Denver Nuggets
Basketball NBA Tip-off in: days hours minutes seconds
Oklahoma City Thunder
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions

Best Bet

Nuggets +8.5 @ -115

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Can Nuggets Make it a Close Contest?

We’re confident that the Denver can either win or suffer a narrow defeat. That makes the underdogs at +8.5 the best play when the Nuggets face the Thunder and -115 are available.

We've selected our Best Bet for Nuggets vs Thunder, along with Player Props, a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Check out the dedicated segments below for the full analysis of each pick.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview

The Denver Nuggets tip off against the Oklahoma City Thunder in this NBA contest.

Denver enters the 2026-27 season with its established core of Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon intact. The Nuggets reshaped their supporting cast by adding six-time All-Star DeMar DeRozan, Marvin Bagley III and Alpha Diallo, while Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Bruce Brown departed during the offseason.

The Nuggets will be aiming for a deeper playoff run after suffering a first-round exit last season. Denver was eliminated 4-2 by the Minnesota Timberwolves, with its campaign ending in a 110-98 road defeat in Game 6 at Target Center.

Nikola Jokic led Denver with 28 points, ten assists and nine rebounds, narrowly missing a triple-double. Cameron Johnson contributed 27 points, eight rebounds and five three-pointers, while Tim Hardaway Jr. added 13 points.

Oklahoma City opened the new season with an impressive 116-104 road victory over the San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center on Tuesday night. The Thunder established a commanding 65-44 halftime lead and held off a second-half comeback from the hosts.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 32 points, six rebounds, four assists, three steals and three blocks. Jared McCain contributed 20 points, knocking down six three-pointers, while Chet Holmgren added 14 points and four blocks. Jalen Williams also chipped in with 12 points as Oklahoma City made a winning start to the new campaign.

H2H: Thunder Have Won Seven of Last Ten

Denver came out on top in the most recent meeting with Oklahoma City, securing a convincing 127-107 home victory at Ball Arena. Despite that defeat, the Thunder have held the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters, winning seven of their last ten matchups against the Nuggets.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder logo Thunder 1 0 1 116 104 12 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Nuggets logo Nuggets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 - -
View Full Standings
Denver Nuggets – Last 10 Games

The Nuggets have 6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 117.3 points, 43.4 rebounds, 27.3 assists, 7.4 steals and 4.7 blocks while shooting 47.5% from the field and 82.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 114.8 points and 45.1 rebounds per matchup.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 22.7 points, 11.7 rebounds and 8.1 assists, while Jamal Murray averages 1.9 (32.2%) 3-pointers made.

Oklahoma City Thunder – Last 10 Games

The Thunder have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 112.5 points, 42.1 rebounds, 25.4 assists, 10.3 steals and 4.4 blocks per game while shooting 45.0% from the field and 83.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 111.1 points and 44.7 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.1 points and 8.3 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein has an average of 7.7 rebounds and Alex Caruso 2.5 (50.0%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Best Bet

With Nuggets being given a line of +8.5 to overcome in this NBA game, our pick is that they can cover this. There’s the opportunity to get -115 for this outcome.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

  • The +8.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 17 of their last 20 games.
  • The +8.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Thunder in 3 consecutive games against Nuggets.

The basketball predictions at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant NBA stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Nuggets +8.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The Winning Margin lines allow you to bet on the Nuggets to claim a victory by a certain number of points. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to the spread.

Getting ready to bet? Don’t miss out on the latest betting offers! Check out our in-depth guide packed with the best welcome bonuses just for you.

Nuggets +8.5 @ -115 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 22, 02:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 02:02, 22 October 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jalen Williams Under 18.5 Points -122 BetMGM logo

Jalen Williams (Thunder) has recorded an average of 10.75 points in the past 4 games. This is a telling statistic and we’re happy to back him to fall short of the line once again, with odds of -122 available.

