Atlético Madrid vs Valencia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Dec 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Valencia

Fourth-placed Atlético Madrid square off against Valencia at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 08:00 on Saturday 13 December.

We’re expecting Atlético Madrid to dominate against Valencia and the Asian Handicap offers us the chance to back Atléti at -1.5. Odds of -123 seem pretty generous that the hosts are able to win by two or more.

Atlético Madrid have enjoyed seven straight La Liga home wins. In their last league game, they lost on the road to Athletic Club 1-0 at San Mamés. Los Colchoneros had most of the ball recording 56% possession and two shots on target.

On Tuesday night, Atléti travelled to PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League and won 3-2.

Valencia hosted Sevilla in their previous match, ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Mestalla. Carlos Corberan's team had 48% possession and three shots on goal, with Hugo Duro finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti have racked up three consecutive wins over Valencia. In their last clash, Atléti claimed a 3-0 away victory at Estadio Mestalla. The past 10 H2H matches have involved eight Atléti wins, one Valencia victory and one draw.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Atlético Madrid	29	17	6	6	49	28	21	49:28	57
12	Valencia	29	9	8	12	32	42	-10	32:42	35

View Full Table

Atléti have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. Diego Simeone's side have averaged 51.1% possession, 469.3 passes and 7.2 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 3.8 corners from 2.9 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Top goalscorer Antoine Griezmann has found the net 4 times, with Alexander Soerloth and Julian Alvarez scoring 3 each. Giuliano Simeone is top assists maker with 3, while goalies Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have kept 5 clean sheets between them.

Valencia have won 1, lost 4 and drawn 5, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 0.8 goals. Los Che average 48.1% possession, 414.9 passes, 4.5 corners taken and 4.5 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.6 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Hugo Duro has top scored with 3, while Diego Lopez and Arnaut Danjuma are next best on 2. Filip Ugrinic and Luis Rioja are top assists providers with 2, while Julen Agirrezabala has recorded 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Nico Gonzalez, Julian Alvarez, Alexander Soerloth.

Valencia confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Julen Agirrezabala (GK), Dimitri Foulquier, Eray Coemert, Jose Copete, Thierry Correia, Filip Ugrinic, Pepelu, Andre Almeida, Jesus Vazquez, Hugo Duro, Diego Lopez.

Atlético Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Atlético Madrid vs Valencia betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

Rather than back Atlético Madrid to win, we’re going to take the -123 that the favourites overcome -1.5 on the Asian Handicap for this La Liga match. They could prove too strong over ninety minutes.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest La Liga stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Valencia league stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 3 consecutive games against Valencia.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 55.2% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you want to back Atléti without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -123 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 11, 14:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 3 - 0 Valencia

Atléti are available to back at +575 to secure a 3-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Thiago Almada Over 0.5 Shots On Target +115

Thiago Almada (Atléti) has chalked up at least one shot on goal in three straight La Liga home games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the +115 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.

Latest Thiago Almada Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+540

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-118

Shots

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

---

Giuliano Simeone To Score +410

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) is available at +410 to be among the goals. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atléti Over 6.5 Corners -123

It’s been an average of 9.60 Atlético Madrid corners in the past 5 home games, while the previous three Valencia away matches have involved them conceding over 6.5 corners. There’s everything to like about the Atléti Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -123.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

11.00 7.20 3.80

Home

11.60 8.40 3.20

Away

8.50 5.20 3.30

Valencia

Total

9.00 4.50 4.50

Home

9.70 5.60 4.10

Away

9.70 3.60 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Atléti Corners

Over 6.5

-137

Under 6.5

-104

Valencia Corners

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-588

X

+900

2

+480

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Valencia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bettors might not get rich backing Atlético Madrid at -400 to triumph in this La Liga clash although these odds suggest a 80% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. If you want to wager on the underdog, Valencia have been priced up at +1000.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Atléti at -147, go for Valencia at +700 or take the draw at +175.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If you anticipate that one team or more will achieve a shutout, then Both Teams to Score No is -149.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every La Liga match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-400

X

+460

2

+1000

Half-Time Result

1

-147

X

+175

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-769

X2

+260

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+575

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-100

2 Hcp +1.75

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+112

No

-149

The First Goalscorer favourite is Julián Álvarez at +235, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-143

Anytime

+235

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+120

Anytime

+360

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+170

Anytime

+500

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+220

Anytime

+540

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+110

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

+102

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-118

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-175

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-192

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-222

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-238

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-104

Under 3.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Atlético Madrid have secured ten straight victories at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Valencia haven’t tasted victory in the previous nine away matches. Carlos Corberan's team have five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Atléti overcame Valencia 3-0 when the sides last met at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. In addition to a draw, Atléti have been dominant with six wins in the previous 7 H2H games at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		10-0-0	3.70	2.90	0.80	7	3	6	4
Valencia Away Stats		1-4-5	2.80	0.80	2.00	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Atlético Madrid vs Valencia Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atléti vs Valencia before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Valencia Team Page

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