São Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Mar 2026

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Chapecoense

São Paulo meet Chapecoense, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Thursday 12 March.

Chapecoense +1.25 at odds of -112 allows us to split our money between +1 and +1.5. A win or draw against São Paulo will result in a payout on the Asian Handicap, with a one goal defeat still seeing a return.

São Paulo have got the win in back-to-back Série A games. A 1-0 triumph recently occurred when playing Coritiba away. Tricolor Paulista enjoyed 58% possession and managed five shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Cauly Oliveira Souza in the 57th minute.

Chapecoense played out a 3-3 draw against Coritiba in their previous game, with this being at home. The Chapecó side were 51% in the possession stakes and managed eight shots on goal, while Walter Clar, Eduardo Domachowski and Rubens Ricoldi were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

São Paulo have not lost any of the past four games against Chape, with the last clash being a 1-1 draw. The past 4 H2H meetings have featured two São Paulo wins and two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	São Paulo	13	7	2	4	17	11	6	17:11	23
20	Chapecoense	12	1	5	6	12	24	-12	12:24	8

View Full Table

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts. São Paulo have had 49.7% possession and 3.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.8 corners.

Jonathan Calleri and Luciano Neves are the leading goalscorers with 2, while Cauly Oliveira Souza has 1. Luciano Neves, Lucas Moura and Enzo Hernan Diaz have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Chape have won 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 39.3% possession, 2.3 corners awarded and 11.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 7.7 shots on goal and 17.7 attempts.

Walter Clar and Jean have top scored with 2 goals, while Eduardo Domachowski is next on 1. Jean has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 3 games.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-3-1-2): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Sabino, Wendell, Damian Bobadilla, Danielzinho, Marcos Antonio, Lucas Moura, Luciano Neves, Jonathan Calleri.

Chapecoense confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Leo Vieira (GK), Victor Henrique, Bruno Leonardo, Eduardo Domachowski, Everton Souza da Cruz, Rafael Carvalheira, Camilo, Walter Clar, Jean, Yannick Bolasie, Marcinho.

São Paulo vs Chapecoense Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our top São Paulo vs Chapecoense betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

Chapecoense with a +1.25 goal start look really appealing when it comes to this Série A clash. We’re expecting a fine performance from the visitors, with odds of -112 looking attractive.

We’re always focused on the Série A form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key São Paulo vs Chapecoense league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Chape in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 2 consecutive games against Chape.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 52.9% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Chape Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 11, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 1 Chapecoense

There are odds of +650 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jonathan Calleri to Score +160

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo) has racked up two goals in his past four Série A games. We’ll throw a dart at +160 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Jonathan Calleri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+400

Shots

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

São Paulo vs Chapecoense Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an estimated 71% chance of winning, the bookies are taking few chances with their -250 betting odds about São Paulo triumphing in this Série A clash. Chapecoense are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +700.

São Paulo can be backed at -110 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Chape can be chanced at +575 and the draw is +143.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land -133 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Série A matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

-250

X

+360

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-110

X

+143

2

+575

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-526

X2

+180

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+420

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-108

2 Hcp +1.25

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-133

Luciano da Rocha can be backed to find the net anytime at +140, with +360 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+140

Anytime

+360

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+160

Anytime

+400

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Maurício Garcez (Chape)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

De vargas Italo Da Rosa (Chape)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Altemir Pessôa Neto (Chape)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Yannick Bolasie (Chape)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

de Sousa Junior Marcio Antonio "Marcinho" (Chape)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Maik Gomes Viegas (São Paulo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

João Vitor de Souza Martins (Chape)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Wendell (São Paulo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Walter Clar (Chape)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

José Sabino Chagas Monteiro (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Alan Franco (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Ramon (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

de Oliveira Sertanejo Daniel "Danielzinho" (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Giovanni Augusto (Chape)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Rafael Carvalheira (Chape)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Jean Carlos Vicente (Chape)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Nahuel Ferraresi (São Paulo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Higor Meritão (Chape)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 4.5

+117

Under 4.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

de Sousa Junior Marcio Antonio "Marcinho" (Chape)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Altemir Pessôa Neto (Chape)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Yannick Bolasie (Chape)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

De vargas Italo Da Rosa (Chape)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Garcez (Chape)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Nahuel Ferraresi (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Jean Carlos Vicente (Chape)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Carvalheira (Chape)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Giovanni Augusto (Chape)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

de Oliveira Sertanejo Daniel "Danielzinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Ramon (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Alan Franco (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

João Vitor de Souza Martins (Chape)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

José Sabino Chagas Monteiro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Walter Clar (Chape)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Wendell (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Maik Gomes Viegas (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Higor Meritão (Chape)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

São Paulo vs Chapecoense Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for São Paulo vs Chape before making your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with timely injury updates.

São Paulo Team Page Chapecoense Team Page

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