Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Arsenal

Leeds square off against Premier League leaders Arsenal at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 31 January.

We’re backing Leeds on the Asian Handicap +1 at -110, expecting the Whites to stay competitive against Arsenal. The Gunners’ busy recent schedule could lead to fatigue and with the +1 handicap, a Leeds win or draw lands the bet, while a one-goal defeat sees the stake refunded.

Leeds United played Everton on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Hill Dickinson Stadium. The Whites had 42% possession and four shots on target, while James Justin registered the goal.

Table-topping Arsenal lost their previous Premier League game, being beaten at home to Manchester United by a 3-2 scoreline at Emirates Stadium. Mikel Arteta's men had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 57% possession and four shots on goal, with a Lisandro Martinez (Man United) own goal and Mikel Merino on the scoresheet.

Three days ago, Arsenal claimed a 3-2 win in the Champions League when hosting Kazakhstan Premier League side Kairat Almaty.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal have racked up seven consecutive wins over Leeds. In their last encounter, Arsenal came out with a 5-0 home victory at Emirates Stadium. The previous 9 H2H games have featured eight Arsenal victories and one draw.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71	27	44	71:27	85
14	Leeds	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7	49:56	47

View Full Table

Leeds have 3 wins, 1 loss and 6 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Daniel Farke's team have averaged 42.9% possession, 373.2 passes and 5.4 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.1 corners from 12.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the top scorer with 7 goals, Brenden Aaronson has 3, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka on 2. Leading assistors have been Anton Stach and Brenden Aaronson with 2, while goalkeeper Lucas Perri has one clean sheet.

Arsenal have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.9 shots on goal, 15.4 attempts and 1.7 goals. The North London side average 57.4% possession, 484.9 passes, 5.4 corners taken and 3.1 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 8.4 attempts and 2.2 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Mikel Merino, Declan Rice, Gabriel and Leandro Trossard, with 2 goals apiece. Martin Oedegaard and Bukayo Saka have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while David Raya has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Karl Darlow (GK), James Justin, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): David Raya (GK), Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Kai Havertz, Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyoekeres.

Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Leeds vs Arsenal betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

In order for our Leeds +1 bet to land at -110, we need the Whites to win or draw against the Premier League frontrunners. We think they’ll make the game competitive and feel confident with this Asian Handicap wager.

Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Premier League insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.

Key Leeds vs Arsenal league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Leeds in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by Leeds in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Leeds in 9 of their last 11 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 3 consecutive games.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Leeds and their performance.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp +1 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 29, 16:07). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 1 - 1 Arsenal

One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +600 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Declan Rice Over 1.5 Shots +114

Declan Rice (Arsenal) has recorded over 1.5 shots in six of his past nine Premier League matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of +114 up for grabs.

Latest Declan Rice Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+900

Shots

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

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Anton Stach to Score +750

Anton Stach (Leeds) has scored two goals in his past four Premier League matches on home soil. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +750 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Anton Stach Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1800

Shots

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Leeds Over 3.5 Corners -111

In their past five home games, Leeds have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the previous two Arsenal away matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -111 that Leeds go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

9.50 5.40 4.10

Home

8.80 5.30 3.50

Away

8.60 4.00 4.60

Arsenal

Total

8.50 5.40 3.10

Home

8.40 6.10 2.30

Away

9.90 6.10 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-127

Leeds Corners

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-132

Arsenal Corners

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-112

Most Corners

1

+245

X

+700

2

-250

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Leeds vs Arsenal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of -200 suggest that Arsenal are likely victors and there’s a 67% probability that the Gunners win this Premier League clash. Leeds United are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +575.

Arsenal can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -100. However, Leeds are +480 and the draw is +143 if you want to take a different option.

The latest Total Goals betting suggests it’s a close call between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. For the Both Teams to Score betting option, it’s up in the air odds-wise as to whether Yes or No will be the end result.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Premier League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+575

X

+320

2

-200

Half-Time Result

1

+480

X

+143

2

-100

Double Chance

1X

+150

12

-455

X2

-909

Draw No Bet

1

+350

2

-667

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-103

2 Hcp -1

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-103

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-111

No

-119

Viktor Gyökeres is available at +140 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +340 to find the net first.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+140

Anytime

+340

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+165

Anytime

+410

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+170

Anytime

+420

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+190

Anytime

+440

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Facundo Buonanotte (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

William Saliba (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ben White (Arsenal)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-233

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Leeds are unbeaten over their previous five games at Elland Road. The Whites have four victories, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Arsenal have avoided defeat in their last three away matches. Mikel Arteta's side have collected five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Arsenal overcame Leeds 1-0 when the sides last met at Elland Road. Aside from one draw, Arsenal have dominated the previous 3 H2H matches at Elland Road with two wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		4-4-2	3.10	1.80	1.30	7	3	8	2
Arsenal Away Stats		5-3-2	2.20	1.30	0.90	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

Check the Leeds vs Arsenal team news before you place your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Leeds United Team Page Arsenal Team Page

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