Atlas vs Necaxa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Atlas vs Necaxa

Atlas host Necaxa in this Liga MX fixture at Estadio Jalisco, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Atlas to Keep Things Tight Against Rayos

Atlas +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -127. They should be able to avoid defeat against Necaxa, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

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Rayos Beat Atlas When Teams Last Met

Atlas were beaten in their last game. Away from home at El Volcán, Tigres UANL claimed a 2-0 win. Los Rojinegros had 40% possession and totalled two shots on target.

Club Necaxa have suffered a defeat in their previous three road games including a recent 3-1 loss. This occurred at Estadio Akron against Guadalajara. The Aguascalientes team boasted 54% possession and had three shots on goal, with Cristian Calderon on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Necaxa are unbeaten when it comes to the past four meetings against Atlas. Their last encounter was staged at Estadio Jalisco, with Necaxa winning 4-0 on the road. The past 10 H2H games have featured five triumphs for Atlas, three for Necaxa and two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Necaxa	10	2	3	5	9	17	-8	9:17	9
17	Atlas	10	1	4	5	15	24	-9	15:24	7

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts. Atlas have had 37.3% possession and 3.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.4 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.9 corners.

Uros Djurdjevic and Diego Gonzalez are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Gustavo Del Prete has 2. The leading assistor is Diego Gonzalez with 4.

Club Necaxa have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 9.8 attempts, 3.7 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. The Aguascalientes outfit average 47.7% possession, 4.4 corners in their favour and 4.6 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Pavel Perez is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Cristian Calderon, Tomas Badaloni, Diego De Buen and Diber Cambindo have 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Diego De Buen, Ricardo Monreal and Agustin Palavecino who have all made 1.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlas predicted lineup (5-4-1): Camilo Vargas (GK), Gustavo Ferrareis, Gaddi Aguirre, Rober Pier, Adrián Mora, José Lozano, Diego González, Victor Rios, Paulo Ramírez, Mateo Ezequiel Garcia, Uros Djurdjevic.

Necaxa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Ezequiel Unsain (GK), Kevin Rosero, Alexis Peña, Agustín Oliveros, Cristian Calderón, Diego De Buen, José Ivan Rodríguez, Ricardo Monreal, Agustín Palavecino, Pavel Uriel Pérez, Tomás Badaloni.

Atlas vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Atlas vs Necaxa betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Atlas look a good bet in this Liga MX clash and we can back them at -127 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Liga MX injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Atlas vs Necaxa league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlas in 11 of their last 18 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlas in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Necaxa in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Necaxa in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Necaxa in 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlas in 7 of their last 10 games against Necaxa.

Atlas +0.25 Probability

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 55.9% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are plenty of different options to Asian Handicap and that includes the Winning Margin market. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Atlas Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -127 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atlas 2 - 1 Necaxa

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Atlas to win 2-1. The odds of +800 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tomás Badaloni Over 0.5 Shots On Target -139

Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa) can be backed at -139 to have at least one shot on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.

Latest Tomás Badaloni Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-112

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Víctor Ríos To Score +450

Víctor Ríos (Atlas) is available at +450 to be on the scoresheet. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Víctor Ríos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-400

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Corners Prediction

Atlas Under 4.5 Corners +106

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Atlas in five straight home games, while the past three Necaxa away matches have seen under 4.5 corners conceded. We’re going to bet on Atlas to fall short for Team Corners and this selection is available at +106.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlas

Total

9.40 3.50 5.90

Home

9.70 4.60 5.10

Away

9.70 4.20 5.50

Necaxa

Total

9.00 4.40 4.60

Home

10.30 5.70 4.60

Away

9.10 3.90 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-115

Atlas Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Necaxa Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+118

X

+650

2

-115

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Atlas vs Necaxa Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair in the Eyes of the Betting Sites

With a roughly 44% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +128 betting odds for Club Necaxa winning this Liga MX clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +175 about Atlas.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Necaxa are -143 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Atlas being priced up at +102 with the same money back guarantee.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -189 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Liga MX games.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+265

2

+128

Half-Time Result

1

+215

X

+135

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-189

12

-435

X2

-263

Draw No Bet

1

+102

2

-143

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-127

2 Hcp -0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-189

No

+132

Diber Armando Cambindo Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Diber Armando Cambindo is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Diber Armando Cambindo (Necaxa)

First

+125

Anytime

+380

Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Ivan Rodriguez (Necaxa)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Diego González (Atlas)

First

+300

Anytime

+900

Agustin Palavecino (Necaxa)

First

+320

Anytime

+1000

Pavel Perez (Necaxa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Víctor Ríos (Atlas)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Johan Rojas (Necaxa)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Diego Gomez (Necaxa)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Diego de Buen (Necaxa)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Ricardo Monreal (Necaxa)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Kevin Rosero (Necaxa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Rogelio Cortéz (Necaxa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Alejandro Andrade (Necaxa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Aldo Rocha (Atlas)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Cristian Calderón (Necaxa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-112

Agustin Palavecino (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-143

Diego González (Atlas)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-175

Ivan Rodriguez (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-172

Diber Armando Cambindo (Necaxa)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-200

Pavel Perez (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Johan Rojas (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Ricardo Monreal (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-244

Kevin Rosero (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-263

Diego de Buen (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Rogelio Cortéz (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Diego Gomez (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Víctor Ríos (Atlas)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-400

Aldo Rocha (Atlas)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Cristian Calderón (Necaxa)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Atlas Aiming to Stop the Rot at Home

Atlas have gone without a win at Estadio Jalisco in the last eight games. The Guadalajara club have managed five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.50.

The past three Necaxa games on the road have ended in defeat. Fernando Gago's side have collected five losses, three draws and two victories in the past 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 2.30.

The past meeting at Estadio Jalisco saw Necaxa defeat Atlas 4-0. In the previous 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Jalisco, we have seen four Necaxa victories, two Atlas wins and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlas Home Stats		1-4-5	4.00	1.50	2.50	8	2	8	2
Necaxa Away Stats		2-3-5	3.50	1.20	2.30	8	2	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Atlas vs Necaxa Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Atlas vs Rayos without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX along with the latest injury news.

Atlas Team Page Club Necaxa Team Page