Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Leeds

Third-placed Aston Villa meet Leeds at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 21 February.

There’s a strong case for siding with Aston Villa when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Leeds and odds of -130 are attractive.

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Aston Villa were victorious last time out in the Premier League, securing a 1-0 home win against Brighton at Villa Park. The Birmingham outfit had 50% of possession and one shot on target, with the sides seperated by a late own goal.

In their most recent encounter, Villa were beaten 3-1 at home to Newcastle United in the FA Cup.

Leeds United had a 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge in their previous Premier League game. This was away to Chelsea. The Whites had just 34% possession and totalled two shots on goal, with Lukas Nmecha and Noah Okafor on the scoresheet.

Six days ago, Leeds triumphed on penalties (1-1 AET) when visiting Championship side Birmingham City in the FA Cup.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa have triumphed in the last two encounters against Leeds. The most recent was a 2-1 away win at Elland Road after a 2-1 home victory at Villa Park. We’ve seen the past 8 H2H matches feature four Villa wins, three draws and one Leeds triumph.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	26	15	5	6	37	27	10	37:27	50
15	Leeds	26	7	9	10	36	45	-9	36:45	30

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. Villa have had 53.8% possession, 453.2 passes and 5.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.8 corners.

Ollie Watkins leads the way with 5 goals, while Morgan Rogers and John McGinn have scored 3 and 2 respectively. Morgan Rogers and Youri Tielemans have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez keeping 2 clean sheets.

Leeds have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.6 goals from 11.1 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. Daniel Farke's team average 45.1% possession, 391.5 passes, 5.2 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against them, while conceding 1.5 goals from 14.0 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the leading goalscorer with 5, Brenden Aaronson has 3, with Lukas Nmecha and Noah Okafor getting 2. Ilia Gruev has been chief assist maker with 3, while Karl Darlow and Lucas Perri have recorded 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Lamare Bogarde, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen, Amadou Onana, Douglas Luiz, Jadon Sancho, Emiliano Buendia, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.

Leeds predicted lineup (3-2-4-1): Karl Darlow (GK), Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Joe Rodon, James Justin, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Brenden Aaronson, Lukas Nmecha.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Aston Villa vs Leeds tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re confident with our selection of Aston Villa to land a victory, with odds of -130 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Premier League game.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Premier League injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Aston Villa vs Leeds league stats:

• Villa have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Villa have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Leeds have lost 7 of their last 13 games on the road.
• Villa have won the last 2 games between these teams.

The best betting apps make it a 56.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds about Villa landing a victory, then why not combine this selection with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.

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Our Match Prediction

Aston Villa To Win @ -130 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 16:29). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 2 - 0 Leeds

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Aston Villa to win by a 2-0 scoreline. At odds of +650, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Rogers Over 2.5 Shots +125

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has recorded over 2.5 shots in three straight Premier League matches on home soil. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of +125.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+600

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

---

Ollie Watkins to Score +165

Ollie Watkins (Villa) has managed five goals in his past nine Premier League matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +165 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+165

First

+400

Shots

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -130

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in five consecutive Aston Villa matches, with the last ten Leeds games averaging 11.30 corners. We endorse betting on the -130 that the teams successfully cover the line, with this Total Corners wager landing a handsome potential return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

10.60 5.80 4.80

Home

10.50 6.10 4.40

Away

9.50 4.60 4.90

Leeds

Total

11.30 5.20 6.10

Home

9.80 5.00 4.80

Away

8.70 4.10 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-133

Under 9.5

-106

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

-123

Under 5.5

-115

Leeds Corners

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-103

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+700

2

+200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 56% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Aston Villa are favourites to come out on top in this Premier League clash and they’re available at -130 with the bookmakers. The market implies that Leeds United are the most unlikely to win at +370.

Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Villa -0.75 at -100 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Leeds by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. BTTS Yes is available at -137 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Premier League games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-130

X

+265

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+130

2

+370

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-357

X2

-100

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-100

2 Hcp +0.75

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-105

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

+104

Those interested in favourite Ollie Watkins to find the net first can get +400, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +165.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+165

Anytime

+400

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+170

Anytime

+430

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Tyrone Mings (Villa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Pau Torres (Villa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Victor Lindelöf (Villa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Villa have racked up seven wins and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Leeds have not triumphed in ten straight away matches. The Whites have managed five draws and five losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

The most recent Villa Park meeting saw Villa claim a 2-1 win over Leeds. In the previous 3 H2H meetings at Villa Park, we have seen one Villa victory, one Leeds win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Aston Villa Home Stats		7-0-3	2.60	1.50	1.10	6	4	6	4
Leeds Away Stats		0-5-5	3.10	1.10	2.00	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Aston Villa vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

The Villa vs Leeds team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League, along with current injury news.

Aston Villa Team Page Leeds United Team Page

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