Arouca vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Arouca vs Nacional

Arouca meet Nacional at Municipal de Arouca, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 21 February.

Nacional +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Arouca the aim at betting odds of -130.

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Arouca were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 3-2 loss against Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Vasco Seabra's men boasted 69% possession and had five shots on target, while Ivan Barbero and Abdu Conte (own goal) scored one goal each.

Nacional have been defeated in three consecutive away games. Their previous contest was a 1-0 home loss to Porto at Estadio da Madeira. The White and Black had two shots on goal and 47% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-1 away victory for Arouca at Estadio da Madeira when they last faced Nacional. In the previous 3 H2H games, Arouca have won every time.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Arouca	22	6	5	11	28	49	-21	28:49	23
14	Nacional	22	5	6	11	27	31	-4	27:31	21

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Arouca have had 53.8% possession, 434.2 passes and 4.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.4 corners.

Ivan Barbero and Hyun-Ju Lee lead the way with 4 goals, while Alfonso Trezza has 3. Jose Fontan is top assists maker with 3, while goalies Ignacio de Arruabarrena and Nico Mantl have kept 4 clean sheets between them.

Nacional have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.2% possession, 360.4 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 6.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts.

Jesus Ramirez is the leading scorer with 6 goals, followed by Ze Vitor on 3, with Alan Nunez and two others bagging 1. Jose Gomes, Ze Vitor and Matheus Dias have clocked up 1 assists, with Kaique Pereira keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Arouca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ignacio de Arruabarrena (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Bas Kuipers, Javi Sánchez, Jose Fontán, Espen van Ee, Taichi Fukui, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Näis Djouahra, Ivan Barbero.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Núñez, Zé Vítor, Chico Gonçalves, Jose Gomes, Joel Silva, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Witi, Jesús Ramírez, Paulinho Bóia.

Arouca vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Arouca vs Nacional betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

Nacional look a quality wager for this Primeira Liga encounter and we can bet the away team at -130 with a +0.25 goal handicap. The latest numbers imply that they can swerve defeat and claim a victory.

We’re always focused on the Primeira Liga form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key Arouca vs Nacional league stats:

• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Arouca in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Arouca in 15 of their last 20 games.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want to back Nacional without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

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Our Match Prediction

Nacional Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 16:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arouca 1 - 2 Nacional

We’re betting on Nacional to secure a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +700 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alfonso Trezza to Score +255

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca) has netted two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games on home soil. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +255 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Alfonso Trezza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+255

First

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -118

There has been six consecutive Nacional games where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 10.30 corners in the last ten Arouca home matches. We’re going to select the Overs for Total Corners, with this line standing out and you can secure odds of -118.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arouca

Total

8.80 4.40 4.40

Home

10.30 4.20 6.10

Away

7.90 3.70 4.20

Nacional

Total

10.20 3.90 6.30

Home

11.50 4.00 7.50

Away

8.60 3.40 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-122

Arouca Corners

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+107

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-137

X

+650

2

+138

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arouca vs Nacional Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Arouca as +125 favourites for this Primeira Liga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 44% likely to triumph. Nacional are the underdogs at +195 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Arouca can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -159. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Nacional are +110.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -159.

The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Primeira Liga game and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+235

2

+195

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+123

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-370

X2

-182

Draw No Bet

1

-159

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-110

2 Hcp +0.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-114

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+110

The First Goalscorer favourite is Jesus Ramírez Díaz at +370. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+170

Anytime

+370

Barbero (Arouca)

First

+195

Anytime

+480

Fally Mayulu (Arouca)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+255

Anytime

+550

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+510

Anytime

+1150

Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Espen van Ee (Arouca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Matías Rocha (Arouca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Jose Fontan (Arouca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Boris Popovic (Arouca)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Tiago Esgaio (Arouca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Arouca have five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 2.20.

Nacional haven’t tasted victory in the previous seven away matches. The White and Black have finished with five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Arouca were 1-0 victors against Nacional last time out at Municipal de Arouca.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Arouca Home Stats		2-3-5	3.30	1.10	2.20	6	4	5	5
Nacional Away Stats		2-3-5	2.20	1.00	1.20	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Arouca vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Arouca vs Nacional before you bet. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest injury reports.

Arouca Team Page Nacional Team Page

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