Atlético Mineiro vs Fortaleza Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Nov 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Fortaleza
Atlético Mineiro take on Fortaleza, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Wednesday 12 November.
Are Galo Value for This Game?
It could be beneficial to back Atlético Mineiro when they clash with Fortaleza. There’s loads of value in the -159 that the home team get the job done and we’re therefore going to play the Full-Time Result market.
Think Atlético has the edge? Check out our expert review of BetMGM before grabbing the newest promo code on offer.
1-1 Draw in Last H2H
Atlético Mineiro have triumphed in back-to-back Série A games. Away from home, Sport Recife were recently beaten 4-2. The Belo Horizonte team had five shots on target and boasted 69% possession, with Rony grabbing two goals, while Hulk and Alexsander Gomes getting one.
Fortaleza drew their previous game which was at home. The action ended 2-2 against Grêmio. Martin Palermo's side had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 54% possession and nine shots on goal, while Adam Bareiro and Matheus Pereira were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Atlético are unbeaten in the past three games against Fortaleza, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in five Atlético victories, three draws and two Fortaleza wins.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético MG |
32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 34:34 | 43 |
| 19 | Fortaleza |
32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 31:48 | 30 |
5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 8.0 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. Atlético have had 51.0% possession and 4.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.8 goals from 9.3 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.2 corners.
Top scorer is Rony on 3 goals, while Hulk and Vitor Hugo have both racked up 2. Leading assistor is Rony with 3.
Fortaleza – Last 10 League GamesFortaleza have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 5.5 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Ceará outfit average 44.3% possession, 5.5 corners taken and 6.3 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 10.1 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.
Adam Bareiro has scored 4 goals, followed by Matheus Pereira, Breno Lopes, Eros Mancuso and Lucas Sasha on 1. Breno Lopes has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (3-5-2): Everson (GK), Renzo Saravia, Vitor Hugo, Ruan Tressoldi, Natanael, Alexsander, Fausto Vera, Igor Gomes, Guilherme Arana, Hulk, Rony.
Fortaleza predicted lineup (4-3-3): Brenno Costa (GK), Eros Mancuso, Emanuel Brítez, Gaston Avila, Bruno Pacheco, Pierre, Lucas Sasha, Tomas Pochettino, José Herrera, Adam Bareiro, Breno Lopes.
Atlético Mineiro vs Fortaleza Prediction & Betting Tips
Get set for Atlético Mineiro vs Fortaleza with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
Atlético Mineiro look like a spot of value at -159 when it comes to the latest betting. They should be able to deliver a victory in this Série A game based on the information available and we’re feeling confident.
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Série A stats before coming up with a verdict.
Key Atlético Mineiro vs Fortaleza league stats:
Atlético to Win Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 61.3% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
It’s worth considering all the options. If you’re looking for tastier odds about Atlético to win and a certain number of goals to be scored, then the Match Result & Total market could be a good way forward.
Take full advantage of our betting promo codes. Browse our up-to-date guide featuring top bonuses and exclusive offers.
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 2-0 victory in favor of Atlético at odds of +550. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Adam Bareiro (Fortaleza) can be wagered at -123 to register at least one shot on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Fausto Vera (Atlético MG) is available to score at +900. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
Fortaleza have had over 3.5 corners in six consecutive games, while the previous 10 Atlético Mineiro matches have seen them concede an average of 5.20 corners. We’re expecting plenty of Fortaleza corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -120 available.
Atlético
Fortaleza
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are Atlético Mineiro to triumph, No on the Both Teams to Score market together with Fortaleza to have over 3.5 corners.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Atlético Mineiro vs Fortaleza Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Atlético Trading at Shorter Odds Than Fortaleza
With a roughly 61% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -159 betting odds for Atlético Mineiro winning this Série A clash. Fortaleza are the underdogs at +475 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.
A 2+ goal margin of victory for Atlético against Fortaleza means a full payout at -130 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.
If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -149 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Série A games.
Givanildo Souza "Hulk" Favourite to Be First Goalscorer
Givanildo Souza "Hulk" can be backed to find the net anytime at +145, with +380 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
- Série A: 17/10 2024 Fortaleza 1 Atlético MG 1
- Série A: 23/06 2024 Atlético MG 1 Fortaleza 1
- Série A: 02/11 2023 Atlético MG 3 Fortaleza 1
- Série A: 24/06 2023 Fortaleza 2 Atlético MG 1
- Série A: 25/10 2022 Fortaleza 0 Atlético MG 0
- Série A: 26/06 2022 Atlético MG 3 Fortaleza 2
- Copa do Brasil: 28/10 2021 Fortaleza 1 Atlético MG 2
- Copa do Brasil: 21/10 2021 Atlético MG 4 Fortaleza 0
- Série A: 12/09 2021 Fortaleza 0 Atlético MG 2
- Série A: 30/05 2021 Atlético MG 1 Fortaleza 2
Atlético Mineiro League Stats
Fortaleza League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 41.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Atlético Mineiro this season are Hulk (6), Rony (6), Igor Gomes (4)
- Top Assistors for Atlético Mineiro this season are Hulk (5), Gustavo Scarpa (3), Rony (3)
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Atlético Mineiro vs Fortaleza Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Atlético vs Fortaleza team news before wagering. Get the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Atlético Mineiro Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Fortaleza Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Atlético Mineiro Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Fortaleza Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Previous Fortaleza Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:20 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 59 |
| 5 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 53 |
| 6 | Botafogo | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 44:28 | 52 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 51 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 45 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34:34 | 43 |
| 10 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 38:50 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | 42 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | 37 |
| 16 | Vitória | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | 35 |
| 17 | Santos | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:48 | 30 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:55 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 42:8 | 41 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 35:11 | 39 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 36:14 | 39 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30:12 | 39 |
| 5 | Bahia | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 28:11 | 39 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 21:10 | 37 |
| 7 | Atlético MG | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21:11 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 29 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 28 |
| 10 | Vitória | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 27 |
| 11 | Internacional | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 12 | Grêmio | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 14 | Ceará | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vasco da Gama | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:23 | 25 |
| 16 | Bragantino | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 25 |
| 17 | Fortaleza | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 18 | Juventude | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 19 | Santos | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 15:27 | 10 |
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