Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Mar 2026

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Arsenal vs Manchester City

Arsenal and Manchester City go head-to-head in the EFL Cup final at Wembley, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Sunday 22 March.

The way forward could be to back Man City with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -125 against Arsenal. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

Arsenal are coming off a 2-0 Champions League home win over Bayer Leverkusen, which saw them advance to the quarter-finals. Mikel Arteta's team recorded 45% possession and had twelve shots on target, while Eberechi Eze and Declan Rice each scored one goal.

Table-topping Arsenal are now nine points clear of City in the Premier League with a game in hand. In their most recent league outing, they beat Everton 2-0 at home.

Manchester City were beaten 2-1 at home by Real Madrid in the Champions League last time out, a result that saw them eliminated. The Citizens had 50% possession and eight shots on goal, while Erling Haaland was on the scoresheet.

In their most recent league game, City were held to a disappointing 1-1 draw away at West Ham, who sit in the bottom three of the Premier League.

In the second leg of the EFL Cup semi-finals, Arsenal beat Chelsea 1-0 at home to progress 4-2 on aggregate, while Manchester City secured a 3-1 home win over Newcastle United to advance 5-1 on aggregate.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal have avoided defeat against City in the past five games, with their last clash being a 1-1 Premier League draw at Emirates Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five City wins, three draws and two Arsenal victories.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	31	21	7	3	61	22	39	61:22	70
2	Man City	30	18	7	5	60	28	32	60:28	61

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Arsenal have had 52.8% possession and 5.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while being awarded 3.9 corners.

Top scorer Viktor Gyoekeres has found the net 6 times, with Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Noni Madueke and Martin Zubimendi getting 2 goals each. Gabriel Martinelli and Declan Rice have racked up the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper David Raya has 4 clean sheets.

City have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.8 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 62.9% possession, 5.6 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts.

Antoine Semenyo has top scored with 5, while Nico O'Reilly and Omar Marmoush are next best on 3. Erling Haaland has clocked up 3 assists, with Gianluigi Donnarumma keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Arsenal vs Manchester City with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Man City +0.25 for this EFL Cup match, with odds of -125 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the EFL Cup experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Arsenal vs Manchester City EFL Cup & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by City in 9 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by City in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 8 of their last 10 games against City.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 55.6% chance of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want to back City without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

City Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 20, 19:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arsenal 2 - 1 Man City

Arsenal are available to back at +750 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rayan Cherki Over 1.5 Shots +128

Rayan Cherki (City) has finished with over 1.5 shots in back-to-back matches. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Player Shots line, with odds of +128 on offer.

Latest Rayan Cherki Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

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Eberechi Eze to Score +260

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) has managed two goals in his past five matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +260 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Eberechi Eze Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+650

Shots

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -132

In terms of average corners for the past five City matches, the number is 9.80. The last ten Arsenal games have averaged 9.50 corners. We’re expecting plenty of corners and that the line is going to be covered, with odds of -132 on offer.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arsenal

Total

9.50 5.60 3.90

Home

8.70 5.80 2.90

Away

9.50 5.60 3.90

Man City

Total

9.10 5.60 3.50

Home

8.50 5.50 3.00

Away

8.90 5.20 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-102

Arsenal Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-128

Man City Corners

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-161

Most Corners

1

-114

X

+600

2

+123

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have betting odds of +133 for Arsenal to win this EFL Cup clash, while you could instead opt for Manchester City at +210, with the draw being the third Full-Time Result option at +225.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Arsenal can be backed at -164 or alternatively City are on offer at +110.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -154.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the EFL Cup coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+133

X

+225

2

+210

Half-Time Result

1

+188

X

+118

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-278

12

-294

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-164

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-102

2 Hcp +0.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-115

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+112

There’s the chance to back Erling Haaland at +360 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

+135

Anytime

+360

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Phil Foden (City)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Arsenal Stats

Manchester City Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 62.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches

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Arsenal vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Arsenal vs City team news before wagering. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups and the latest on injuries.

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