Latest Jalen Williams Player Prop Odds


Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 Assists -118 BetMGM logo

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has finished with Over 6.5 assists in 4 straight games at home. We’re happy to take him to cover the line at -118, with bettors able to make this Player Assists bet with confidence.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Pick

Spread Nuggets +8.5
Totals Under 235.5
Player Points Jalen Williams Under 18.5

Our same game parlay pick is Nuggets +8.5 on the spread, Under 235.5 and Jalen Williams (Thunder) to score Under 18.5 points.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets Nuggets logo 113 - 119 Thunder logo Thunder

We’re going for the Thunder to win by a 119-113 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Thunder Made Favorites by the Books

The Thunder have the shortest price to win this NBA game, with the sportsbooks giving Oklahoma City a 75% probability due to their -303 Moneyline betting odds. The Nuggets are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back Denver at +245.

8.5 is the spread and 235.5 is the total points line. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s the chance to back Under 235.5 at -110.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game, the top sportsbooks let you feast on hundreds of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, offering an incredible range of options.

Betting Lines & Odds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -114 that he goes Over 30.5 points and -120 when it comes to Under.

Player Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 30.5
-114
Under 30.5
-120
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Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 26.5
-108
Under 26.5
-127
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Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 22.5
-106
Under 22.5
-128
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 18.5
-112
Under 18.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 10.5
+104
Under 10.5
-141
BetMGM Logo
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
Over 6.5
-118
Under 6.5
-115
BetMGM Logo
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)
Over 6.5
-103
Under 6.5
-132
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Jalen Williams (Thunder)
Over 4.5
+106
Under 4.5
-143
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Player Rebounds
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)
Over 12.5
-106
Under 12.5
-128
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Chet Holmgren (Thunder)
Over 8.5
+108
Under 8.5
-147
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Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)
Over 7.5
-127
Under 7.5
-108
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Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)
Over 5.5
-123
Under 5.5
-110
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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Thunder Hold Seven Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Thunder have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, posting 118.80 points per contest while yielding 109.40.

The Nuggets have been on the losing end in three straight road games. The Mile High City squad owns a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 117.80 points scored and 120.50 points allowed.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O235.5 U235.5
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Home Stats 7-3 228.20 118.80 109.40 4 6
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Away Stats 4-6 238.30 117.80 120.50 7 3
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O235.5 = Games Over 235.5 Points
  • U235.5 = Games Under 235.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Stats
Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 1 36.1 32 4 32.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 3.0
Chet Holmgren 1 30.5 14 2 14.0 2.0 - 7.0 4.0 -
Jalen Williams 1 29.9 12 2 12.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Denver Nuggets Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder logo Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
7 Chet Holmgren
8 Jalen Williams
25 Ajay Mitchell
55 Isaiah Hartenstein
Denver Nuggets logo Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup
0 Christian Braun
15 Nikola Jokic
23 Cameron Johnson
27 Jamal Murray
32 Aaron Gordon

Previous Denver Nuggets Lineups

30 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 98-110 Timberwolves
27 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 113-125 Nuggets
25 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-112 Timberwolves
23 Apr NBA Playoffs
Nuggets 96-113 Timberwolves
20 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 119-114 Nuggets
18 Apr NBA Playoffs
Timberwolves 105-116 Nuggets
12 Apr NBA
Nuggets 128-118 Spurs
10 Apr NBA
Thunder 107-127 Nuggets
08 Apr NBA
Grizzlies 119-136 Nuggets
06 Apr NBA
Trail Blazers 132-137 Nuggets

Previous Oklahoma City Thunder Lineups

20 Oct NBA
Thunder 116-104 Spurs
30 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 111-103 Thunder
28 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 91-118 Spurs
26 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 114-127 Thunder
24 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 82-103 Spurs
22 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 123-108 Spurs
20 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 113-122 Thunder
18 May NBA Playoffs
Spurs 122-115 Thunder
11 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 115-110 Lakers
09 May NBA Playoffs
Thunder 131-108 Lakers

