Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Mar 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo

Atlético Mineiro host São Paulo, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Wednesday 18 March.

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering São Paulo +0.25 at -105 against Atlético Mineiro. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

Atlético Mineiro were beaten last game and this was away from home. Vitória claimed a 2-0 win. Eduardo Dominguez's team dominated possession with 67% of the ball and had three shots on target.

São Paulo won their previous game 2-1. This away win against Red Bull Bragantino made it four on the bounce. Tricolor Paulista had 50% possession and managed three shots on goal, with Sabino and Jonathan Calleri finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

São Paulo are unbeaten in the past four games against Atlético. In their last encounter, São Paulo delivered with a 2-0 home win. The previous 10 H2H matches have featured five draws, four victories for Atlético and just one for São Paulo.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	São Paulo	6	5	1	0	10	3	7	10:3	16
16	Atlético MG	6	1	2	3	7	10	-3	7:10	5

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. Atlético have had 50.1% possession and 5.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts, while being awarded 6.2 corners.

Top goalscorer Dudu has found the net 3 times, with Victor Hugo and Hulk scoring 2 each. Hulk has made the most assists with 3.

São Paulo have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.5 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.2% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.

The top scorers have been Jonathan Calleri with 4, Luciano Neves on 3 and Sabino 2. Marcos Antonio and Damian Bobadilla have been the top assists providers with 2 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Angelo Preciado, Iván Román, Júnior Alonso, Renan Lodi, Gustavo Scarpa, Alan Franco, Victor Hugo, Tomás Cuello, Hulk, Dudu.

São Paulo predicted lineup (4-3-1-2): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Sabino, Enzo Díaz, Damián Bobadilla, Danielzinho, Marcos Antônio, Lucas Moura, Luciano, Jonathan Calleri.

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll divide our stake by wagering São Paulo +0.25 at odds of -105 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this Série A showdown.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Série A team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 6 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 4 consecutive games against São Paulo.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

São Paulo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 17, 01:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 0 - 1 São Paulo

A 1-0 win in favor of São Paulo is available at odds of +700. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jonathan Calleri to Score +280

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo) has racked up four goals in his past five Série A games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +280 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Jonathan Calleri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+700

Shots

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

São Paulo Over 3.5 Corners -130

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by São Paulo in three straight games, while the past six Atlético Mineiro matches have seen over 3.5 corners conceded. We’re happy to back the -130 when it comes to São Paulo covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

12.00 5.80 6.20

Home

11.30 5.90 5.40

Away

10.30 4.80 5.50

São Paulo

Total

9.60 4.10 5.50

Home

9.30 4.70 4.60

Away

10.10 4.60 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-143

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+114

São Paulo Corners

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-103

Most Corners

1

-167

X

+650

2

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Atlético Mineiro are the shortest price to win this Série A clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 46% probability due to their +118 betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, São Paulo are available at +245.

The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Atlético are -192, while São Paulo are alternatively priced at +133.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Série A game and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+118

X

+220

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+112

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-303

X2

-154

Draw No Bet

1

-192

2

+133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-116

2 Hcp +0.25

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-111

Those interested in Givanildo Souza "Hulk" to find the net anytime are able to get +165. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +400.

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+165

Anytime

+400

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

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Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Atlético vs São Paulo, check the team news first. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page São Paulo Team Page

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