Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Feb 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona

La Liga giants Atlético Madrid and Barcelona battle it out in the first leg of this Copa del Rey semi-final at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 12 February.

Atlético Madrid are notoriously difficult to beat at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with Diego Simeone’s side consistently proving they can neutralize elite opposition in knockout formats. The way forward could be to back Los Colchoneros with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -115 against Barcelona. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

Atlético Madrid were beaten 1-0 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in their last game, being turned over at home to Real Betis in La Liga. Diego Simeone's men dominated possession with 65% of the ball and had five shots on target.

La liga leaders Barcelona secured a 3-0 La Liga home win over Mallorca at Camp Nou in their previous game. Los Culés recorded an impressive 76% of possession and managed seven shots on goal, while Robert Lewandowski, Lamine Yamal and Marc Bernal were on the scoresheet.

In the Copa del Rey quarter-finals, Atléti overcame Real Betis 5-0 away, with Barca getting a 2-1 win when visiting Albacete.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been three straight wins for Barca when playing Atléti. Their last clash was at Camp Nou, with Barca claiming a 3-1 La Liga home victory. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved eight Barca wins, a single draw and one Atléti victory.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Barcelona	29	24	1	4	78	28	50	78:28	73
4	Atlético Madrid	29	17	6	6	49	28	21	49:28	57

View Full Table

Atléti have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 58.6% possession, 595.8 passes and 7.0 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.2 goals from 1.8 shots on goal, 7.6 attempts and 3.8 corners.

Thiago Almada and Alexander Soerloth lead the way with 2 goals, while Antoine Griezmann has scored 1. Pablo Barrios has the most assists with 2, while goalies Jan Oblak and Juan Musso collectively have 4 clean sheets.

Barca have 4 victories and 1 defeat, with an average of 2.4 goals from 7.4 shots on goal and 22.6 attempts. The Catalan side have averaged 71.0% possession, 654.0 passes, 8.8 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.

Lamine Yamal is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Marcus Rashford on 2, with Robert Lewandowski and two others bagging 1. Dani Olmo has had 4 assists, with Joan Garcia notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 5 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Juan Musso (GK), Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Barcelona confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia (GK), Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Eric Garcia, Alejandro Balde, Frenkie de Jong, Marc Casado, Lamine Yamal, Fermin Lopez, Dani Olmo, Ferran Torres.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Atlético Madrid +0.25 for this Copa del Rey game, with odds of -115 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Copa del Rey injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Copa del Rey & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atléti in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atléti in 17 of their last 20 games.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 53.5% prospect of winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 10, 21:07). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 1 Barcelona

Los Colchoneros are available at +650 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lamine Yamal Over 2.5 Shots -149

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) has totalled over 2.5 shots in seven of his past ten matches. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Player Shots line, with odds of -149 on offer.

Latest Lamine Yamal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+155

First

+400

Shots

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

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Antoine Griezmann to Score +255

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti) has scored six goals in his past eight games. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +255.

Latest Antoine Griezmann Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+245

First

+600

Shots

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Barcelona are the +128 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 44% chance of winning this Copa del Rey encounter according to the latest betting odds. The market suggests that Atlético Madrid are least likely to win at +180.

You can back Barca at -147 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Atléti are +104 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -200.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Copa del Rey game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+285

2

+128

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

+140

2

+180

Double Chance

1X

-179

12

-455

X2

-263

Draw No Bet

1

+104

2

-147

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-132

2 Hcp -0.25

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+135

There is +138 available that Robert Lewandowski finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +390.

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

First

+138

Anytime

+390

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+155

Anytime

+400

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

First

+155

Anytime

+400

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+155

Anytime

+390

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

Raphinha (Barcelona)

First

+215

Anytime

+550

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+225

Anytime

+575

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Fermín López (Barcelona)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+425

Anytime

+1100

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+425

Anytime

+950

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Marc Bernal (Barcelona)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Pedri (Barcelona)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Andreas Christensen (Barcelona)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Eric García (Barcelona)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

João Cancelo (Barcelona)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Jules Koundé (Barcelona)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Clément Lenglet (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Alejandro Balde (Barcelona)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Obed Vargas (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Frenkie de Jong (Barcelona)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Raphinha (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Fermín López (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Marc Bernal (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Pedri (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Eric García (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

João Cancelo (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Madrid Stats

Barcelona Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.25 corners awarded and 4.38 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 8.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.63 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 12.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 9.38 corners awarded and 3.25 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 6.88 corners awarded and 5.25 corners against in the last 8 away matches
• An average of 12.63 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 12.13 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 0 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.38% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 55.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 72.88% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 68.50% possession in the last 8 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 8 away matches

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Atléti vs Barca before making your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups plus current injury reports.

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