Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 25 May 2025

Back Mystics to Cause Mercury Problems

We’re delighted to see the Mystics have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +4.5 at -108 when they clash with the Mercury.

90-77 Win for Mystics in Pair’s Previous Matchup

Washington Mystics were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 75-72 reverse against Las Vegas Aces at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Phoenix Mercury lost on the road in their last game. Seattle Storm won 77-70 at Climate Pledge Arena.

These two teams last met at Footprint Center, with the Mystics claiming the win. Beating the Mercury by a 90-77 scoreline. Each franchise has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Mercury	15	6	1769	1666	103	9-3	6-3	3W
7  Mystics	11	11	1726	1768	-42	7-3	4-8	1L

View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

Our team of expert WNBA handicappers monitor the current injuries. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Mystics vs Mercury stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Mystics in 9 consecutive games on the road.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Mystics in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games against Mystics.

Mystics vs Mercury Prediction

The market might have underrated Washington Mystics in this WNBA showdown and -108 makes lots of appeal considering they are +4.5 on the spread. Back them to cover the line.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.

Mystics +4.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.8% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Our Pick

Mystics +4.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Props

Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists +115

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at +115 to secure Over 7.5 assists. She looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.

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Sonia Citron Over 4.5 Rebounds -106

Sonia Citron (Mystics) is available at -106 to secure Over 4.5 rebounds. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to her covering a generous Player Rebounds line.

Correct Score Prediction

Mystics 79 - 78 Mercury

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Mystics to win by a 79-78 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Could Have the Edge Say the Books

The Phoenix Mercury odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -250 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 71% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Washington Mystics, you will find +198 about the underdogs.

There is a spread of 5.5 and total points has a line of 161.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those that want to back Under 161.5 can find odds of -106 available.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Mystics

+198

Mercury

-250

Point Spread

Mystics +5.5

-106

Mercury -5.5

-114

Total Points

Under 161.5

-106

Over 161.5

-114

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Satou Sabally is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -118 to score Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -115.

Player Points

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 22.5

-118

Under 22.5

-115

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-111

Under 16.5

-122

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 13.5

-125

Under 13.5

-109

Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-119

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-161

Under 6.5

+118

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Player Rebounds

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-122

Under 7.5

-110

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+110

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-135

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	19	4	1953	1733	220	11-0	8-4	1W
2  Mercury	15	6	1769	1666	103	9-3	6-3	3W
3  Liberty	14	6	1726	1586	140	9-2	5-4	2W
4  Storm	13	9	1794	1738	56	7-4	6-5	1L
5  Dream	12	9	1757	1673	84	8-3	4-6	2L
6  Fever	12	10	1860	1746	114	7-6	5-4	3W
7  Mystics	11	11	1726	1768	-42	7-3	4-8	1L
8  Valkyries	10	11	1683	1650	33	7-4	3-7	2L
9  Aces	10	11	1684	1720	-36	6-4	4-7	1W
10  Sparks	8	14	1831	1911	-80	3-8	5-6	2W
11  Sky	7	14	1667	1812	-145	4-5	3-9	1L
12  Wings	6	16	1796	1907	-111	4-6	2-10	3L
13  Sun	3	19	1599	1935	-336	2-8	1-11	3L

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