Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Feb 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona

La Liga teams Atlético Madrid and Barcelona battle it out at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 12 February.

The way forward could be to back Atlético Madrid with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -115 against Barcelona. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

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Atlético Madrid were beaten 1-0 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in their last game, being turned over at home to Real Betis in La Liga. Diego Simeone's men dominated possession with 65% of the ball and had five shots on target.

Barcelona secured a 3-0 La Liga home win over Mallorca at Camp Nou in their previous game. Los Culés recorded a mind-boggling 76% of possession and managed seven shots on goal, while Robert Lewandowski, Lamine Yamal and Marc Bernal were on the scoresheet.

In the last round of the Copa del Rey, Atléti overcame Real Betis 5-0 away, with Barca getting a 2-1 win when visiting Albacete.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been three straight wins for Barca when playing Atléti. Their last clash was at Camp Nou, with Barca claiming a 3-1 La Liga home victory. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved eight Barca wins, a single draw and one Atléti victory.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Barcelona	23	19	1	3	63	23	40	63:23	58
3	Atlético Madrid	23	13	6	4	38	18	20	38:18	45

View Full Table

Atléti have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 58.6% possession, 595.8 passes and 7.0 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.2 goals from 1.8 shots on goal, 7.6 attempts and 3.8 corners.

Thiago Almada and Alexander Soerloth lead the way with 2 goals, while Antoine Griezmann has scored 1. Pablo Barrios has the most assists with 2, while goalies Jan Oblak and Juan Musso collectively have 4 clean sheets.

Barca have 4 victories and 1 defeat, with an average of 2.4 goals from 7.4 shots on goal and 22.6 attempts. The Catalan side have averaged 71.0% possession, 654.0 passes, 8.8 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.

Lamine Yamal is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Marcus Rashford on 2, with Robert Lewandowski and two others bagging 1. Dani Olmo has had 4 assists, with Joan Garcia notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 5 games.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Atlético Madrid +0.25 for this Copa del Rey game, with odds of -115 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Copa del Rey injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Copa del Rey & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atléti in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atléti in 17 of their last 20 games.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 53.5% prospect of winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:07, 10 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 1 Barcelona

Atléti are available at +700 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Antoine Griezmann to Score +255

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti) has managed six goals in his past eight matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +255 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Antoine Griezmann Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+255

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Barcelona are the +114 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 47% chance of winning this Copa del Rey encounter according to the latest betting odds. The market suggests that Atlético Madrid are least likely to win at +205.

You can back Barca at -172 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Atléti are +120 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -278.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Copa del Rey game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

+205

X

+290

2

+114

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

+163

2

+155

Double Chance

1X

-156

12

-455

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+120

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-115

2 Hcp -0.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+175

Over 2.5

-263

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-278

No

+185

There is +135 available that Julián Álvarez finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +380.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+135

Anytime

+380

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

First

+155

Anytime

+450

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+160

Anytime

+420

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

First

+160

Anytime

+480

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

First

+175

Anytime

+500

Raphinha (Barcelona)

First

+185

Anytime

+550

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+215

Anytime

+600

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

First

+255

Anytime

+650

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+255

Anytime

+700

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

First

+260

Anytime

+750

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Fermín López (Barcelona)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Marc Bernal (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Pedri (Barcelona)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Alejandro Balde (Barcelona)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Frenkie de Jong (Barcelona)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Clément Lenglet (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Obed Vargas (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Madrid Stats

Barcelona Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.25 corners awarded and 4.38 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 8.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.63 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 12.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 9.38 corners awarded and 3.25 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 6.88 corners awarded and 5.25 corners against in the last 8 away matches
• An average of 12.63 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 12.13 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 0 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.38% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 55.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 72.88% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 68.50% possession in the last 8 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 8 away matches

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Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Atléti vs Barca before making your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups plus current injury reports.

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