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
76ers 1 0 1 106 100 6 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Raptors 1 0 1 135 92 43 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Knicks 0 1 0 100 106 -6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Nets 0 1 0 103 110 -7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Celtics 0 1 0 113 121 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 1 0 1 121 113 8 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Pacers 1 0 1 123 120 3 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Bucks 0 1 0 116 128 -12 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Bulls 0 1 0 92 135 -43 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Cavaliers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 - -
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 1 0 1 132 125 7 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Wizards 1 0 1 128 116 12 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Hornets 1 0 1 110 103 7 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Magic 0 1 0 125 132 -7 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Heat 0 1 0 106 131 -25 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Trail Blazers 1 0 1 124 83 41 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Thunder 1 0 1 116 104 12 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Timberwolves 1 0 1 131 106 25 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Jazz 0 1 0 103 123 -20 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Nuggets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 - -
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Clippers 1 0 1 121 96 25 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Lakers 1 0 1 127 105 22 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Warriors 0 1 0 105 127 -22 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Kings 0 1 0 96 121 -25 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Suns 0 1 0 83 124 -41 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Rockets 1 0 1 128 110 18 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Grizzlies 1 0 1 123 103 20 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Spurs 0 1 0 104 116 -12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Mavericks 0 1 0 110 128 -18 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Pelicans 0 1 0 120 123 -3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 1 0 1 121 113 8 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Hawks 1 0 1 132 125 7 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
76ers 1 0 1 106 100 6 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Raptors 1 0 1 135 92 43 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Wizards 1 0 1 128 116 12 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Hornets 1 0 1 110 103 7 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Pacers 1 0 1 123 120 3 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Knicks 0 1 0 100 106 -6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Nets 0 1 0 103 110 -7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Magic 0 1 0 125 132 -7 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Celtics 0 1 0 113 121 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Bucks 0 1 0 116 128 -12 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Bulls 0 1 0 92 135 -43 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Heat 0 1 0 106 131 -25 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Cavaliers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 - -
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Trail Blazers 1 0 1 124 83 41 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Clippers 1 0 1 121 96 25 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Rockets 1 0 1 128 110 18 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Lakers 1 0 1 127 105 22 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Grizzlies 1 0 1 123 103 20 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Thunder 1 0 1 116 104 12 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Timberwolves 1 0 1 131 106 25 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Spurs 0 1 0 104 116 -12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Mavericks 0 1 0 110 128 -18 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Jazz 0 1 0 103 123 -20 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Warriors 0 1 0 105 127 -22 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Kings 0 1 0 96 121 -25 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Suns 0 1 0 83 124 -41 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Pelicans 0 1 0 120 123 -3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Nuggets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 - -
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 1 0 1 132 125 7 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Hornets 1 0 1 110 103 7 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Pistons 1 0 1 121 113 8 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Rockets 1 0 1 128 110 18 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Pacers 1 0 1 123 120 3 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Clippers 1 0 1 121 96 25 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Lakers 1 0 1 127 105 22 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Grizzlies 1 0 1 123 103 20 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Timberwolves 1 0 1 131 106 25 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1W
Thunder 1 0 1 116 104 12 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
76ers 1 0 1 106 100 6 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Trail Blazers 1 0 1 124 83 41 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Raptors 1 0 1 135 92 43 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Wizards 1 0 1 128 116 12 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 1W
Celtics 0 1 0 113 121 -8 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Nets 0 1 0 103 110 -7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Bulls 0 1 0 92 135 -43 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Cavaliers 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 - -
Mavericks 0 1 0 110 128 -18 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Nuggets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 - -
Warriors 0 1 0 105 127 -22 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Heat 0 1 0 106 131 -25 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Bucks 0 1 0 116 128 -12 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Pelicans 0 1 0 120 123 -3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 1L
Knicks 0 1 0 100 106 -6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Magic 0 1 0 125 132 -7 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Suns 0 1 0 83 124 -41 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Kings 0 1 0 96 121 -25 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1L
Spurs 0 1 0 104 116 -12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
Jazz 0 1 0 103 123 -20 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1 1L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak

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