Arouca vs Porto Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Sep 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Arouca vs Porto

Arouca host Porto in this Portuguese Primeira Liga fixture at Municipal de Arouca, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Monday 29 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Fancy Porto on the Asian Handicap?

There’s a case for backing Porto -1.25 at -125 on the Asian Handicap. They can beat Arouca by at least two goals, although we have insurance of half our stake returned should the visitors win by a single goal.

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Porto Are 6 From 8 on the H2H

Arouca got the win in their last game. It was a 2-1 away triumph at Estadio da Madeira when meeting Nacional. Vasco Seabra's team had three shots on target and 42% possession, with Boris Popovic and Espen van Ee scoring one goal apiece.

Porto have won six on the bounce, triumphing 3-0 in their previous game. This was away to Rio Ave at Estadio dos Arcos. The Dragons enjoyed 52% possession and seven shots on goal, with Pablo Rosario, Samuel Aghehowa and Gabriel Veiga finding the net.

Four days ago, Porto claimed a 1-0 Europa League win away to Red Bull Salzburg.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Porto have won the last two head-to-heads against Arouca. There was a 2-0 away triumph at Municipal de Arouca after winning 4-0 when hosting at Estadio do Dragao. In the past 8 H2H meetings, we have seen six Porto wins, one Arouca victory and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	15	1	14	15:1	18
10	Arouca	6	2	2	2	9	14	-5	9:14	8

View Full Table

Arouca have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Vasco Seabra's side have averaged 53.4% possession, 410.2 passes and 3.6 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 12.9 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Top scorer Alfonso Trezza has found the net 4 times, with Nais Djouahra and Miguel Puche getting 3 and 2 respectively. Alfonso Trezza has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Joao Valido has one clean sheet.

Porto have 9 victories and 1 defeat, with an average of 2.3 goals from 14.6 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 58.9% possession, 492.0 passes, 6.3 corners in their favour and 3.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.5 goals from 9.4 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

Samuel Aghehowa is top of the team’s scoring charts with 7, while William Gomes, Borja Sainz, Pepe and Francisco Moura have 2. Alberto Costa has been the top assist maker on 4, with Diogo Costa notching 6 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Arouca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Joao Valido (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Matias Rocha, Boris Popovic, Amadou Dante, Taichi Fukui, David Simao, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-Ju Lee, Nais Djouahra, Dylan Nandin.

Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Pablo Rosario, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.

Arouca vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for Arouca vs Porto with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Porto -1.25 look worthy of a wager at -125. We’re expecting them to win by two goals or more in this Primeira Liga showdown and the price looks really attractive for the away team.

The Primeira Liga tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Arouca vs Porto league stats:

• The -1.25 line has been covered by Porto in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line has been covered by Porto in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Arouca in 2 consecutive games against Porto.

Porto -1.25 Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Larger odds can be banked for bettors who are willing to move the line. The prices will get bigger depending on the risk you attach to the bet you are placing.

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Our Match Prediction

Porto Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Arouca 0 - 3 Porto

There could be merit in backing Porto to win 3-0. Odds of +575 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Borja Sainz to Score +170

Borja Sainz (Porto) has managed two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games. We’ll take a chance at +170 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Borja Sainz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+390

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -108

The past five Arouca matches average 7.60 corners, with the last ten Porto away games averaging 8.20. We think that the teams will come up short and this Total Corners wager can be backed at -108.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arouca

Total

7.80 3.60 4.20

Home

9.00 4.00 5.00

Away

8.80 3.90 4.90

Porto

Total

9.70 6.30 3.40

Home

9.70 5.20 4.50

Away

8.20 5.10 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

-108

Arouca Corners

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-150

Porto Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+275

X

+700

2

-286

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Arouca vs Porto Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Taking No Chances With Porto

Bettors might not get rich backing Porto at -286 to triumph in this Primeira Liga clash although these odds suggest a 74% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +700 about Arouca.

If you fancy Porto to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -118. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Arouca at +600 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +150.

If you’re wagering on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Unders or Overs happens. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -161.

When it comes to every Primeira Liga match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+700

X

+360

2

-286

Half-Time Result

1

+600

X

+150

2

-118

Double Chance

1X

+175

12

-625

X2

-1429

Draw No Bet

1

+440

2

-909

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-109

2 Hcp -1.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-106

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+112

No

-161

Samu Omorodion is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Samu Omorodion is the market leader at +220 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

First

-119

Anytime

+220

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

First

+143

Anytime

+340

Borja Sainz (Porto)

First

+170

Anytime

+390

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+195

Anytime

+450

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

+225

Anytime

+525

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+270

Anytime

+575

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Barbero (Arouca)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Alberto Costa (Porto)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Pablo Rosario (Porto)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Zaidu Sanusi (Porto)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Jakub Kiwior (Porto)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Martim Fernandes (Porto)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Arouca Have Three Wins From Past Ten Home Clashes

Arouca have racked up four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Porto have landed four straight away wins. Francesco Farioli's team have eight victories and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.60.

When the sides last met at Municipal de Arouca, Porto beat Arouca 2-0. In the previous 4 H2H matches at Municipal de Arouca, there have been three Porto victories and one Arouca win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Arouca Home Stats		3-4-3	2.90	1.50	1.40	5	5	6	4
Porto Away Stats		8-0-2	2.10	1.50	0.60	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Arouca vs Porto Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Arouca vs Porto, check the team news first. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Arouca Team Page FC Porto Team Page