Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Apr 2026

Champions League Semi-Final Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal

Atlético Madrid host Arsenal in the first leg of this UEFA Champions League semi-final at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 29 April.

We can’t pass up the chance to back BTTS Yes, with both Atlético and Arsenal expected to find the net. While many pundits are predicting a low-scoring game, the stats point towards both teams getting on the scoresheet, making the Both Teams to Score market an appealing option at -111.

Atlético Madrid, sitting fourth in La Liga, secured a 3-2 home win over Athletic Club at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Saturday night. Diego Simeone's team had four shots on target and enjoyed 54% possession, with Alexander Soerloth bagging two goals and Antoine Griezmann scoring the other.

Premier League leaders Arsenal recorded a 1-0 home win over Newcastle United at the Emirates Stadium on Sunday. The Gunners had 45% of possession and four shots on goal, with Eberechi Eze striking early in the first half.

In the Champions League quarter-finals, Atléti claimed a 3-2 aggregate win over Barcelona, while Arsenal beat Sporting 1-0 across the two legs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Emirates Stadium, they recorded a 4-0 home win over Atléti.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23	4	19	23:4	24
14	Atlético Madrid	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	17:15	13

View Full Table

4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. Atléti have had 48.1% possession, 434.8 passes and 3.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.9 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.9 corners.

Julian Alvarez leads the way with 4 goals, Alexander Soerloth has 3, with Antoine Griezmann and two others on 2. Julian Alvarez has the most assists with 3, while goalie Juan Musso has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Arsenal have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 12.9 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Mikel Arteta's side average 50.1% possession, 416.7 passes, 6.3 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against them, while conceding 0.6 goals from 10.3 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Kai Havertz has scored 3 goals, followed by Eberechi Eze and Viktor Gyoekeres on 2. Gabriel Martinelli has had 2 assists, with David Raya notching 6 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Johnny Cardoso, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): David Raya (GK), Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Martin Oedegaard, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Viktor Gyoekeres, Gabriel Martinelli.

Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re more than happy to snap up the -111 when it comes to the teams finding the net in this Champions League semi-final. The numbers suggest that the BTTS Yes outcome could deliver a return.

We use the latest Champions League injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we sometimes take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal Champions League & league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 straight Atléti games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Atléti games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Atléti games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Arsenal games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Arsenal games on the road.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 52.6% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals are picks along the same lines and they can be combined on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. In the quest for a slightly bigger price, you can take this option.

Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -111 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 27, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 1 - 1 Arsenal

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +500 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Antoine Griezmann Over 1.5 Shots -164

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti) has fired over 1.5 shots in four of his past five games on home soil. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -164 up for grabs.

Latest Antoine Griezmann Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+800

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

---

Giuliano Simeone to Score +650

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has racked up two goals in his past nine home games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +650 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1500

Shots

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Arsenal To Have Most Corners +110

Arsenal have had an average of 6.80 corners in the past 5 games, with Atlético Madrid averaging 3.00 corners in their last 5 matches. We can’t pass up the chance to back +110 that Arsenal have the most corners.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

9.70 3.80 5.90

Home

9.10 5.40 3.70

Away

11.00 4.90 6.10

Arsenal

Total

10.80 6.30 4.50

Home

10.80 7.60 3.20

Away

9.30 5.50 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-127

Arsenal Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-141

Most Corners

1

+133

X

+650

2

-132

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

If you’re looking to wager Atlético Madrid to win this Champions League semi-final, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +220. Arsenal are on offer at betting odds of +132 and the draw is +220.

Arsenal are available at odds of -104 on the Asian Handicap -0.25. With this bet, you need them to simply beat Atléti to win, although a draw would see half your stake returned.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Champions League games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+220

X

+220

2

+132

Half-Time Result

1

+280

X

+102

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-172

12

-286

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+115

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-120

2 Hcp -0.25

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-112

There is +155 available that Alexander Sørloth finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +370.

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+155

Anytime

+370

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+175

Anytime

+420

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+180

Anytime

+410

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Madrid Stats

Arsenal Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atléti vs Arsenal before you bet. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Champions League, along with current injury news.

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