Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Mar 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo

Atlético Mineiro host São Paulo, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 18 March.

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering São Paulo +0.25 at -105 against Atlético Mineiro. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

Atlético Mineiro were beaten last game and this was away from home. Vitória claimed a 2-0 win. Eduardo Dominguez's team dominated possession with 67% of the ball and had three shots on target.

São Paulo won their previous game 2-1. This away win against Red Bull Bragantino made it four on the bounce. Tricolor Paulista had 50% possession and managed three shots on goal, with Sabino and Jonathan Calleri finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

São Paulo are unbeaten in the past four games against Atlético. In their last encounter, São Paulo delivered with a 2-0 home win. The previous 10 H2H matches have featured five draws, four victories for Atlético and just one for São Paulo.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	São Paulo	16	7	3	6	22	18	4	22:18	24
10	Atlético MG	16	6	3	7	21	22	-1	21:22	21

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. Atlético have had 50.1% possession and 5.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts, while being awarded 6.2 corners.

Top goalscorer Dudu has found the net 3 times, with Victor Hugo and Hulk scoring 2 each. Hulk has made the most assists with 3.

São Paulo have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.5 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.2% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.

The top scorers have been Jonathan Calleri with 4, Luciano Neves on 3 and Sabino 2. Marcos Antonio and Damian Bobadilla have been the top assists providers with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Angelo Preciado, Ivan Roman, Junior Alonso, Renan Lodi, Tomas Perez, Alan Franco, Victor Hugo, Hulk, Mateo Cassierra, Tomas Cuello.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Rafael (GK), Maik Gomes, Alan Franco, Sabino, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Danielzinho, Damian Bobadilla, Marcos Antonio, Cauly Oliveira Souza, Andre, Jonathan Calleri.

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll divide our stake by wagering São Paulo +0.25 at odds of -105 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this Série A showdown.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Série A team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 6 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 4 consecutive games against São Paulo.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There are many ways to bet on São Paulo and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

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Our Match Prediction

São Paulo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 17, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 0 - 1 São Paulo

A 1-0 win in favor of São Paulo is available at odds of +650. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jonathan Calleri to Score +280

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo) has racked up four goals in his past five Série A games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +280 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Jonathan Calleri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+700

Shots

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

São Paulo Over 3.5 Corners -130

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by São Paulo in three straight games, while the past six Atlético Mineiro matches have seen over 3.5 corners conceded. We’re happy to back the -130 when it comes to São Paulo covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

12.00 5.80 6.20

Home

11.30 5.90 5.40

Away

10.30 4.80 5.50

São Paulo

Total

9.60 4.10 5.50

Home

9.30 4.70 4.60

Away

10.10 4.60 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-119

Under 9.5

-119

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-147

São Paulo Corners

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+115

Most Corners

1

-156

X

+650

2

+160

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

São Paulo are available at betting odds of +230 to beat Atlético Mineiro, with their opponents trading at +133 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +205 for this Série A encounter.

The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Atlético are -172, while São Paulo are alternatively priced at +120.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Série A game and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+133

X

+205

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+108

2

+280

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-278

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-172

2

+120

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-102

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-123

No

-111

Those interested in Givanildo Souza "Hulk" to find the net anytime are able to get +170. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +400.

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Atlético vs São Paulo, check the team news first. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page São Paulo Team Page

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