AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Jan 2026

Eredivisie Betting Preview: AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar meet Excelsior at AFAS Stadion, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Wednesday 21 January.

There’s an opportunity to bet on BTTS Yes when it comes to this AZ vs Excelsior contest. The odds of -147 are really attractive and we anticipate that the teams will be among the goals.

Agree with our BTTS Yes prediction? Unlock the most recent BetMGM promo code and read our comprehensive site review before deciding where to put your money.

AZ Alkmaar lost away from home in their last game. PEC Zwolle won 3-1 at Mac3Park Stadion. The Cheeseheads managed four shots on target and had 52% possession, with Peer Koopmeiners bagging the goal.

Excelsior drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Telstar at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. Ruben den Uil's men recorded 61% possession and had three shots on goal, while Irakli Yegoian and Noah Naujoks were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

AZ haven’t lost to Excelsior in their past four games. In their last clash, AZ enjoyed a 4-0 success when hosting at AFAS Stadion. The past 6 H2H meetings have included three victories for AZ, two wins for Excelsior and a single draw.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	AZ Alkmaar	18	8	4	6	33	31	2	33:31	28
14	Excelsior	18	6	2	10	19	34	-15	19:34	20

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. AZ have had 52.1% possession, 447.0 passes and 6.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.9 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.3 corners.

Top scorer is Troy Parrott on 6 goals, while Sven Mijnans has racked up 4 and Mees de Wit 2. Mees de Wit and Weslley Pinto are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Rome Owusu-Oduro managing 3 clean sheets.

Excelsior have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.2 goals from 11.1 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 48.2% possession, 413.9 passes, 4.3 corners awarded and 5.6 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 14.2 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

Noah Naujoks has top scored with 6, while Irakli Yegoian and Gyan de Regt are next best on 2. Derensili Sanches Fernandes and Irakli Yegoian have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Stijn van Gassel has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

AZ Alkmaar predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro (GK), Mees de Wit, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, Mateo Chávez, Peer Koopmeiners, Sven Mijnans, Kees Smit, Weslley Patati, Troy Parrott, Isak Jensen.

Excelsior predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Stijn van Gassel (GK), Ilias Bronkhorst, Casper Widell, Rick Meissen, Arthur Zagre, Irakli Yegoian, Lennard Hartjes, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Noah Naujoks, Emil Hansson, Jerolldino Bergraaf.

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the chance to back BTTS Yes at -147, with both sides expected to find the net in this Eredivisie match. The Both Teams to Score market provides a great angle for a wager.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Eredivisie stats.

Key AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 9 of the last 10 AZ games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 AZ games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Excelsior games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 8 Excelsior games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Excelsior games.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 59.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There are comparable betting options available and that includes backing Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market at a similar sort of price.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Excelsior

AZ are available at +650 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jerolldino Bergraaf Under 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Jerolldino Bergraaf (Excelsior) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in eight consecutive Eredivisie games. We think he might fall short of the mark, with odds of -161 available when it comes to this Shots on Target bet.

Latest Jerolldino Bergraaf Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

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Sven Mijnans to Score +180

Sven Mijnans (AZ) has racked up three goals in his past five Eredivisie games on home soil. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +180 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Sven Mijnans Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -143

There has been five consecutive Excelsior matches where 10.5 corners have not been covered, with the same thing happening in eight of the past eight AZ Alkmaar home games. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -143 that the sides fall short when it comes to the Total Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

AZ Alkmaar

Total

10.90 6.60 4.30

Home

9.60 6.20 3.40

Away

10.40 6.00 4.40

Excelsior

Total

9.90 4.30 5.60

Home

8.60 3.80 4.80

Away

10.25 4.25 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-141

AZ Alkmaar Corners

Over 6.5

-143

Under 6.5

+102

Excelsior Corners

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-588

X

+900

2

+480

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AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

AZ Alkmaar have been priced up as the overwhelming -370 favourites for this Eredivisie clash. This means the bookies give them a 79% chance of claiming victory. If you’re interested in wagering Excelsior, you can get +800 for the underdog.

AZ winning by three goals or more against Excelsior means a -1.75 Asian Handicap bet fully pays out at -111. A two-goal margin of victory gets a half stake payout and half a stake refund.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -143.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Eredivisie games, with the best football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

-370

X

+500

2

+800

Half-Time Result

1

-154

X

+205

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-833

X2

+255

Draw No Bet

1

-1250

2

+525

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-111

2 Hcp +1.75

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+210

Over 2.5

-286

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+108

Favourite Troy Parrott is available at +290 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Troy Parrott (AZ)

First

-132

Anytime

+290

Jizz Hornkamp (AZ)

First

-125

Anytime

+300

Ayoub Oufkir (AZ)

First

+150

Anytime

+460

Weslley Patati (AZ)

First

+160

Anytime

+525

Sven Mijnans (AZ)

First

+170

Anytime

+575

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

First

+180

Anytime

+575

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

First

+210

Anytime

+700

Kees Smit (AZ)

First

+280

Anytime

+900

Jerolldino Bergraaf (Excelsior)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Ro-Zangelo Daal (AZ)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Derensili Sanches Fernandes (Excelsior)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Noah Naujoks (Excelsior)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Gyan de Regt (Excelsior)

First

+480

Anytime

+1500

Mike Van Duinen (Excelsior)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Stefan Mitrovic (Excelsior)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior)

First

+575

Anytime

+1800

Maxim Dekker (AZ)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Mees de Wit (AZ)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Mateo Chávez (AZ)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Alexandre Penetra (AZ)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Wouter Goes (AZ)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ayoub Oufkir (AZ)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+117

Sven Mijnans (AZ)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Weslley Patati (AZ)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+108

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-109

Troy Parrott (AZ)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-120

Jizz Hornkamp (AZ)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-133

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-139

Jerolldino Bergraaf (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Kees Smit (AZ)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Derensili Sanches Fernandes (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-208

Noah Naujoks (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Gyan de Regt (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-263

Ro-Zangelo Daal (AZ)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Mike Van Duinen (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Stefan Mitrovic (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Maxim Dekker (AZ)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Mateo Chávez (AZ)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Alexandre Penetra (AZ)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Wouter Goes (AZ)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Mees de Wit (AZ)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

AZ have avoided defeat in their last four matches at AFAS Stadion. The Cheeseheads have clocked up five wins, four draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Excelsior have managed five losses, two victories and one draw in the last 8 away matches, recording an average of 1.13 goals per game and conceding 2.75.

AZ were 4-0 victors against Excelsior last time out at AFAS Stadion.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
AZ Alkmaar Home Stats		5-4-1	3.20	1.80	1.40	6	4	6	4
Excelsior Away Stats		2-1-5	3.88	1.13	2.75	7	1	6	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Lineups & Team News

Always review the AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior team news before locking in your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Eredivisie lineups alongside the newest injury information.

AZ Alkmaar Team Page Excelsior Team Page

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