Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 21 Feb 2026
Primera A Betting Preview: Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera
Atlético Nacional host Alianza Petrolera, with kick-off set for 18:20 on Saturday 21 February.
Atlético Nacional can prove too strong for Alianza Petrolera and we’re backing them on the Asian Handicap -1.25 at -118. We need a two-goal margin of victory, although half our stake is returned if the favourites win by one goal.
Atlético Nacional have claimed three straight home victories. Their last game was a 1-0 away loss against Deportivo Cali.
Alianza Petrolera played out a 1-1 draw against Cucuta in their previous game, with this being at home.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 3-0 to home side Nacional when they last faced Alianza. The past 10 H2H matches have included five Nacional victories, three draws and two Alianza wins.
| Categoria Primera A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atlético Nacional |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 20 | Alianza |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3:11 | 3 |
Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction & Betting Tips
We dive into the top Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
There’s the chance to back Atlético Nacional -1.25 for this Primera A match and odds of -118 make lots of appeal. We’re anticipating that the favourites can keep their opponents at bay for ninety minutes.
We’re always focused on the Primera A form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.
Key Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera league stats:
According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 54.1% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Want to back Nacional to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different legs can be combined to good effect.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Nacional to win 2-0. The odds of +460 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.
Player Prop Picks
Cristian Arango (Nacional) is available to find the net at +110. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Nacional with an Asian Handicap of -1.25, No on the BTTS market and Cristian Arango (Nacional) to score.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies are taking few risks with their betting odds of -278 for Atlético Nacional winning which indicates that they have a 74% chance of triumphing in this Primera A encounter. Alianza Petrolera are the outsiders at +700 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.
Should you want to back Nacional to lead at the break, then there is -118 available on the Half-Time Result market. Opponents Alianza have been chalked up at +550 and the draw is +145.
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.
It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Primera A match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Alfredo Morelos is the First Goalscorer favourite at +250. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +104.
- Primera A Apertura: 16/02 Deportivo Cali 1 Atlético Nacional0
- Primera A Apertura: 13/02 Atlético Nacional 4 Fortaleza1
- Primera A Apertura: 05/02 Atlético Nacional 2 América de Cali1
- Primera A Apertura: 18/01 Atlético Nacional 4 Boyacá Chicó0
- Primera A Clausura Playoff Grp. A: 08/12 América de Cali 3 Atlético Nacional2
- Categoria Primera A: 08/08 2025 Atlético Nacional 3 Alianza Petrolera 0
- Categoria Primera A: 23/02 2025 Alianza Petrolera 3 Atlético Nacional 2
- Categoria Primera A: 18/07 2024 Alianza Petrolera 0 Atlético Nacional 2
- Categoria Primera A: 22/01 2024 Atlético Nacional 3 Alianza Petrolera 1
- Categoria Primera A: 27/10 2023 Atlético Nacional 2 Alianza Petrolera 0
- Categoria Primera A: 13/06 2023 Alianza Petrolera 0 Atlético Nacional 0
- Categoria Primera A: 29/05 2023 Atlético Nacional 1 Alianza Petrolera 1
- Categoria Primera A: 15/05 2023 Alianza Petrolera 2 Atlético Nacional 1
- Categoria Primera A: 07/08 2022 Alianza Petrolera 0 Atlético Nacional 2
- Categoria Primera A: 12/02 2022 Atlético Nacional 0 Alianza Petrolera 0
Atlético Nacional League Stats
Alianza Petrolera League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Atlético Nacional this season are Alfredo Morelos (2), Milton Casco (2), Andres Sarmiento (1)
- Top Assistors for Atlético Nacional this season are Juan Rengifo (2), Andres Sarmiento (1), Dairon Asprilla (1)
Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Nacional vs Alianza team news before betting. Stay in the know with the confirmed Primera A lineups and up-to-date injury news.
Previous Atlético Nacional Lineups
Previous Alianza Petrolera Lineups
Atlético Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Diego Arias
Alianza Petrolera Player Stats & Squad
Primera A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Bogota | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 2 | Deportivo Pasto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Tolima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 7 | América de Cali | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Fortaleza | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Jaguares | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Nacional | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 13 | Águilas Doradas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 14 | Millonarios | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 15 | Santa Fe | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 16 | DIM | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Boyacá Chicó | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 18 | Dep. Pereira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | 3 |
| 20 | Alianza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético Nacional | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Jaguares | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 7 | América de Cali | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 8 | Inter Bogota | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 10 | Junior | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 11 | Tolima | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Boyacá Chicó | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 17 | DIM | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 18 | Llaneros | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
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Atlético Nacional
Alianza
Llaneros
DIM
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
Fortaleza
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Cali