Atlético Madrid vs Valencia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Dec 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Valencia

Fourth-placed Atlético Madrid square off against Valencia at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 08:00 on Saturday 13 December.

We’re expecting Atlético Madrid to dominate against Valencia and the Asian Handicap offers us the chance to back Atléti at -1.5. Odds of -123 seem pretty generous that the hosts are able to win by two or more.

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Atlético Madrid have enjoyed seven straight La Liga home wins. In their last league game, they lost on the road to Athletic Club 1-0 at San Mamés. Los Colchoneros had most of the ball recording 56% possession and two shots on target.

On Tuesday night, Atléti travelled to PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League and won 3-2.

Valencia hosted Sevilla in their previous match, ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Mestalla. Carlos Corberan's team had 48% possession and three shots on goal, with Hugo Duro finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti have racked up three consecutive wins over Valencia. In their last clash, Atléti claimed a 3-0 away victory at Estadio Mestalla. The past 10 H2H matches have involved eight Atléti wins, one Valencia victory and one draw.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Atlético Madrid	16	9	4	3	28	15	13	28:15	31
16	Valencia	15	3	6	6	14	23	-9	14:23	15

View Full Table

Atléti have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. Diego Simeone's side have averaged 51.1% possession, 469.3 passes and 7.2 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 3.8 corners from 2.9 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Top goalscorer Antoine Griezmann has found the net 4 times, with Alexander Soerloth and Julian Alvarez scoring 3 each. Giuliano Simeone is top assists maker with 3, while goalies Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have kept 5 clean sheets between them.

Valencia have won 1, lost 4 and drawn 5, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 0.8 goals. Los Che average 48.1% possession, 414.9 passes, 4.5 corners taken and 4.5 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.6 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Hugo Duro has top scored with 3, while Diego Lopez and Arnaut Danjuma are next best on 2. Filip Ugrinic and Luis Rioja are top assists providers with 2, while Julen Agirrezabala has recorded 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-1-1): Jan Oblak (GK), Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Conor Gallagher, Pablo Barrios, Nico Gonzalez, Thiago Almada, Julian Alvarez.

Valencia predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Julen Agirrezabala (GK), Thierry Correia, Eray Coemert, Jose Copete, Jose Gaya, Javier Guerra, Pepelu, Luis Rioja, Andre Almeida, Arnaut Danjuma, Hugo Duro.

Atlético Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Atlético Madrid vs Valencia betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

Rather than back Atlético Madrid to win, we’re going to take the -123 that the favourites overcome -1.5 on the Asian Handicap for this La Liga match. They could prove too strong over ninety minutes.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest La Liga stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Valencia league stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 3 consecutive games against Valencia.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 55.2% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you want to back Atléti without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -123 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 3 - 0 Valencia

Atléti are available to back at +575 to secure a 3-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Thiago Almada Over 0.5 Shots On Target +115

Thiago Almada (Atléti) has chalked up at least one shot on goal in three straight La Liga home games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the +115 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.

Latest Thiago Almada Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

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Giuliano Simeone To Score +410

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) is available at +410 to be among the goals. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

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Corners Prediction

Atléti Over 6.5 Corners -123

It’s been an average of 9.60 Atlético Madrid corners in the past 5 home games, while the previous three Valencia away matches have involved them conceding over 6.5 corners. There’s everything to like about the Atléti Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -123.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

11.00 7.20 3.80

Home

11.60 8.40 3.20

Away

8.50 5.20 3.30

Valencia

Total

9.00 4.50 4.50

Home

9.70 5.60 4.10

Away

9.70 3.60 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-133

Under 9.5

-105

Atléti Corners

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-109

Valencia Corners

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-104

Most Corners

1

-625

X

+850

2

+500

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Atlético Madrid vs Valencia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bettors might not get rich backing Atlético Madrid at -400 to triumph in this La Liga clash although these odds suggest a 80% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. If you want to wager on the underdog, Valencia have been priced up at +1050.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Atléti at -147, go for Valencia at +700 or take the draw at +175.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If you anticipate that one team or more will achieve a shutout, then Both Teams to Score No is -156.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every La Liga match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-400

X

+460

2

+1050

Half-Time Result

1

-147

X

+175

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-714

X2

+255

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+600

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-123

2 Hcp +1.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+118

Over 2.5

-156

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+117

No

-156

The First Goalscorer favourite is Julián Álvarez at +230, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-143

Anytime

+230

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+120

Anytime

+350

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+175

Anytime

+510

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+102

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-105

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-156

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-185

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-192

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-238

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-244

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Atlético Madrid have secured ten straight victories at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Valencia haven’t tasted victory in the previous nine away matches. Carlos Corberan's team have five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Atléti overcame Valencia 3-0 when the sides last met at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. In addition to a draw, Atléti have been dominant with six wins in the previous 7 H2H games at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		10-0-0	3.70	2.90	0.80	7	3	6	4
Valencia Away Stats		1-4-5	2.80	0.80	2.00	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Atlético Madrid vs Valencia Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atléti vs Valencia before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Valencia Team Page

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