Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Oct 2026
Sturm Graz vs Marseille Predictions
By backing Sturm Graz +0.5 at -122, we are essentially betting on the home team to avoid defeat. We think that this can be achieved against Marseille, with the stats backing up our Asian Handicap prediction.
Dive into our Sturm Graz vs Marseille betting breakdown for the complete analysis of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Sturm Graz vs Marseille Preview
Austrian Bundesliga outfit Sturm Graz host French Ligue 1 club Marseille at Graz-Liebenau Stadium, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Thursday 22 October.
Sturm Graz won their last game 6-1 and that was in the Bundesliga. This was recorded at Graz-Liebenau Stadium at home to Grazer. Fabio Ingolitsch's team had ten shots on target and enjoyed 55% possession, while Oumar Diakite fired home a hat-trick.
Marseille won their previous game by a 5-2 Ligue 1 scoreline. It was on the road against Angers at Stade Raymond Kopa. OM enjoyed 58% possession and had eight shots on goal, with Himad Abdelli being one of five different players on the scoresheet.
In their previous Europa League matches, Sturm visited Bournemouth and lost 3-0, while there was a 1-0 Marseille defeat at home to Olympiacos.
| Europa League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 |  Sturm Graz |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 31 |  Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1:5 | 0 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 15.1 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal. Sturm have had 46.9% possession and 6.7 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 16.4 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.1 corners.
Top scorer is Oumar Diakite on 6 goals, while Seedy Jatta and Nelson Weiper have both racked up 2. Simon Seidl is top assists maker with 7, while goalkeeper Daniil Khudyakov has kept one clean sheet.
Marseille have 4 victories and 6 defeats, with an average of 14.4 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Provence side average 55.0% possession, 4.8 corners in their favour and 4.6 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 5.3 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts.
Amine Gouiri has scored 6 goals, followed by Amine Harit, Himad Abdelli, Keyliane Abdallah and Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg on 2. Emerson and Timothy Weah are the top assist makers with 2 apiece, while Jeffrey De Lange has notched 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Sturm Graz predicted lineup (4-4-2): Ammar Helac (GK), Arjan Malic, Joshua Quarshie, Petar Petrovic, Luis Balbo, Jürgen Heil, Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Valmir Matoshi, Jacob Hodl, Simon Seidl, Belmin Beganovic.
Marseille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jeffrey de Lange (GK), Timothy Weah, Bamo Meïté, Nayef Aguerd, Ulisses Garcia, Himad Abdelli, Tochukwu Nnadi, Amine Harit, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixão, Amine Gouiri.
Main Match Prediction
Sturm Graz +0.5 can deliver a return for this Europa League clash. We’ll side with the home team on the Asian Handicap, with the stats backing up this selection which is on offer at odds of -122.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Europa League matches):
Our job is to consult the latest Europa League team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 54.9% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
Those searching for a different wager to betting Sturm on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.
Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Marseille
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +500 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Himad Abdelli (OM) has racked up one or more shots on goal in his past two away matches. There is odds of -105 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
Amine Gouiri (OM) has netted six goals in his past ten games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +133 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been four straight Marseille away games where 9.5 Total Corners has not been covered, while it has been three consecutive Sturm Graz home matches where the same thing has happened. The Total Corners line could be on the high side based on the stats and -112 is available to back.
Sturm
Marseille
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: Sturm Graz to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap, Yes on the Both Teams to Score market combined with Himad Abdelli (OM) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Sturm Graz vs Marseille Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Europa League encounter, the bookmakers have Marseille as the -104 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 51% chance of triumphing. The market implies that Sturm Graz are the most unlikely to win at +270.
As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Marseille at -238 and Sturm at +155.
Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -175 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
If you’re betting on Europa League games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
There’s the chance to back Amine Gouiri at +390 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.
Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Sturm Graz Stats
Marseille Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Sturm Graz vs Marseille Lineups & Team News
Always review the Sturm vs Marseille team news before locking in your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Europa League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Sturm Graz Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Marseille Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sturm Graz Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Marseille Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Sturm Graz Lineups
Previous Marseille Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sturm Graz Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fabio Ingolitsch
Marseille Player Stats & Squad
Europa League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 7 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Olympiacos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 11 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Union S-G | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 14 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 16 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 18 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 19 | Torreense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 21 | RB Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 22 | Lillestrom | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 24 | Hapoel Be'er-Sheva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 24 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 27 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 28 | Anderlecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 28 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 31 | Marseille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 31 | Viktoria Plzeň | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat Armenia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 33 | Celtic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 35 | NK Celje | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Lech | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Union S-G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | Hapoel Be'er-Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 22 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Torreense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 28 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 30 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Ararat Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 34 | NK Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 | RB Salzburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 | Lech | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Bundesliga Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26:8 | 24 |
| 2 | RB Salzburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21:4 | 21 |
| 3 | LASK | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 6 | WSG Tirol | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 8 | Grazer | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:22 | 9 |
| 9 | A. Lustenau | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 15 |
| 2 | RB Salzburg | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Ried | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 5 | LASK | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 7 | A. Lustenau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 9 | Grazer | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 12 | WSG Tirol | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
Ligue 1 Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Lille | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Nice | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 6 | Monaco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Lorient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Auxerre | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 11 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 14 | PSG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 16 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Troyes | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:11 | 1 |
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