Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 31 Oct 2025
Liga 1 Betting Preview: Alianza Lima vs Melgar
Alianza Lima host Melgar in this Peruvian Liga 1 clash, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Friday 31 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.
Alianza to Get the Better of Melgar
We believe that Alianza Lima will get the better of Melgar and the favourites are excellent value at -125. The Full-Time Result odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.
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Alianza Beat Melgar in Pair’s Last Meeting
Alianza Lima have got the win in their last three home games. In their last game, they enjoyed a 2-1 victory away to Sport Huancayo.
Melgar won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-0 victory against Sport Huancayo.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Alianza won the last encounter between these sides. A 1-0 away win was recorded against Melgar. In the previous 10 H2H meetings, there have been four wins apiece and two draws.
| Liga 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alianza Lima |
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | Melgar |
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 22:15 | 24 |
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction & Betting Tips
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Alianza Lima vs Melgar, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Match Prediction
Alianza Lima look like a standout bet and we’re expecting them to triumph. There are odds of -125 that the home team win this Liga 1 clash and we’re confident that this is a value play.
The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Liga 1 stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.
Key Alianza Lima vs Melgar league stats:
Alianza to Win Probability
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There are ways to squeeze more juice from backing Alianza. The Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets are great alternatives and the same applies to Asian Handicap.
Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.
Correct Score Prediction
There are betting odds of +430 that Alianza land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Player Prop Picks
Kevin Quevedo (Alianza) is available at +310 to be on the scoresheet. All things considered, we think that the odds are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can provide entertainment and we’ve got Alianza to come out on top, Under 2.5 goals together with Kevin Quevedo (Alianza) to score at any time.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest Alianza Victory
The favourites are 56% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Alianza Lima being priced at -125 to come away with a victory in this Liga 1 encounter. At +340, Melgar are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
You can choose between Alianza -0.5 at -128 or Melgar +0.5 at -105 if you’re looking to bet on the Asian Handicap. The former is the same as the 1x2 market, while the latter means you also get a payout if it’s a draw.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -143.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Liga 1 match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
Paolo Guerrero Favourite to Score the First Goal
Paolo Guerrero can be backed to find the net anytime at +185, with +400 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
- Liga 1: 29/06 2025 Melgar 0 Alianza 1
- Liga 1: 29/09 2024 Alianza 1 Melgar 1
- Liga 1: 29/04 2024 Melgar 1 Alianza 0
- Liga 1: 29/09 2023 Alianza 0 Melgar 0
- Liga 1: 20/05 2023 Melgar 2 Alianza 1
- Liga 1: 13/11 2022 Alianza 2 Melgar 0
- Liga 1: 09/11 2022 Melgar 1 Alianza 0
- Liga 1: 22/09 2022 Alianza 2 Melgar 0
- Liga 1: 12/03 2022 Melgar 1 Alianza 0
- Liga 1: 22/09 2021 Alianza 1 Melgar 0
Alianza Lima League Stats
Melgar League Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 2 defeats and 7 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Alianza Lima this season are Jose Paolo Guerrero (7), Hernan Barcos (5), Eryc Castillo (3)
- Top Assistors for Alianza Lima this season are Eryc Castillo (4), Alan Cantero (2), Fernando Gaibor (2)
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Alianza Lima vs Melgar Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Alianza vs Melgar team news beforehand. Stay in the know with the confirmed Liga 1 lineups and up-to-date injury news.
Previous Alianza Lima Lineups
Previous Melgar Lineups
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 39 |
| 2 | Cusco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | Melgar | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 6 | Comerciantes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 8 | ADT | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | 21 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Alianza Atlético | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | 15 |
| 13 | Atlético Grau | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16:18 | 15 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | 15 |
| 15 | Ayacucho | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 16 | Alianza UDH | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 17 | UTC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | 11 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Melgar | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Cusco | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 16 |
| 4 | ADT | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:4 | 14 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Comerciantes | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 11 | Atlético Grau | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 12 | Alianza Atlético | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 13 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Ayacucho | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 16 | UTC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 17 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 18 | Alianza UDH | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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