Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Nov 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia

Atlético Mineiro square off against Bahia, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 5 November. Our betting preview features expert Brazilian Série A predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Goals at a Premium

We’re delighted to snap up odds of -164 when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 Goals, with the Total Goals market affording us this value proposition. Atlético Mineiro and Bahia might fall short of the line.

Reckon goals will be hard to come by? Make sure you’ve got the BetMGM promo code and check our review before you place that bet.

Teams’ Last Clash Saw 2-1 Bahia Win

Atlético Mineiro played Internacional away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw. Jorge Sampaoli's side had only 23% possession and recorded two shots on target.

Bahia have lost four away games on the bounce. Recently, they recorded a 2-1 home win over Red Bull Bragantino. The Squad of Steel had six shots on goal and enjoyed 69% possession, with Willian Jose finding the net twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bahia have claimed consecutive victories over Atlético, winning by 2-1 and 3-0 scorelines when hosting. In the previous 10 H2H meetings, there have been four wins apiece and two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Bahia	33	15	8	10	44	40	4	44:40	53
9	Atlético MG	32	11	10	11	34	34	0	34:34	43

View Full Table

Atlético have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts. Galo have averaged 48.0% possession and 3.6 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 5.5 corners from 4.1 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts.

Vitor Hugo is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Alan Franco, Ruan, Guilherme Arana and Rony each have 1. Rony is the leading assists maker on 2.

Bahia have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 10.1 attempts, 5.0 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Salvador club average 53.7% possession, 4.4 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts.

Willian Jose has landed 6 goals, Rodrigo Nestor 2, with Iago and two others scoring 1. Luciano Juba, Tiago and Ademir Santos have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Everson (GK), Renzo Saravia, Ruan, Junior Alonso, Gustavo Scarpa, Alan Franco, Alexsander Gomes, Guilherme Arana, Dudu, Hulk, Bernard.

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Santiago Arias, David Duarte, Kanu, Luciano Juba, Michel Araujo, Nicolas Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Ademir Santos, Tiago, Cauly Oliveira Souza.

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong case when it comes to selecting Under 2.5 Goals for this Série A encounter. There might not be fireworks between the two teams and we’ve snapped up the odds of -164.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key Série A stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Atlético MG games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Atlético MG games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Atlético MG games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 62.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want to place an Under 2.5 Goals bet at larger odds, then there’s the chance to combine this selection with BTTS No. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager is a popular option.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -164 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 1 - 1 Bahia

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +480. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Willian José Over 0.5 Shots On Target -127

Willian José (Bahia) can be wagered to finish with at least one shot on goal at -127. Shots on Target bettors should definitely consider him at the available odds and we’ll have a play.

Latest Willian José Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+325

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-118

Shots

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

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Rodrigo Nestor to Score +750

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia) has registered two goals in his past six Série A games on the road. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +750 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Rodrigo Nestor Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+1600

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Corners Prediction

Atlético Under 4.5 Corners +110

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Atlético Mineiro in four consecutive matches. On this basis, we can take a price of +110 that this Atlético Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

9.10 3.60 5.50

Home

8.80 4.60 4.20

Away

9.40 4.00 5.40

Bahia

Total

8.60 4.40 4.20

Home

8.10 4.80 3.30

Away

8.50 3.20 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-127

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Bahia Corners

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-163

Most Corners

1

-125

X

+600

2

+145

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Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Atlético Victory

Atlético Mineiro are the +114 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 47% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. Bahia are regarded as the least likely winner at +245.

Atlético -0.25 on the Asian Handicap can be backed at -118. It means your stake is split between 0 and -0.5, with a full payout if they beat Bahia. Half your stake is refunded if we see a draw.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -127 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Série A coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+114

X

+225

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+112

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-313

X2

-156

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+138

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-118

2 Hcp +0.25

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-154

Over 2.5

+118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-127

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

The First Goalscorer favourite is Givanildo Souza "Hulk" at +420. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+180

Anytime

+420

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+325

Anytime

+600

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Júlio César de 'Rezende' Miranda (Bahia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+107

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-118

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-119

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-127

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-137

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-147

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-185

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-213

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-233

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-217

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-333

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

-116

Under 3.5

-

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Lineups & Team News

The Atlético vs Bahia team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Bahia Team Page