
- NBA Betting Sites
- NBA Betting Explained
- NBA DFS Sites
- College Basketball DFS Sites
- NBA Live Streaming
- WNBA Live Streaming
- NBA Predictions
- College Basketball Predictions
- WNBA Predictions
- EuroLeague Predictions