Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Mar 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Atalanta vs Bayern Munich

Italian Serie A outfit Atalanta host German Bundesliga giants Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie at New Balance Arena, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Tuesday 10 March.

Atalanta impressed when eliminating Borussia Dortmund, currently second in the Bundesliga, in the play-off stage and we think La Dea can be competitive in this first leg against a Bayern Munich side without the injured Harry Kane.

Atalanta +1 could be the way forward on the Asian Handicap. You can get odds of -118 on the home team starting with a one-goal advantage, meaning a full return if they draw or win, with money back if they are narrowly defeated by the Bavarians.

Atalanta drew their last game 2-2 at home, with the action taking place at New Balance Arena against Udinese in Serie A. La Dea managed four shots on target and enjoyed 68% possession, with Gianluca Scamacca scoring both goals.

Bayern Munich claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 4-1 Bundesliga win occurred against Borussia Monchengladbach at Allianz Arena. Vincent Kompany's team enjoyed 70% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Luis Diaz, Konrad Laimer, Jamal Musiala and Nicolas Jackson found the net.

In their previous Champions League outings, Atalanta beat Borussia Dortmund 4-1 at home in the second leg of their play-off tie (4-3 on aggregate), while Bayern won 2-1 away to PSV Eindhoven in the league phase.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	22	8	14	22:8	21
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10	10	0	10:10	13

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 15.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. Atalanta have had 53.9% possession, 488.8 passes and 6.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 12.2 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Gianluca Scamacca has found the net 4 times, with Davide Zappacosta, Mario Pasalic, Lazar Samardzic and Nikola Krstovic scoring 2 each. Nicola Zalewski and Lorenzo Bernasconi have racked up the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi has 3 clean sheets.

Bayern have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, averaging 17.5 attempts, 8.2 shots on goal and 3.0 goals. The Bavarians average 63.5% possession, 6.6 corners in their favour and 3.0 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Harry Kane is the leading goalscorer with 13, Luis Diaz has 5, with Jamal Musiala and Aleksandar Pavlovic getting 2. Michael Olise has had 7 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atalanta confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Davide Zappacosta, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Kamaldeen Sulemana, Marten de Roon, Mario Pasalic, Nicola Zalewski, Nikola Krstovic, Gianluca Scamacca.

Bayern Munich confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jonas Urbig (GK), Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, Luis Diaz, Nicolas Jackson.

Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Atalanta vs Bayern Munich with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

We’re expecting Atalanta to give a good account of themselves and you can get odds of -118 about the underdogs with a +1 goal start. We think that they will play well in this Champions League game.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Champions League team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Champions League & league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Atalanta in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by Atalanta in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +1 line has been covered by Atalanta in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Bayern in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 54.1% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re in the market to boost your price for Atalanta covering the line, then think about adding this selection to a Bet Builder along with other legs that you like.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Our Match Prediction

Atalanta Asian Hcp +1 @ -118 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 8, 22:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atalanta 2 - 2 Bayern

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +950 and it involves the game ending in a 2-2 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Michael Olise Over 2.5 Shots +110

Michael Olise (Bayern) has finished with over 2.5 shots in seven of his past nine away games. If you side with our view that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you are able to secure odds of +110 for this outcome.

Latest Michael Olise Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+155

First

+480

Shots

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-

---

Harry Kane to Score -115

Harry Kane (Bayern) has scored in six straight games. We’re content to land the -115 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Harry Kane Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-133

First

+270

Shots

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atalanta Over 4.5 Corners +110

Atalanta have had over 4.5 corners in eight consecutive home games. There are odds of +110 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think Atalanta will cover the line.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atalanta

Total

9.70 6.30 3.40

Home

10.50 6.70 3.80

Away

10.00 5.00 5.00

Bayern

Total

9.60 6.60 3.00

Home

8.80 6.60 2.20

Away

9.10 5.20 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-120

Atalanta Corners

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+106

Bayern Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-141

Most Corners

1

+170

X

+650

2

-167

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of -159 suggest that Bayern Munich are likely victors and there’s a 61% probability that the favourites win this Champions League clash. Atalanta are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +390.

Should you want to back Bayern to lead at the break, then there is +110 available on the Half-Time Result market. Opponents Atalanta have been chalked up at +370 and the draw is +155.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -182.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Champions League matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+390

X

+320

2

-159

Half-Time Result

1

+370

X

+155

2

+110

Double Chance

1X

+123

12

-455

X2

-588

Draw No Bet

1

+250

2

-400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-127

2 Hcp -1

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-192

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+138

Favourite Harry Kane is now available at +270 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Harry Kane (Bayern)

First

-133

Anytime

+270

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

First

+150

Anytime

+460

Michael Olise (Bayern)

First

+155

Anytime

+480

Serge Gnabry (Bayern)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Nicolas Jackson (Bayern)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

First

+230

Anytime

+700

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

First

+240

Anytime

+750

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

First

+260

Anytime

+800

Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta)

First

+350

Anytime

+1100

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Josip Stanisic (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Konrad Laimer (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Raphaël Guerreiro (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Jonathan Tah (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Alphonso Davies (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Dayot Upamecano (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Harry Kane (Bayern)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Michael Olise (Bayern)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-

Nicolas Jackson (Bayern)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Serge Gnabry (Bayern)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atalanta Stats

Bayern Munich Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 3.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 10 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 53.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 63.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 63.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches

Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Atalanta vs Bayern team news before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Top Football Pages