Alavés vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Feb 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Alavés vs Real Sociedad

La Liga sides Alavés and Real Sociedad clash at Estadio Mendizorroza in this Copa del Rey quarter-final, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 4 February.

Alavés +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -147. Los Babazorros should be able to avoid defeat against Sociedad, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

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Deportivo Alavés won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was away from home against Espanyol at RCDE Stadium in La Liga. Los Babazorros recorded seven shots on target and had 50% possession, while Antonio Blanco and Lucas Boye scored one goal each.

Real Sociedad played out a 1-1 La Liga draw in their previous game. This was away from home at San Mamés, with Athletic Club the opponents. Pellegrino Matarazzo's side had 45% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Goncalo Guedes finding the net.

In their most recent Copa del Rey matches, Alavés were 2-0 winners at home to Rayo Vallecano, while Sociedad landed a home win on penalties (2-2 AET) against Osasuna.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been three wins on the bounce for Alavés when playing Sociedad. In their last encounter, Alavés enjoyed a 1-0 La Liga win on home soil at Estadio Mendizorroza. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Alavés, three for Sociedad and three draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Real Sociedad	22	7	7	8	30	30	0	30:30	28
10	Alavés	22	7	4	11	20	27	-7	20:27	25

View Full Table

Alavés have 2 wins and 1 loss, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. The Vitoria-Gasteiz team have averaged 47.0% possession and 4.7 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.7 corners from 4.0 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts.

The four top scorers are Lucas Boye, Antonio Blanco, Antonio Martinez and Carlos Vicente, with these players all scoring 1 goals. Antonio Martinez, Lucas Boye and Pablo Ibanez are the leading assists makers with 1.

Sociedad have won 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.0 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 36.3% possession, 310.3 passes, 3.7 corners taken and 7.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 20.3 attempts.

The leading goalscorers have been Mikel Oyarzabal on 3, Goncalo Guedes with 2 and Brais Mendez 1. The top assistors in the last 3 games are Sergio Gomez, Benat Turrientes and Jon Gorrotxategi who have all made 1.

Alavés vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips

Be ready for Alavés vs Real Sociedad with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Alavés can avoid defeat in this Copa del Rey quarter-final, then you can back them with a +0.25 goal start at -147. There are several reasons to back this selection.

Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Copa del Rey form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.

Key Alavés vs Real Sociedad Copa del Rey & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Alavés in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Alavés in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Alavés in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sociedad in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sociedad in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Alavés in 3 consecutive games against Sociedad.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 59.5% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want to get an odds boost when it comes to Alavés covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder where multiple picks on the same game can be combined together.

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Our Match Prediction

Alavés Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:08, 02 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Alavés 1 - 0 Sociedad

Let’s go for Alavés to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +525. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mariano Diaz To Score +325

Mariano Diaz (Alavés) can be wagered at +325 to be among the goals. We believe this is the best of the player props, with healthy odds available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Mariano Diaz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+325

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Alavés vs Real Sociedad Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The draw is available at +200 if you believe that this Copa del Rey quarter-final will finish level, with Real Sociedad at +155 and Deportivo Alavés chalked up at +210 with the bookmakers to secure a win of their own.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Sociedad can be backed at -147 or alternatively Alavés are on offer at +102.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. As long as one team or more fails to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at -135.

Copa del Rey games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+210

X

+200

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

-100

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-294

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+102

2

-147

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-147

2 Hcp -0.25

+104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-200

Over 2.5

+135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-135

The First Goalscorer favourite is Mikel Oyarzabal at +380. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

First

+195

Anytime

+380

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

First

+280

Anytime

+525

Lucas Boyé (Alavés)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+335

Anytime

+650

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

First

+340

Anytime

+650

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

First

+380

Anytime

+700

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

First

+410

Anytime

+750

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

First

+430

Anytime

+800

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

First

+500

Anytime

+900

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

+575

Anytime

+1100

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+600

Anytime

+1050

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

First

+600

Anytime

+1100

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

First

+850

Anytime

+1500

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Beñat Turrientes (Sociedad)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Jon Gorrotxategi (Sociedad)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Carlos Benavídez (Alavés)

First

+1050

Anytime

+1900

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Alavés Stats

Real Sociedad Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.75 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.75 corners against in the last 8 home matches
• An average of 10.25 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 10.75 corners awarded in the last 8 home matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 8 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.38 corners awarded and 5.75 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 5.86 corners awarded and 3.57 corners against in the last 7 away matches
• An average of 11.13 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 9.43 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 7 away matches

Possession

• An average of 49.75% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 51.25% possession in the last 8 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 8 home matches

Possession

• An average of 47.13% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 52.86% possession in the last 7 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 7 away matches

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Alavés vs Real Sociedad Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Alavés vs Sociedad team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups plus current injury reports.

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