Atlético Madrid vs Tottenham Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Mar 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Tottenham

Spanish La Liga club Atlético Madrid host Premier League outfit Tottenham in the first leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Tuesday 10 March.

Igor Tudor has started his reign as Tottenham head coach with four straight Premier League losses, leaving Spurs winless in their last eleven league games and just one point above the relegation zone. Considering the recent form, injury situation and performance metrics such as xG, everything points towards a comfortable win for Atlético Madrid.

There’s a strong case for backing Atléti -1 at odds of -114, meaning money back if Los Colchoneros beat Tottenham by a single goal. A victory by two goals or more would land a nice return with this Asian Handicap wager.

Atlético Madrid were winners last time out. Landing a 3-2 La Liga home victory against Real Sociedad at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's team recorded 52% possession and managed nine shots on target, with Nico Gonzalez scoring two goals and Alexander Soerloth registering the other.

Tottenham lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Crystal Palace 3-1 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the Premier League. Spurs had 40% possession and recorded four shots on goal, while Dominic Solanke found the net.

In their most recent Champions League outings, Atléti beat Club Brugge 4-1 at home in the second leg of their play-off tie (7-4 on aggregate), while Tottenham won 2-0 away at Eintracht Frankfurt in the league phase.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17	7	10	17:7	17
14	Atlético Madrid	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	17:15	13

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 15.3 attempts. Atléti have had 56.7% possession, 558.9 passes and 6.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.8 corners.

Alexander Soerloth is the top scorer with 8 goals, while Nico Gonzalez, Julian Alvarez and Ademola Lookman each have 2. Leading assistor is Matteo Ruggeri with 4, while goalie Jan Oblak has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Tottenham have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 13.6 attempts, 4.7 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. Igor Tudor's side average 48.8% possession, 431.6 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 4.3 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts.

The top scorers have been Dominic Solanke with 5, Cristian Romero on 3 and Randal Kolo Muani 2. Wilson Odobert has been the top assist maker on 3, with Guglielmo Vicario notching 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marc Pubill, Robin Le Normand, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Johnny Cardoso, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Tottenham confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Antonin Kinsky (GK), Kevin Danso, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, Pedro Porro, Archie Gray, Pape Sarr, Djed Spence, Randal Kolo Muani, Richarlison, Mathys Tel.

Atlético Madrid vs Tottenham Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Atlético Madrid vs Tottenham with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We like Atlético Madrid -1 at betting odds of -114 for this Champions League match. This bet can land us a nice return if the home team are able to manage a convincing win and the signs look positive.

The Champions League injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Tottenham Champions League & league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by Atléti in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Tottenham in any of their last 5 games.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Tottenham in 6 of their last 10 games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 53.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re searching for a larger price and feel confident that your selection will perform well, then moving the line can secure an increased possible pay out.

Before you dive in, check our guide for the newest betting promotions and generous sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp -1 @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 8, 22:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 0 Tottenham

A 2-0 win in favor of Los Colchoneros can be backed at odds of +600. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pape Sarr Over 0.5 Shots -132

Pape Sarr (Tottenham) has had one or more shots in five straight games. There is odds of -132 available when it comes to this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Pape Sarr Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+2200

Shots

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

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Ademola Lookman to Score +160

Ademola Lookman (Atléti) has racked up two goals in his past five matches. There are odds of +160 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Ademola Lookman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+525

Shots

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners +102

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in three consecutive Atlético Madrid home matches, with the last five Tottenham away games averaging 7.80 corners. It looks a logical viewpoint that the line won’t be reached and you can land a price of +102 for this Total Corners wager.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

10.60 6.80 3.80

Home

10.80 6.90 3.90

Away

10.80 5.60 5.20

Tottenham

Total

8.80 4.40 4.40

Home

9.90 4.80 5.10

Away

8.30 4.20 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-143

Atléti Corners

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+106

Tottenham Corners

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

-102

Most Corners

1

-238

X

+700

2

+225

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Tottenham Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Champions League encounter, the bookmakers have Atlético Madrid as the -156 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 61% chance of triumphing. If you want to back the outsider, Tottenham are available at +440.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Atléti are +118 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Tottenham are +420 and the draw is priced at +128.

The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Champions League games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

-156

X

+285

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+118

X

+128

2

+420

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-400

X2

+120

Draw No Bet

1

-435

2

+270

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-120

2 Hcp +0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-106

Alexander Sørloth is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +320. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +120.

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+120

Anytime

+320

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+125

Anytime

+330

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Dominic Solanke (Tottenham)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Richarlison (Tottenham)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+1050

Randal Kolo Muani (Tottenham)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Mathys Tel (Tottenham)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Xavi Simons (Tottenham)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Obed Vargas (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Conor Gallagher (Tottenham)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Clément Lenglet (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Nahuel Molina (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Koke (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Pape Sarr (Tottenham)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Xavi Simons (Tottenham)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Mathys Tel (Tottenham)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Randal Kolo Muani (Tottenham)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Richarlison (Tottenham)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Dominic Solanke (Tottenham)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Obed Vargas (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Conor Gallagher (Tottenham)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Pape Sarr (Tottenham)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Madrid Stats

Tottenham Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 48.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 47.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Atlético Madrid vs Tottenham Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atléti vs Tottenham before you bet. Get the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

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