Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Feb 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

La Liga clubs Athletic Club and Real Sociedad clash at San Mamés in the first leg of this Copa del Rey semi-final tie, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 11 February.

Our stake will be split when taking Sociedad +0.25 at odds of -115 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Athletic Club.

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Athletic Club were winners last time out. Landing a 4-2 La Liga home victory against Levante at San Mamés. Los Leones boasted 55% possession and had seven shots on target, with Gorka Guruzeta grabbing two goals, while Nico Serrano and Robert Navarro getting one.

Real Sociedad won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-1 La Liga victory against Elche at Reale Arena. Pellegrino Matarazzo's team had just 34% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Luka Sucic, Mikel Oyarzabal and Orri Oskarsson finding the net.

In their last Copa del Rey games, Athletic won 2-1 away to Valencia, while Sociedad visited Deportivo Alavés and landed a 3-2 victory.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sociedad have not lost any of the past three matches against Athletic, with the last encounter seeing a 1-1 La Liga draw played out at San Mamés. The past 10 H2H matches have included four Athletic victories, three draws and three Sociedad wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Real Sociedad	23	8	7	8	33	31	2	33:31	31
10	Athletic Club	23	8	4	11	25	33	-8	25:33	28

View Full Table

2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 17.4 attempts. Athletic have had 51.2% possession and 5.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.6 corners.

Gorka Guruzeta and Robert Navarro are the leading goalscorers with 2, while Nico Serrano has 1. Inaki Williams is the leading assists maker on 2.

Sociedad have won 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.4 goals from 9.4 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. Los Txuri-Urdin average 39.4% possession, 323.0 passes, 3.8 corners in their favour and 6.0 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 15.8 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

The leading goalscorers have been Mikel Oyarzabal on 5, Goncalo Guedes with 3 and Orri Oskarsson 2. Look no further than Goncalo Guedes for the top assist maker (3) in the last 5 games.

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Sociedad at -115 in this Copa del Rey match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

We study the Copa del Rey form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Copa del Rey & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sociedad in 10 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sociedad in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletic in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletic in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletic in 3 consecutive games against Sociedad.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 53.5% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Sociedad Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:08, 09 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Athletic 0 - 1 Sociedad

Sociedad are available at +650 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gonçalo Guedes to Score +430

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad) has netted three goals in his past five matches. We’re happy to take the +430 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Gonçalo Guedes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+850

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Athletic Club betting odds are +118 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Copa del Rey encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 46% chance of winning. If you want to wager on the underdog, Real Sociedad have been priced up at +245.

Athletic can be backed at -189 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Sociedad can be chanced at +132 on the same market.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.

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Full-Time Result

1

+118

X

+230

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+115

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-345

X2

-167

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+132

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-154

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-116

There is +230 available that Mikel Oyarzabal finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +475.

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

First

+230

Anytime

+475

Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic)

First

+260

Anytime

+510

Nico Williams (Athletic)

First

+280

Anytime

+575

Urko Izeta (Athletic)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Maroan Sannadi (Athletic)

First

+325

Anytime

+600

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

First

+325

Anytime

+600

Oihan Sancet (Athletic)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Robert Navarro (Athletic)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Nico Serrano (Athletic)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Iñaki Williams (Athletic)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Unai Gomez (Athletic)

First

+360

Anytime

+650

Alex Berenguer (Athletic)

First

+380

Anytime

+700

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Job Ochieng (Sociedad)

First

+425

Anytime

+900

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Tomy Carbonell (Sociedad)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Alex Lebarbier (Sociedad)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Aitor Paredes (Athletic)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Mikel Jauregizar (Athletic)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Mikel Vesga (Athletic)

First

+900

Anytime

+1500

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Athletic Club Stats

Real Sociedad Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.75 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.75 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.88 corners awarded and 5.63 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 5.29 corners awarded and 3.86 corners against in the last 7 away matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 9.14 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 7 away matches

Possession

• An average of 53.00% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 53.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 44.50% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 52.14% possession in the last 7 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 7 away matches

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Athletic vs Sociedad, check the team news first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups alongside the newest injury information.

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