Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 May 2025

Back Mystics to Cause Mercury Problems

We’re delighted to see the Mystics have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +4.5 at -108 when they clash with the Mercury.

90-77 Win for Mystics in Pair’s Previous Matchup

Washington Mystics were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 75-72 reverse against Las Vegas Aces at Michelob Ultra Arena.

Phoenix Mercury lost on the road in their last game. Seattle Storm won 77-70 at Climate Pledge Arena.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Footprint Center, with the Mystics claiming the win. Beating the Mercury by a 90-77 scoreline. Each franchise has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L

View Full Standings

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

The market might have underrated Mystics in this WNBA showdown and -108 makes lots of appeal considering they are +4.5 on the spread. Back them to cover the line.

Our team of expert WNBA handicappers monitor the current injuries. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Mystics vs Mercury stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Mystics in 9 consecutive games on the road.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Mystics in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games against Mystics.

Mystics +4.5 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.8% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.

Best Bet

Mystics +4.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 Assists +115

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at +115 to secure Over 7.5 assists. She looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Assists bet.

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Sonia Citron Over 4.5 Rebounds -106

Sonia Citron (Mystics) is available at -106 to secure Over 4.5 rebounds. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to her covering a generous Player Rebounds line.

Correct Score Prediction

Mystics 79 - 78 Mercury

We’re expecting a close game so it might be worth going for the Mystics to win by a 79-78 scoreline. You can get a huge price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Could Have the Edge Say the Books

The Phoenix Mercury odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -250 betting favorites to land victory in this WNBA game which means a 71% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Washington Mystics, you will find +198 about the underdogs.

There is a spread of 5.5 and total points has a line of 161.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those that want to back Under 161.5 can find odds of -106 available.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every event on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Mystics

+198

Mercury

-250

Point Spread

Mystics +5.5

-106

Mercury -5.5

-114

Total Points

Under 161.5

-106

Over 161.5

-114

Satou Sabally Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Satou Sabally is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -118 to score Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -115.

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 22.5

-118

Under 22.5

-115

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-111

Under 16.5

-122

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 13.5

-125

Under 13.5

-109

Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-119

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-161

Under 6.5

+118

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

-122

Under 7.5

-110

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+110

Sonia Citron (Mystics)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-135

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Mystics Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 154.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 78.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 74.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 166.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.60 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 81.60 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W