Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Aston Villa host Newcastle in this Premier League opening-weekend clash at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 16 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We Can’t Resist Betting Villa to Win

It’s great to get attractive odds of +120 for a home win when Aston Villa go up against Newcastle. We think that the hosts will have the upper hand and the Full-Time Result market is a way of getting the best value.

Fancy Villa to win? Be sure to secure the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our in-depth review before you stake your bet.

Villa 4-1 to the Good in Previous H2H

Aston Villa were defeated in their last Premier League game of the 2024/25 season. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Manchester United at Old Trafford. The Birmingham club ended up with just 33% possession and one shot on target.

Alexander Isak remains sidelined amid ongoing transfer speculation linking him with a move away from Newcastle. The Sweden international has been a key figure for the Magpies, but uncertainty over his future means he will not be part of the squad against Villa.

Newcastle were beaten 1-0 at home by Everton in their previous league encounter. The Magpies dominated possession with 66% of the ball and had six shots on goal at St James’ Park.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Villa Park, they recorded a 4-1 home win over Newcastle. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved five Newcastle victories, one draw and four Villa wins.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Newcastle	7	2	3	2	6	5	1	6:5	9
13	Aston Villa	7	2	3	2	6	7	-1	6:7	9

View Full Table

Villa have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. The Villans have averaged 47.3% possession, 364.4 passes and 4.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.6 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 5.1 corners.

Ollie Watkins is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Donyell Malen has 3 and Marcus Rashford 2. Leading assistor is Morgan Rogers with 6, while goalies Emiliano Martinez and Robin Olsen have 6 clean sheets between them.

Newcastle have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 15.9 attempts, 5.2 shots on goal and 2.1 goals. The Tyneside outfit average 54.0% possession, 450.3 passes, 6.1 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

Alexander Isak and Harvey Barnes have 4 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Sandro Tonali on 3. Jacob Murphy is top assists provider with 4, while Nick Pope has recorded 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Marco Bizot (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-1-2-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Fabian Schaer, Daniel Burn, Valentino Livramento, Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton, Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

Take in the full Aston Villa vs Newcastle betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Aston Villa should be able to deliver a return when they line up in this Premier League game, with odds of +120 looking really appealing. We are confident that this is the best way to play this wager.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Premier League form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Aston Villa vs Newcastle league stats:

• Villa have won 5 consecutive games at home.
• Villa have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Villa have won 11 of their last 19 games at home.
• Newcastle have lost their last 2 games.

Villa to Win Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 45.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 50-55%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are some different ways to back Villa if you’re in search of a bigger potential return. This includes the Asian Handicap where they have to win by a certain margin.

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Our Match Prediction

Aston Villa To Win @ +120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Newcastle

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +750 and it involves Aston Villa winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Harvey Barnes Over 1.5 Shots -127

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has covered the 1.5 shots total in five straight Premier League games. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line looking attractive at odds of -127.

Latest Harvey Barnes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-127

Shots

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

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Donyell Malen to Score +330

Donyell Malen (Villa) has registered three goals in his past nine Premier League games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +330 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Donyell Malen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-102

Shots

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Newcastle Over 4.5 Corners -110

There’s been an average 7.20 Newcastle corners in their past five matches, with Aston Villa conceding a corner average of 5.60 in the previous five games. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Newcastle Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -110 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

9.90 4.80 5.10

Home

10.60 7.10 3.50

Away

10.70 4.50 6.20

Newcastle

Total

11.50 6.10 5.40

Home

10.70 6.20 4.50

Away

10.90 5.10 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

-105

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-154

X

+700

2

+163

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Aston Villa vs Newcastle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Villa Victory

The Aston Villa betting odds are +128 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Premier League encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 44% chance of winning. Newcastle United are the underdogs at +200 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

If you think that Villa are able to beat Newcastle, then the -111 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -213.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Premier League match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+260

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+143

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-250

12

-333

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-159

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-111

2 Hcp +0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-213

No

+155

Ollie Watkins Favourite to Score the First Goal

There is -135 available that Ollie Watkins finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +450.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

-135

Anytime

+450

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+188

Anytime

+850

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+260

Anytime

+900

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Samuel Iling (Villa)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Jacob Ramsey (Villa)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+575

Anytime

+2200

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

+105

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-103

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-102

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-118

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-127

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-156

Samuel Iling (Villa)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-175

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-233

Jacob Ramsey (Villa)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-208

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-213

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-217

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-263

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-303

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-357

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-370

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-417

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-476

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-667

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Samuel Iling (Villa)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Villa Bidding to Continue Strong Home Form

Aston Villa have now managed eight wins on the bounce at Villa Park. Unai Emery's team have racked up eight wins and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Newcastle haven’t tasted victory in three consecutive matches on the road. The Magpies have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Villa were 4-1 victors against Newcastle last time out at Villa Park. The past 6 H2H games at Villa Park have seen five Villa victories and just one triumph for Newcastle.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Aston Villa Home Stats		8-2-0	3.00	2.20	0.80	6	4	6	4
Newcastle Away Stats		5-1-4	2.70	1.30	1.40	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Villa vs Newcastle team news before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Aston Villa Team Page Newcastle United Team Page