Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Mar 2026

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Arsenal vs Manchester City

Arsenal and Manchester City go head-to-head in the EFL Cup final at Wembley, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 22 March.

The way forward could be to back Man City with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -125 against Arsenal. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

Arsenal are coming off a 2-0 Champions League home win over Bayer Leverkusen, which saw them advance to the quarter-finals. Mikel Arteta's team recorded 45% possession and had twelve shots on target, while Eberechi Eze and Declan Rice each scored one goal.

Table-topping Arsenal are now nine points clear of City in the Premier League with a game in hand. In their most recent league outing, they beat Everton 2-0 at home.

Manchester City were beaten 2-1 at home by Real Madrid in the Champions League last time out, a result that saw them eliminated. The Citizens had 50% possession and eight shots on goal, while Erling Haaland was on the scoresheet.

In their most recent league game, City were held to a disappointing 1-1 draw away at West Ham, who sit in the bottom three of the Premier League.

In the second leg of the EFL Cup semi-finals, Arsenal beat Chelsea 1-0 at home to progress 4-2 on aggregate, while Manchester City secured a 3-1 home win over Newcastle United to advance 5-1 on aggregate.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal have avoided defeat against City in the past five games, with their last clash being a 1-1 Premier League draw at Emirates Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five City wins, three draws and two Arsenal victories.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	35	23	7	5	67	26	41	67:26	76
2	Man City	34	21	8	5	69	32	37	69:32	71

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Arsenal have had 52.8% possession and 5.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while being awarded 3.9 corners.

Top scorer Viktor Gyoekeres has found the net 6 times, with Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Noni Madueke and Martin Zubimendi getting 2 goals each. Gabriel Martinelli and Declan Rice have racked up the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper David Raya has 4 clean sheets.

City have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.8 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 62.9% possession, 5.6 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts.

Antoine Semenyo has top scored with 5, while Nico O'Reilly and Omar Marmoush are next best on 3. Erling Haaland has clocked up 3 assists, with Gianluigi Donnarumma keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Kepa Arrizabalaga (GK), Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyoekeres.

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Trafford (GK), Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Nathan Ake, Nico O'Reilly, Rodri, Bernardo Silva, Antoine Semenyo, Rayan Cherki, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Arsenal vs Manchester City with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Man City +0.25 for the EFL Cup final, with odds of -125 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the EFL Cup experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Arsenal vs Manchester City EFL Cup & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by City in 9 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by City in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 8 of their last 10 games against City.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 55.6% chance of delivering a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want to back City without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

City Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 20, 18:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arsenal 1 - 2 Man City

City are available to back at +900 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rayan Cherki Over 1.5 Shots +128

Rayan Cherki (City) has finished with over 1.5 shots in back-to-back matches. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Player Shots line, with odds of +128 on offer.

Latest Rayan Cherki Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1200

Shots

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

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Eberechi Eze to Score +260

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) has managed two goals in his past five matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +260 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Eberechi Eze Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+650

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -132

In terms of average corners for the past five City matches, the number is 9.80. The last ten Arsenal games have averaged 9.50 corners. We’re expecting plenty of corners and that the line is going to be covered, with odds of -132 on offer.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arsenal

Total

9.50 5.60 3.90

Home

8.70 5.80 2.90

Away

9.50 5.60 3.90

Man City

Total

9.10 5.60 3.50

Home

8.50 5.50 3.00

Away

8.90 5.20 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+105

Arsenal Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-114

Man City Corners

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+115

Most Corners

1

-123

X

+600

2

+130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Arsenal as +123 favourites for this EFL Cup encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 45% likely to triumph. Manchester City are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +235.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Arsenal can be backed at -182 or alternatively City are on offer at +125.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -143.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the EFL Cup coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+225

2

+235

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+118

2

+270

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-303

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-182

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-111

2 Hcp +0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-122

Over 2.5

-106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+106

There’s the chance to back Erling Haaland at +350 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

+135

Anytime

+350

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Phil Foden (City)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Arsenal Stats

Manchester City Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 62.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches

Arsenal vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Arsenal vs City team news before wagering. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups and the latest on injuries.

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