Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 May 2025

Galo Should Have the Edge

We’ll back Atlético Mineiro with a fair degree of confidence when they clash with Fluminense. At betting odds of -105 on the Full-Time Result market, this looks a value pick and we expect a return.

2-0 Atlético Win When Teams Last Clashed

Atlético Mineiro triumphed in their last game. It was on their travels where Juventude were beaten 1-0. Galo had the majority of the ball boasting 55% possession and seven shots on target, with an own goal proving to be the difference in the end.

Fluminense won their previous game, beating Sport Recife at home. It was a 2-1 victory. Renato Gaucho's team recorded 63% possession and had eight shots on goal, while Kevin Serna and Everaldo found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Atlético who triumphed when they last faced Fluminense, a 2-0 Copa Libertadores home victory was recorded. Atlético have secured five wins, Fluminense boast three wins and there have been two draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Fluminense	11	6	2	3	15	12	3	15:12	20
8	Atlético MG	13	5	5	3	14	12	2	14:12	20

View Full Table

Atlético have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. The Belo Horizonte outfit have averaged 58.2% possession and 8.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.3 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 3.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Rony has found the net 2 times, with Hulk, Tomas Cuello, Fausto Vera and Joao Marcelo scoring 1 each. The top assist makers are Hulk, Gabriel Menino and Igor Gomes, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Fluminense have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 10.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. The Big Flu average 56.8% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while conceding 0.8 goals from 8.1 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

Kevin Serna is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Jhon Arias on 2, with Everaldo and two others bagging 1. Look no further than Jhon Arias for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Everson (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Junior Alonso, Rubens, Fausto Vera, Alan Franco, Gustavo Scarpa, Hulk, Tomas Cuello, Rony.

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Juan Freytes, Gabriel Fuentes, Nonato, Facundo Bernal, Martinelli, Jhon Arias, Everaldo, Agustin Canobbio.

Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

We can’t pass up the opportunity to back Atlético Mineiro considering they are -105 to record a Série A victory. We’ll take this bet with confidence based on the stats that are available to us.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense league stats:

• Fluminense have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Fluminense have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

Atlético to Win Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

You can choose an alternative if you want bigger odds about a win for Atlético. The Double Result market allows you to wager on them to lead at the halfway stage too.

Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 1 - 0 Fluminense

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Atlético to win 1-0. The odds of +480 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Gustavo Scarpa Under 0.5 Shots On Target -156

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG) can be backed to not record a shot on goal at -156. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Gustavo Scarpa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-143

Shots

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

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Igor Gomes To Score +850

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG) is available to score at +850. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Igor Gomes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+1700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Shots

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -138

In terms of average corners for the past five Atlético Mineiro home games, the number is 14.00. The previous ten Fluminense matches have averaged 11.00 corners. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -138 is available to back.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

12.30 8.40 3.90

Home

11.20 6.40 4.80

Away

10.10 5.20 4.90

Fluminense

Total

11.00 5.70 5.30

Home

10.30 6.70 3.60

Away

9.90 4.00 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Fluminense Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-238

X

+600

2

+215

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Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Atlético Match Odds Suggest Victory

For this Serie A match, the leading bookies’ betting odds mean Atlético Mineiro are the -110 favourite to win and that means a 52% chance of winning. Fluminense are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +350.

The game is predicted to be a low-scoring one and that is borne out by Under 2.5 Goals trading at short odds.

If you’re betting on Série A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-110

X

+220

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+162.5

X

-100

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-549

12

-275

X2

-120

Draw No Bet

1

-300

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-103

2 Hcp +0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-143

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There is +220 available that Givanildo "Hulk" Souza finds the net, while he is available at +480 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

First

+220

Anytime

+480

Ronielson "Rony" Da Silva Barbosa (Atlético MG)

First

+235

Anytime

+480

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

First

+275

Anytime

+575

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

First

+285

Anytime

+540

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+375

Anytime

+750

Brahian Palacios (Atlético MG)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Jhon Arias (Fluminense)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Joaquín Lavega (Fluminense)

First

+540

Anytime

+1000

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Marcos "Keno" Silva França (Fluminense)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Paulo Baya (Fluminense)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Rubén (PRY) Lezcano (Fluminense)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Rubens Dias (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+116

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-102

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-106

Brahian Palacios (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-123

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-128

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-143

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-147

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Jhon Arias (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-238

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-233

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-250

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-263

Ronielson "Rony" Da Silva Barbosa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-286

Joaquín Lavega (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-286

Marcos "Keno" Silva França (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-303

Paulo Baya (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Rubén (PRY) Lezcano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-370

Rubens Dias (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-500

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-556

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-909

Ronielson "Rony" Da Silva Barbosa (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Brahian Palacios (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Rubens Dias (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Paulo Baya (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Marcos "Keno" Silva França (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Joaquín Lavega (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Jhon Arias (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-286

Under 1.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Atlético vs Fluminense team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’ve got details of the Série A squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Fluminense Team Page