AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, Lineups & Odds
We’re Keen on Milan to Cover the Line
We’re expecting Milan to dominate against Lecce and the Asian Handicap offers us the chance to back them at -1.5. Odds of +105 seem pretty generous that the hosts are able to win by two or more.
Milan 3-0 Winners in Last H2H Battle
AC Milan have triumphed in back-to-back games. The latest was away where Inter Milan were beaten 2-1 at Giuseppe Meazza. I Rossoneri recorded 44% possession and had eight shots on target, while Christian Pulisic and Matteo Gabbia each scored one goal.
Lecce drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare against Parma. I Salentini had just 38% of the ball and recorded four shots on goal, while Patrick Dorgu and Nikola Krstovic were both on target.
Milan won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 3-0 victory was registered against Lecce at San Siro. The past 6 matches between these sides has seen three draws, Milan have won three games and Lecce zero.
AC Milan – Last 10 League GamesMilan have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 17.0 attempts. Paulo Fonseca's team have averaged 58.2% possession, 514.5 passes and 7.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 10.2 attempts and 3.6 corners.
Christian Pulisic is the top goalscorer with 5, Rafael Leao has 3, with Matteo Gabbia and two other players on 2. Christian Pulisic is the top assists maker on 4, with goalkeepers Mike Maignan and Marco Sportiello managing 2 clean sheets between them.
Lecce – Last 10 League GamesLecce have won 1, lost 4 and drawn 5, with an average of 0.5 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. They have averaged 45.9% possession, 386.7 passes, 4.8 corners taken and 5.6 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts.
Nikola Krstovic is on 4 goals, with Patrick Dorgu scoring 1. Ylber Ramadani, Kialonda Gaspar and Pontus Almqvist have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Wladimiro Falcone has 3 clean sheets.
Confirmed Lineups
AC Milan (confirmed lineup): Mike Maignan, Emerson Royal, Matteo Gabbia, Fikayo Tomori, Theo Hernandez, Youssouf Fofana, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Alvaro Morata, Rafael Leao, Tammy Abraham.
Lecce (confirmed lineup): Wladimiro Falcone, Patrick Dorgu, Kialonda Gaspar, Federico Baschirotto, Antonino Gallo, Ylber Ramadani, Balthazar Pierret, Lassana Coulibaly, Tete Morente, Nikola Krstovic, Ante Rebic.
Expert Serie A Analysis
We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.
Key AC Milan vs Lecce league stats:
We’re expecting Milan achieve a comfortable victory in this Serie A game and they look an attractive bet at odds of +105. Back the favourites at -1.5 to have the upper hand here.
Larger odds can be banked for bettors who are willing to move the line. The prices will get bigger depending on the risk you attach to the bet you are placing.
Milan -1.5 Probability
The betting sites make it a 48.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction
Milan Asian Hcp -1.5 @ +105Correct Score Prediction
Match Odds: AC Milan vs Lecce
- Full Time Result 1 -333 X +475 2 +800
- Half Time Result 1 -138 X +175 2 +650
- Double Chance 1X -1408 12 -699 X2 +240
- Both Teams to Score Yes -110 No -110
- Draw No Bet 1 -1000 2 +600
- Asian Handicap 1 Hcp -1.5 -118 2 Hcp +1.5 +105
- Total Goals Under 2.5 +162.5 Over 2.5 -200
- Total Corners Under 9.5 -110 Over 9.5 -125
Best Betting Offers
AC Milan
Team Stats
AC Milan Betting Stats
Lecce Betting Stats
Full time Result
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 1 wins, 4 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 2.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 6.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 45.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 40.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Milan vs Lecce team news.
The Serie A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
AC Milan vs Lecce Lineups
AC Milan Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Substitutes
- 8Ruben Loftus-Cheek
- 9Luka Jovic
- 18Kevin Zeroli
- 20Alex Jimenez
- 21Samuel Chukwueze
- 25Noah Raveyre
- 28Malick Thiaw
- 31Strahinja Pavlovic
- 33Davide Bartesaghi
- 42Filippo Terracciano
- 80Yunus Musah
- 96Lorenzo Torriani
Lecce Substitutes
- 1Christian Fruechtl
- 2Andy Pelmard
- 8Hamza Rafia
- 10Remi Oudin
- 19Gaby Jean
- 22Lameck Banda
- 23Rares Burnete
- 27Ed McJannett
- 32Jasper Samooja
- 36Filip Marchwinski
- 40Luis Hasa
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 98Alexandru Borbei
Previous AC Milan Lineups
Previous Lecce Lineups
Serie A Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 16 |
2 | Inter Milan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 14 |
3 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:1 | 13 |
4 | Lazio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 13 |
5 | Udinese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 13 |
6 | AC Milan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
7 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 11 |
8 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
10 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
11 | Fiorentina | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
12 | Hellas Verona | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:12 | 9 |
13 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | 8 |
14 | Como | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 8 |
15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | 6 |
16 | Cagliari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:11 | 6 |
17 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | 5 |
18 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:15 | 5 |
19 | Monza | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Napoli | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
2 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
3 | Inter Milan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 9 |
4 | Udinese | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
5 | Fiorentina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
6 | AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 |
7 | Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 6 |
8 | Roma | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
9 | Juventus | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
10 | Hellas Verona | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
11 | Como | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 |
12 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
13 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
14 | Parma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
15 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 4 |
16 | Venezia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
17 | Empoli | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 3 |
18 | Monza | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:8 | 2 |
20 | Cagliari | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:7 | 2 |