Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Grêmio

Bahia host Grêmio in this Brazilian Série A encounter, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Sunday 19 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Why Bahia Can Claim the Win

We really like Bahia at odds of -143 with BetMGM to beat Grêmio, with this Full-Time Result bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.

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Grêmio 1-0 to the Good in Previous H2H

Bahia have banked back-to-back Série A home victories. Their last league game was a 2-1 road defeat against Vitória. The Squad of Steel had six shots on target and enjoyed 64% possession, with Tiago registering the goal.

Grêmio claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-0 victory occurred against São Paulo. Mano Menezes' men had just 38% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Carlos Vinicius netting twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When these two sides last played, Grêmio enjoyed a home victory. Beating Bahia by a 1-0 scoreline. The previous 10 H2H games have resulted in four draws and three wins apiece.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Bahia	27	12	7	8	35	32	3	35:32	43
11	Grêmio	28	9	9	10	30	33	-3	30:33	36

View Full Table

Bahia have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Rogerio Ceni's team have averaged 52.6% possession and 3.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Willian Jose is the top goalscorer with 3, Rodrigo Nestor has 2, with Tiago and two other players on 1. The leading assistors are Willian Jose and Everton Ribeiro with 2.

Grêmio have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 3.6 shots on goal, 7.6 attempts and 1.4 goals. The Porto Alegre side average 45.0% possession, 3.0 corners taken and 5.3 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 12.8 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Edenilson, Andre, Alexander Aravena and Tiago Volpi have 2. Look no further than Andre for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Gilberto, David Duarte, Gabriel Xavier, Iago Borduchi, Rezende, Jean Lucas, Nicolás Acevedo, Ademir Santos, Willian José, Mateo Sanabria.

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Grando (GK), Marcos Rocha, Erick Noriega, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Arthur, Gustavo Cuéllar, Cristian Pavón, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius.

Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Bahia vs Grêmio, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Bahia will have the edge in this Série A clash, then you can back the home team at -143. We’re expecting a nice potential return with this match winner bet.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable Série A stats.

Key Bahia vs Grêmio league stats:

• Bahia have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Bahia have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Bahia have won 2 consecutive games at home.

Bahia to Win Probability

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 58.8% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, check out Bahia on the Asian Handicap. You can potentially back them at -1 or even -1.5 if you’re expecting a comfortable win.

Unlock the best welcome bonuses and free bet offers before you wager—check our updated betting promo code guide today.

Our Match Prediction

Bahia To Win @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 2 - 0 Grêmio

Let’s go for Bahia to win 2-0, a bet which is available at +600. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Sanabria Over 0.5 Shots On Target -139

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia) is available at -139 to record at least one shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Mateo Sanabria Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-116

Shots

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

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Willian José To Score +230

Willian José (Bahia) can be backed at +230 to be among the goals. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Willian José Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+450

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Shots

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Bahia Under 6.5 Corners -147

The 6.5 corners line has not been covered by Bahia in their past ten matches, while Grêmio have conceded less than 6.5 corners in 4 of the previous 5 games. There are odds of -147 for this Bahia Team Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

7.30 3.10 4.20

Home

7.20 3.60 3.60

Away

9.70 4.50 5.20

Grêmio

Total

8.30 3.00 5.30

Home

8.90 4.20 4.70

Away

9.70 2.60 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-122

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+102

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-139

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+750

2

+300

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Bahia vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Bahia Victory

The bookies have Bahia at -143 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 59% likely to win this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +380 about Grêmio.

Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Bahia -0.75 at -108 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Grêmio by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -135 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Série A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+270

2

+380

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+120

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-400

X2

+104

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+235

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-133

Over 2.5

+104

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-135

Willian José is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Willian José is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +450 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +230.

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+230

Anytime

+450

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

First

+235

Anytime

+525

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+460

Anytime

+900

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Júlio César de 'Rezende' Miranda (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-116

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-179

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-204

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-263

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Júlio César de 'Rezende' Miranda (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

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Bahia vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Bahia vs Grêmio team news before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.

Bahia Team Page Grêmio Team Page