Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Sunday

NBA Betting Preview: Nuggets vs Spurs

The Denver Nuggets face the San Antonio Spurs on the final day of the NBA regular season. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

The total line of 232.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -105. We can see the Nuggets and the Spurs combining to go bigger.

The Denver Nuggets head into the regular-season finale sitting third in the Western Conference with their seeding still to be decided, as a win would secure the No. 3 spot, while a loss combined with a Lakers win would see them slip to fourth.

In contrast, the San Antonio Spurs are already locked into the No. 2 seed and have nothing at stake, meaning the motivation edge lies with Denver in this matchup.

The Nuggets made it eleven consecutive wins after a 127-107 home win over Oklahoma City Thunder at Ball Arena. Jonas Valanciunas dropped 23 points, as Julian Strawther finished with 22 and David Roddy 21.

The Spurs have enjoyed seven consecutive home wins at Frost Bank Center. Last time out, Dallas Mavericks were beaten 139-120. Victor Wembanyama managed 40 points and 13 rebounds, De'Aaron Fox racked up 18 points and 10 assists, while Keldon Johnson put 17 points on the board.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets have claimed back-to-back victories over the Spurs. At Frost Bank Center they won 136-131 before winning 136-134 (OT) at Ball Arena. We’ve seen six Nuggets wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Julian Strawther, Tyus Jones, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Zeke Nnaji.

San Antonio Spurs lineup: De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Mason Plumlee, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks

The Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, player prop bets, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line looks to be on the low side at 232.5. There’s a strong chance that the NBA rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -105.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball picks. Up-to-date NBA team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Nuggets vs Spurs stats:

• The 232.5 line has been covered in the last 10 Nuggets games on the road.
• The 232.5 line has been covered in 17 of the last 20 Nuggets games.
• The 232.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Spurs games at home.
• The 232.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Spurs games at home.
• The 232.5 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Over 232.5 Probability

The top betting sites are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re wanting bigger odds when betting on the Total lines, then the good news is that you can be in control of the spread. Get more juice by wagering Over a certain number.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 232.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 12, 01:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 16.5 Points -109

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has scored an average of 26 points in the past 4 games. We think that the line looks really appealing at -109 for this Player Points wager as we’re expecting him to cover this total.

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De'Aaron Fox Under 19.5 Points -139

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs) has recorded an average of 15.11 points in the past 9 games. This is a telling statistic and we’re happy to back him to fall short of the line once again, with odds of -139 available.

Latest De'Aaron Fox Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

+107

Under 19.5

-139

Assists

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-105

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 115 - 124 Spurs

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Spurs to achieve a 124-115 victory at huge odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -417 about San Antonio Spurs which reflects they have a 81% chance of winning this NBA game. Denver Nuggets are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +330.

The spread is calculated to be 10, while total points comes in at 234.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Over 234.5, then the odds are -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top NBA betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Nuggets

+330

Spurs

-417

Point Spread

Nuggets +10

-110

Spurs -10

-110

Total Points

Under 234.5

-110

Over 234.5

-110

Victor Wembanyama is the favorite to score most points. He is priced at -102 to score Over 26.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -127.

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 26.5

-102

Under 26.5

-127

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 19.5

+107

Under 19.5

-139

Julian Strawther (Nuggets)

Over 18.5

-100

Under 18.5

-130

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

-109

Under 16.5

-119

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 8.5

+110

Under 8.5

-143

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 6.5

-123

Under 6.5

-105

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

Julian Strawther (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+134

Under 2.5

-175

Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)

Over 11.5

+122

Under 11.5

-159

De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-145

Julian Strawther (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-156

Bruce Brown (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-105

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

The Spurs have strung together seven straight victories at Frost Bank Center. They have gone 9-1 across their last 10 home games, putting up 124.60 points per contest and giving up 113.00.

The Nuggets are 5-5 in their last 10 games on the road, posting 128.30 points per contest while yielding 123.50.

