Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Burnley

Aston Villa host Burnley in this Premier League game at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

It’s easy to back the -106 that’s available when it comes to the BTTS Yes betting selection. Aston Villa and Burnley are both capable of finding the net and this looks a value bet.

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Aston Villa were winners in their last Premier League game. A 3-1 scoreline was enjoyed at home to Fulham at Villa Park. The Villans managed four shots on target and had 49% possession, while Ollie Watkins, John McGinn and Emiliano Buendia scored one goal apiece.

Three days ago, Villa won 2-0 when visiting Feyenoord in the Europa League.

Burnley have now lost three consecutive away games. In their previous appearance, Manchester City won 5-1 at Etihad Stadium. The Lancashire side had just 32% of the ball and recorded two shots on goal, while Jaidon Anthony found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa have claimed victories in the last two clashes against Burnley. When hosting at Villa Park, there was a 3-2 scoreline and that came after a 3-1 away win at Turf Moor. We’ve seen the previous 8 H2H matches involve four Villa victories. There have also been three draws and Burnley triumphing once.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Aston Villa	11	5	3	3	13	10	3	13:10	18
17	Burnley	11	3	1	7	14	22	-8	14:22	10

View Full Table

Villa have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. Unai Emery's team have averaged 53.5% possession, 401.3 passes and 4.9 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 12.2 attempts and 5.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Ollie Watkins has found the net 2 times, with John McGinn, Emiliano Buendia, Matty Cash and Ezri Konsa scoring 1 each. Morgan Rogers is top assists maker with 3, while goalies Emiliano Martinez and Marco Bizot have kept 5 clean sheets between them.

Burnley have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, averaging 9.1 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Clarets average 45.0% possession, 3.4 corners in their favour and 5.8 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.8 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts.

Jaidon Anthony and Josh Brownhill have scored 5 goals, followed by Zian Flemming with 3. Jaidon Anthony and Hannibal Mejbri are top assists providers with 2, while Martin Dubravka has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Lamare Bogarde, Boubacar Kamara, Donyell Malen, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.

Burnley confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Josh Laurent, Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Kyle Walker, Quilindschy Hartman, Loum Tchaouna, Josh Cullen, Florentino, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

We bring you the complete Aston Villa vs Burnley betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, key corners pick, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

The odds of -106 catch the eye when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection as we expect both teams to find the net in this Premier League encounter. The stats suggest that this outcome is likely to happen.

The Premier League form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide expert football betting tips, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Aston Villa vs Burnley league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Villa games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Villa games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Villa games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Burnley games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Burnley games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 5 games between these teams.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 51.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There are comparable betting options available and that includes backing Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market at a similar sort of price.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -106 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Burnley

One bet that has caught our eye is Aston Villa to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +700 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ollie Watkins Under 1.5 Shots On Target -137

Ollie Watkins (Villa) has had under 1.5 shots on goal in seven straight Premier League games. For Shots on Target, we’re anticipating that he might fall short and there’s the chance to get odds of -137.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-192

First

+175

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-112

Shots

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-

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Jaidon Anthony to Score +410

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has scored four goals in his past five Premier League games. There are odds of +410 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-185

Shots

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Aston Villa Under 6.5 Corners -125

Aston Villa have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in three consecutive matches, while Burnley have yielded an average of 4.90 corners in their previous 10 away games. We’re backing Villa to fall short when it comes to Team Corners and this pick is on offer at -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

10.00 4.90 5.10

Home

10.60 6.40 4.20

Away

10.50 4.80 5.70

Burnley

Total

9.20 3.40 5.80

Home

9.30 4.60 4.70

Away

8.90 4.00 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-104

Under 10.5

-137

Aston Villa Corners

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-125

Burnley Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-435

X

+850

2

+410

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Aston Villa vs Burnley Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favourites have a 66% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Aston Villa chalked up at -192 to land a win in this Premier League clash. Burnley are seen as the most unlikely winner at +550.

There is odds of -120 if you want to back Villa -1 on the Asian Handicap. A victory of two or more goals against Burnley equals a full payout, with a one-goal triumph seeing a full refund.

You can get a similar price whether you’re betting Under or Over 2.5 Goals. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -127 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.

There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-192

X

+320

2

+550

Half-Time Result

1

-100

X

+143

2

+460

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-435

X2

+145

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+340

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-120

2 Hcp +1

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-104

Over 2.5

-122

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-127

Ollie Watkins is priced at +175 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -192 to find the net anytime.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

-192

Anytime

+175

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Evann Guessand (Villa)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Mike Trésor (Burnley)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Andrés García (Villa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Boubacar Kamara (Villa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Victor Lindelöf (Villa)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-111

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-112

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-135

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-147

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-185

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-172

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-179

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-222

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Mike Trésor (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-244

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-385

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-476

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-909

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Boubacar Kamara (Villa)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Boubacar Kamara (Villa)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Villa have eight victories, one draw and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

It’s now been three straight Burnley defeats on the road. The Lancashire side have clocked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Villa beat Burnley 3-2 when the teams last met at Villa Park. There has been one Villa win and three draws in the past 4 H2H meetings at Villa Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Aston Villa Home Stats		8-1-1	2.70	1.90	0.80	6	4	4	6
Burnley Away Stats		5-2-3	3.00	1.60	1.40	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Aston Villa vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Villa vs Burnley team news before you bet. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and the latest on injuries.

Aston Villa Team Page Burnley Team Page

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