Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Grêmio

Bahia host Grêmio in this Brazilian Série A encounter, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Sunday 19 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We really like Bahia at odds of -143 with BetMGM to beat Grêmio, with this Full-Time Result bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.

Bahia have banked back-to-back Série A home victories. Their last league game was a 2-1 road defeat against Vitória. The Squad of Steel had six shots on target and enjoyed 64% possession, with Tiago registering the goal.

Grêmio claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-0 victory occurred against São Paulo. Mano Menezes' men had just 38% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Carlos Vinicius netting twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When these two sides last played, Grêmio enjoyed a home victory. Beating Bahia by a 1-0 scoreline. The previous 10 H2H games have resulted in four draws and three wins apiece.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Bahia	4	2	2	0	5	3	2	5:3	8
10	Grêmio	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	8:8	6

View Full Table

Bahia have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Rogerio Ceni's team have averaged 52.6% possession and 3.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Willian Jose is the top goalscorer with 3, Rodrigo Nestor has 2, with Tiago and two other players on 1. The leading assistors are Willian Jose and Everton Ribeiro with 2.

Grêmio have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 3.6 shots on goal, 7.6 attempts and 1.4 goals. The Porto Alegre side average 45.0% possession, 3.0 corners taken and 5.3 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 12.8 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Edenilson, Andre, Alexander Aravena and Tiago Volpi have 2. Look no further than Andre for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Gilberto Junior, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Iago, Nicolas Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Michel Araujo, Ademir Santos, Willian Jose, Tiago Carvalho.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Grando (GK), Marcos Rocha, Gustavo Martins, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Gustavo Cuellar, Cristian Pavon, Edenilson, Alexander Aravena, Carlos Vinicius.

Bahia vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Bahia vs Grêmio, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Bahia will have the edge in this Série A clash, then you can back the home team at -143. We’re expecting a nice potential return with this match winner bet.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable Série A stats.

Key Bahia vs Grêmio league stats:

• Bahia have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Bahia have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Bahia have won 2 consecutive games at home.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 58.8% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, check out Bahia on the Asian Handicap. You can potentially back them at -1 or even -1.5 if you’re expecting a comfortable win.

Unlock the best welcome bonuses and free bet offers before you wager—check our updated betting promo code guide today.

Our Match Prediction

Bahia To Win @ -143 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 18, 02:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 2 - 0 Grêmio

Let’s go for Bahia to win 2-0, a bet which is available at +600. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Sanabria Over 0.5 Shots On Target -139

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia) is available at -139 to record at least one shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Mateo Sanabria Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-100

Shots

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

---

Willian José To Score +230

Willian José (Bahia) can be backed at +230 to be among the goals. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Willian José Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+440

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+120

Shots

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bahia Under 6.5 Corners -147

The 6.5 corners line has not been covered by Bahia in their past ten matches, while Grêmio have conceded less than 6.5 corners in 4 of the previous 5 games. There are odds of -147 for this Bahia Team Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

7.30 3.10 4.20

Home

7.20 3.60 3.60

Away

9.70 4.50 5.20

Grêmio

Total

8.30 3.00 5.30

Home

8.90 4.20 4.70

Away

9.70 2.60 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-110

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+108

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-128

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+800

2

+300

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bahia vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Bahia at -154 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 61% likely to win this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +390 about Grêmio.

Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Bahia -0.75 at -120 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Grêmio by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.

You can land odds which are similar whether you’re backing Over or Under 2.5 Goals. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Série A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-154

X

+285

2

+390

Half-Time Result

1

+120

X

+133

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-435

X2

+112

Draw No Bet

1

-385

2

+245

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-120

2 Hcp +0.75

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-103

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-112

Willian José is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +440 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +210.

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+210

Anytime

+440

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

First

+230

Anytime

+540

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Júlio César de 'Rezende' Miranda (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+120

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+123

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-100

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-167

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-189

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-200

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-238

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Júlio César de 'Rezende' Miranda (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Bahia vs Grêmio team news before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.

Bahia Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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