The Nuggets earned a 136-131 win against the Spurs in the teams’ last meeting at Frost Bank Center. Each team has collected five wins in the last 10 head-to-head matchups at Frost Bank Center.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O232.5	U232.5
San Antonio Spurs Home Stats		9-1	237.60	124.60	113.00	6	4
Denver Nuggets Away Stats		5-5	251.80	128.30	123.50	10	0

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O232.5 = Games Over 232.5 Points
• U232.5 = Games Under 232.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets Stats

San Antonio Spurs Stats

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 251.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 251.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 232.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 131.20 pts and allowed 120.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 128.30 pts and allowed 123.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 234.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 237.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 232.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 232.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 126.00 pts and allowed 108.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 124.60 pts and allowed 113.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 17.00 (42%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.80 (82.82%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 10.10, Defensive 36.90
• Assists: 33.30
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 6.50
• Turnovers : 11.30
• Personal Fouls: 20.40

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.50 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.10 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 24.00 (82.76%)
• Rebounds: Total 48.6, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 37.70
• Assists: 30.60
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 13.70
• Personal Fouls: 20.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 33.10 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.60 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.00 (81.55%)
• Rebounds: Total 50.3, Offensive 12.30, Defensive 38.00
• Assists: 31.70
• Blocks: 5.50
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 12.30
• Personal Fouls: 17.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.20 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 19.30 (81.43%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.5, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 35.20
• Assists: 30.40
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 6.60
• Turnovers : 10.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs Confirmed Lineup

4 De'Aaron Fox

5 Stephon Castle

22 Mason Plumlee

24 Devin Vassell

30 Julian Champagnie

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

3 Julian Strawther

5 Tyus Jones

11 Bruce Brown

15 Nikola Jokic

22 Zeke Nnaji

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	64	18	0.78	119	107.9	11.1	34-8	30-10	12-4	41-11	7-3	2L
Spurs	62	20	0.756	119.8	111.5	8.3	32-8	30-12	13-3	36-16	8-2	1L
Pistons	60	22	0.732	117.8	109.6	8.2	32-9	28-13	12-4	39-13	8-2	3W
Celtics	56	26	0.683	114.9	107.2	7.7	30-11	26-15	10-6	36-16	8-2	2W
Nuggets	54	28	0.659	122.1	116.9	5.2	28-13	26-15	11-5	36-16	10-0	12W
Lakers	53	29	0.646	116.3	114.6	1.7	28-13	25-16	10-7	33-19	7-3	3W
Knicks	53	29	0.646	116.5	110.1	6.4	30-10	23-19	14-3	35-17	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	52	30	0.634	119.5	115.4	4.1	27-14	25-16	11-5	33-19	7-3	1W
Rockets	52	30	0.634	115.2	110	5.2	30-11	22-19	10-6	29-23	9-1	1W
Timberwolves	49	33	0.598	118	114.6	3.4	26-15	23-18	9-7	31-21	5-5	2W
Hawks	46	36	0.561	118.5	116	2.5	24-17	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	1L
Raptors	46	36	0.561	114.6	111.8	2.8	24-17	22-19	5-12	33-19	6-4	1W
Magic	45	37	0.549	115.7	115.1	0.6	26-16	19-21	9-8	26-26	7-3	1L
76ers	45	37	0.549	115.9	116.1	-0.2	23-18	22-19	9-7	27-25	6-4	2W
Suns	45	37	0.549	112.6	111.1	1.5	25-16	20-21	10-7	29-23	5-5	1W
Hornets	44	38	0.537	116	111.2	4.8	21-20	23-18	11-5	26-26	6-4	1W
Heat	43	39	0.524	120.9	118.5	2.4	26-15	17-24	10-7	27-25	5-5	2W
Clippers	42	40	0.512	113.8	112.6	1.2	23-18	19-22	10-6	25-27	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	42	40	0.512	115.5	115.8	-0.3	24-17	18-23	7-9	29-23	7-3	2W
Warriors	37	45	0.451	114.6	115.2	-0.6	22-19	15-26	7-9	24-28	3-7	3L
Bucks	32	50	0.39	110.6	116.8	-6.2	19-22	13-28	9-7	21-31	3-7	1L
Bulls	31	51	0.378	116.3	121.5	-5.2	18-23	13-28	4-12	19-32	2-8	2L
Mavericks	26	56	0.317	114.1	119.6	-5.5	16-25	10-31	4-12	14-37	3-7	1W
Pelicans	26	56	0.317	115.5	120	-4.5	17-24	9-32	7-9	17-34	1-9	2L
Grizzlies	25	57	0.305	114.7	120.7	-6	14-27	11-30	6-10	19-33	1-9	8L
Kings	22	60	0.268	111	121	-10	15-26	7-34	4-12	14-38	3-7	1L
Jazz	22	60	0.268	117.6	126	-8.4	14-27	8-33	1-15	12-40	1-9	1L
Nets	20	62	0.244	105.9	115.9	-10	12-29	8-33	3-13	14-37	3-7	3L
Pacers	19	63	0.232	112.4	120.4	-8	11-30	8-33	4-12	15-37	3-7	2L
Wizards	17	65	0.207	112.9	124.9	-12	11-30	6-35	2-14	11-41	0-10	10L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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