Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 May 2025

Find Out Our Best Bet for the Game

NEC +1.5 look like great value on the Asian Handicap at +103 considering a one-goal loss for the outsiders would still result in a return. We are expecting them to be competitive against league leaders Ajax.

Ajax H2H Record Includes 5 Wins in 7

Ajax played Sparta Rotterdam at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Johan Cruijff ArenA. The Sons of God enjoyed 65% possession and managed five shots on target, while Youri Regeer bagged the goal.

NEC Nijmegen drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home at Stadion De Goffert against Willem II. Rogier Meijer's team enjoyed 50% possession and had four shots on goal, while Kento Shiogai found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Ajax are unbeaten in the past seven games against NEC. In the last clash, Ajax banked a 2-1 win when visiting Stadion De Goffert. The previous 7 H2H games have featured five Ajax victories and two draws.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	NEC Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts. Ajax have had 56.9% possession, 512.2 passes and 5.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 2.7 corners.

Oliver Edvardsen is the top scorer with 4 goals, Kenneth Taylor has 3, with Davy Klaassen and Brian Brobbey on 2. Bertrand Traore, Steven Berghuis and Jorrel Hato are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Matheus has kept 4 clean sheets.

NEC have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 1.1 goals. NEC average 45.4% possession, 379.1 passes, 3.8 corners awarded and 6.6 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 12.8 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

Vito van Crooij is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Kento Shiogai on 3, with Bryan Linssen and two others bagging 1. Thomas Ouwejan has been the top assist maker on 3, with Robin Roefs notching 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Ajax confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Remko Pasveer (GK), Anton Gaaei, Josip Sutalo, Daniele Rugani, Jorrel Hato, Davy Klaassen, Jordan Henderson, Kenneth Taylor, Bertrand Traore, Wout Weghorst, Steven Berghuis.

NEC Nijmegen confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs (GK), Brayann Pereira, Philippe Sandler, Ivan Marquez, Calvin Verdonk, Kodai Sano, Vito van Crooij, Sontje Hansen, Sami Ouaissa, Thomas Ouwejan, Bryan Linssen.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips

The logical play is NEC +1.5 at odds of +103. We’re expecting them to compete well in this Eredivisie game and the Asian Handicap option means that we land a nice payout if this wager wins.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by NEC in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by NEC in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by NEC in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Ajax in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Ajax in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Ajax in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Ajax in 6 consecutive games against NEC.

NEC +1.5 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 49.3% prospect of winning. However, we have this number between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

Our Match Prediction

NEC Nijmegen Asian Hcp +1.5 @ +103 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Ajax 1 - 0 NEC

One bet that has caught our eye is Ajax to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +850 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Vito Van Crooij Over 0.5 Shots On Target -109

Vito Van Crooij (NEC) has recorded one or more shots on goal in seven of his past nine Eredivisie games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -109.

Latest Vito Van Crooij Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-200

Shots

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

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Oliver Edvardsen to Score +128

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax) has racked up three goals in his past five Eredivisie home matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +128 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Oliver Edvardsen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+114

First

+390

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-222

Shots

Over 2.5

-313

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Ajax Over 6.5 Corners -120

The 6.5 corners line has been covered by Ajax in their past four games. There are odds of -120 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think Ajax will cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ajax

Total

8.50 5.80 2.70

Home

9.50 6.80 2.70

Away

8.40 4.10 4.30

NEC

Total

10.40 3.80 6.60

Home

10.80 5.30 5.50

Away

10.40 4.90 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Ajax Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-120

NEC Corners

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-714

X

+850

2

+480

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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Taking No Chances With Ajax

With an estimated 82% chance of winning, the bookies are taking no chances with their -450 betting odds about Ajax triumphing in this Eredivisie match. NEC Nijmegen are the +1100 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

For those expecting a high-scoring game, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Eredivisie betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

-450

X

+550

2

+1100

Half-Time Result

1

-175

X

+200

2

+800

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-901

X2

+300

Draw No Bet

1

-1587

2

+900

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2

+106

2 Hcp +2

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+187.5

Over 2.5

-250

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-110

No

-110

Brian Brobbey is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Those interested in favourite Brian Brobbey to find the net first are able to get +360. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +114.

Brian Brobbey (Ajax)

First

+114

Anytime

+360

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

First

+114

Anytime

+390

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

First

+133

Anytime

+390

Christian Rasmussen (Ajax)

First

+180

Anytime

+540

Mika Godts (Ajax)

First

+190

Anytime

+575

Bertrand Traoré (Ajax)

First

+195

Anytime

+480

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

First

+255

Anytime

+700

Branco van den Boomen (Ajax)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Owen Wijndal (Ajax)

First

+380

Anytime

+1150

Koki Ogawa (NEC)

First

+390

Anytime

+1200

Bryan Linssen (NEC)

First

+410

Anytime

+1200

Vito Van Crooij (NEC)

First

+410

Anytime

+1200

Kian Fitz-Jim (Ajax)

First

+410

Anytime

+1150

Ahmetcan Kaplan (Ajax)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Sontje Hansen (NEC)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Sami Ouaissa (NEC)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Kodai Sano (NEC)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

First

+700

Anytime

+575

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

First

+700

Anytime

+410

Jordan Henderson (Ajax)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Anton Gaaei (Ajax)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Lasse Schöne (NEC)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Youri Baas (Ajax)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Thomas Ouwejan (NEC)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Jorrel Hato (Ajax)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Daniele Rugani (Ajax)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Dirk Proper (NEC)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+140

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+143

Christian Rasmussen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+106

Bertrand Traoré (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+106

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+108

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-108

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-159

Koki Ogawa (NEC)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Bryan Linssen (NEC)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-175

Vito Van Crooij (NEC)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-200

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-222

Brian Brobbey (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-244

Branco van den Boomen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-250

Kian Fitz-Jim (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-303

Owen Wijndal (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

Sami Ouaissa (NEC)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-294

Sontje Hansen (NEC)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-303

Jordan Henderson (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Kodai Sano (NEC)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Lasse Schöne (NEC)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Thomas Ouwejan (NEC)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Dirk Proper (NEC)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-556

Ahmetcan Kaplan (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-588

Anton Gaaei (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Brian Brobbey (Ajax)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 2.5

-313

Under 2.5

-

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

-

Christian Rasmussen (Ajax)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Bertrand Traoré (Ajax)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Kodai Sano (NEC)

Over 1.5

+255

Under 1.5

-

Kian Fitz-Jim (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Vito Van Crooij (NEC)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Bryan Linssen (NEC)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Koki Ogawa (NEC)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Owen Wijndal (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+163

Under 1.5

-

Branco van den Boomen (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Sontje Hansen (NEC)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Sami Ouaissa (NEC)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Jordan Henderson (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Lasse Schöne (NEC)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Thomas Ouwejan (NEC)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Dirk Proper (NEC)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Eredivisie squads.

Ajax Team Page NEC Nijmegen Team Page